0x371c…c236

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x371ca7c768d4129cacf0985443589d92e026c236
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.0pp

ROI

+23%

Win rate

41% @ 32.1¢

Brier

0.196

Resolved

1028

Avg size

$18

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	30% (17/57)	-54%	57
Geopolitics	29% (7/24)	+135%	24
Politics	24% (5/21)	-24%	21

Other57 bets
Hit rate
30% (17/57)
ROI
-54%
Geopolitics24 bets
Hit rate
29% (7/24)
ROI
+135%
Politics21 bets
Hit rate
24% (5/21)
ROI
-24%

Track record

28% hit · 29/102

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$25	4.5¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	No	$12	23.0¢	Lost
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$1.2k	19.2¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	$60	47.3¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$124	14.4¢	Lost
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?	Yes	$688	30.2¢	Won
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	$63	16.3¢	Lost
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$78	24.0¢	Won
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?	Yes	$121	85.1¢	Won
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$479	22.2¢	Lost
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$35	12.4¢	Lost
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?	Yes	$167	28.9¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	Yes	$88	14.7¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	Yes	$96	24.9¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	No	$140	51.9¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$99	33.2¢	Won
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?	Yes	$10	5.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?	Yes	$13	8.3¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$286	81.1¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$50	29.9¢	Lost
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?	Yes	$125	22.3¢	Lost
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	Yes	$591	17.1¢	Lost
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$320	11.4¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	Yes	$32	7.7¢	Lost
Iran full airspace closure by July 21?	Yes	$10	4.1¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$112	32.5¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	Yes	$113	61.8¢	Won
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 5, 2026?	Yes	$10	12.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?	Yes	$53	8.5¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	$72	39.4¢	Lost
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$30	3.5¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?	No	$35	25.4¢	Lost
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$106	12.9¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	$268	89.4¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$1.0k	48.5¢	Lost
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$124	63.9¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$127	73.0¢	Won
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?	Yes	$36	15.1¢	Lost
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17?	Yes	$40	82.2¢	Won
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	Yes	$135	10.0¢	Lost
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?	Yes	$493	12.2¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?	Yes	$189	10.3¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	No	$115	16.3¢	Lost
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?	Yes	$20	44.0¢	Lost
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	Yes	$324	14.4¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$680	10.7¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	$45	6.7¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	No	$9	4.8¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?	No	$31	78.0¢	Lost
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?	Yes	$50	8.7¢	Lost

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$25 @ 4.5¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$12 @ 23.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 19.2¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Won
No$60 @ 47.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Lost
Yes$124 @ 14.4¢
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Won
Yes$688 @ 30.2¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Lost
Yes$63 @ 16.3¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Won
Yes$78 @ 24.0¢
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Won
Yes$121 @ 85.1¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$479 @ 22.2¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$35 @ 12.4¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?Lost
Yes$167 @ 28.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Lost
Yes$88 @ 14.7¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Lost
Yes$96 @ 24.9¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Lost
No$140 @ 51.9¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Won
Yes$99 @ 33.2¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?Lost
Yes$13 @ 8.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$286 @ 81.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$50 @ 29.9¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Lost
Yes$125 @ 22.3¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Lost
Yes$591 @ 17.1¢
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$320 @ 11.4¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Lost
Yes$32 @ 7.7¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 21?Lost
Yes$10 @ 4.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Won
No$112 @ 32.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Won
Yes$113 @ 61.8¢
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 5, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 12.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Lost
Yes$53 @ 8.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Lost
Yes$72 @ 39.4¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$30 @ 3.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Lost
No$35 @ 25.4¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$106 @ 12.9¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Won
No$268 @ 89.4¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Lost
No$1.0k @ 48.5¢
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$124 @ 63.9¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Won
No$127 @ 73.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Lost
Yes$36 @ 15.1¢
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17?Won
Yes$40 @ 82.2¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Lost
Yes$135 @ 10.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Lost
Yes$493 @ 12.2¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Lost
Yes$189 @ 10.3¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Lost
No$115 @ 16.3¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 44.0¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Lost
Yes$324 @ 14.4¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Lost
Yes$680 @ 10.7¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Lost
Yes$45 @ 6.7¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Lost
No$9 @ 4.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Lost
No$31 @ 78.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Lost
Yes$50 @ 8.7¢

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