0xc34a…6007

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other379 bets

  Hit rate

  63% (239/379)

  ROI

  +12%

• Politics98 bets

  Hit rate

  59% (58/98)

  ROI

  -1%

• Geopolitics34 bets

  Hit rate

  76% (26/34)

  ROI

  +23%

• Sports5 bets

  Hit rate

  40% (2/5)

  ROI

  -55%

• Culture3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  +31%

• Tech2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  -5%

• Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?Lost
  No$73 @ 32.7¢
• Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?Won
  No$3 @ 63.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?Won
  No$283 @ 80.7¢
• Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Won
  No$61 @ 50.1¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Lost
  Yes$14 @ 14.0¢
• Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
  No$231 @ 53.9¢
• Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Won
  Yes$1.0k @ 46.6¢
• TikTok sale announced by March 31?Won
  Yes$8 @ 83.0¢
• U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Lost
  No$90 @ 44.8¢
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Lost
  No$80 @ 49.5¢
• U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Lost
  No$18 @ 27.9¢
• U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Won
  Yes$724 @ 74.2¢
• Will GenesisCupChampion win the Genesis Cup?Won
  Yes$27 @ 67.0¢
• Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?Won
  No$236 @ 80.1¢
• Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Lost
  Yes$18 @ 1.8¢
• Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?Lost
  Yes$174 @ 15.8¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
  No$135 @ 89.9¢
• Will France strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$79 @ 88.0¢
• U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?Won
  No$49 @ 54.8¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$2.2k @ 77.6¢
• Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in another country?Won
  No$52 @ 84.4¢
• Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?Won
  No$247 @ 89.0¢
• Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$16 @ 31.0¢
• Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$6 @ 63.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$802 @ 61.7¢
• Will Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?Won
  No$5 @ 75.0¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Lost
  Yes$70 @ 35.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Won
  Yes$752 @ 75.2¢
• US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Lost
  No$36 @ 20.2¢
• US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Won
  Yes$76 @ 76.0¢
• Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 1.6¢
• Weed rescheduled by March 31?Won
  No$183 @ 63.2¢
• Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Won
  No$48 @ 76.0¢
• Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?Lost
  No$128 @ 42.8¢
• Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?Won
  Yes$772 @ 50.3¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
  No$69 @ 55.2¢
• Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?Won
  No$653 @ 87.1¢
• Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$608 @ 84.3¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Won
  No$152 @ 76.1¢
• US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Lost
  No$116 @ 31.9¢
• US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Won
  Yes$509 @ 72.3¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Lost
  Yes$96 @ 30.9¢
• Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Lost
  No$9 @ 17.2¢
• Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Won
  Yes$308 @ 74.7¢
• Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 17?Won
  No$80 @ 80.0¢
• Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Lost
  No$31 @ 29.2¢
• Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Won
  Yes$225 @ 82.0¢
• Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?Won
  No$9 @ 89.0¢
• Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?Won
  No$59 @ 59.1¢
• Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
  No$105 @ 70.0¢

Current positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Politics
  No$4.9k @ 98.7¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$2.9k @ 97.9¢
• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto
  No$2.9k @ 95.6¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 83.9¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics
  No$992 @ 99.2¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$989 @ 83.3¢
• GTA VI released by November 30?Culture
  Yes$914 @ 91.4¢
• IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Politics
  No$618 @ 95.0¢
• Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$510 @ 0.5¢
• Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$433 @ 96.3¢
• Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics
  No$431 @ 91.8¢
• Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Geopolitics
  No$333 @ 82.8¢
• Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$327 @ 4.3¢
• Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$267 @ 91.0¢
• Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?Politics
  No$255 @ 85.2¢
• Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics
  No$234 @ 89.8¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$197 @ 65.8¢
• Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$128 @ 0.3¢
• Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics
  No$92 @ 92.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics
  Yes$43 @ 86.0¢
• Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$40 @ 61.5¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics
  Yes$38 @ 14.0¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Geopolitics
  Yes$9 @ 11.7¢
• Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$7 @ 65.0¢