0xc440…6149

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc4400b72151291a6d737d5a7485453d63e526149
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.3pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

28% @ 22.5¢

Brier

0.114

Resolved

943

Avg size

$11

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	35% (126/362)	+10%	362
Politics	33% (1/3)	+0%	3
Tech	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Sports	50% (1/2)	+27%	2
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other362 bets
Hit rate
35% (126/362)
ROI
+10%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+0%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+27%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

35% hit · 128/371

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on December 17?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?	Yes	$50	10.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 11?	Yes	$2	37.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on October 28?	Yes	$1	3.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 47°F or higher on November 21?	Yes	$9	1.4¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$477	28.2¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?	Yes	$14	6.8¢	Lost
Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?	Yes	$2	18.0¢	Lost
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?	No	$53	88.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on November 26?	Yes	$10	10.0¢	Lost
US government shutdown by October 1?	No	$2	22.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 14?	Yes	$7	6.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on December 4?	Yes	$3	68.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 22?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on October 31?	No	$8	79.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on October 31?	Yes	$2	8.0¢	Won
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	No	$22	22.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Greenland" during Executive Order signing today?	No	$7	70.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 2?	No	$25	29.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 26?	Yes	$7	8.8¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$31	31.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 14?	Yes	$2	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	$100	50.0¢	Won
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 5?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be between 41-42°F on November 18?	Yes	$3	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on November 12?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on October 21?	Yes	$7	1.5¢	Lost
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	Yes	$12	57.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on October 24?	Yes	$1	4.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 14?	Yes	$2	0.6¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Crypto" 10+ times during Digital Asset Summit?	Yes	$87	29.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on December 13?	Yes	$8	8.0¢	Lost
Nothing Ever Happens: October	Yes	$9	23.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on December 9?	No	$4	76.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on December 9?	Yes	$3	32.0¢	Lost
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 17?	No	$28	81.0¢	Won
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 17?	Yes	$1	27.0¢	Lost
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?	Yes	$64	49.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$78	78.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on December 18?	No	$9	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	$4	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on November 25?	Yes	$8	2.7¢	Lost
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?	Yes	$165	31.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 11?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Lost
Did Kanye sell his twitter account?	No	$44	88.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump say "Crypto" 5+ times during Crypto Summit on Friday?	No	$3	0.6¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump say "Crypto" 5+ times during Crypto Summit on Friday?	Yes	$353	82.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 1?	No	$1	12.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 28?	Yes	$4	38.0¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on December 17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?Lost
Yes$50 @ 10.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 11?Won
Yes$2 @ 37.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on October 28?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.5¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 47°F or higher on November 21?Lost
Yes$9 @ 1.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
No$477 @ 28.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Lost
Yes$14 @ 6.8¢
Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?Lost
Yes$2 @ 18.0¢
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Won
No$53 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on November 26?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
US government shutdown by October 1?Lost
No$2 @ 22.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 14?Lost
Yes$7 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on December 4?Lost
Yes$3 @ 68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 22?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on October 31?Lost
No$8 @ 79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on October 31?Won
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Won
No$22 @ 22.0¢
Will Trump say "Greenland" during Executive Order signing today?Won
No$7 @ 70.0¢
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 2?Lost
No$25 @ 29.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 26?Lost
Yes$7 @ 8.8¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$31 @ 31.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 14?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on October 26?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Won
No$100 @ 50.0¢
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 5?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 41-42°F on November 18?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on November 12?Won
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on October 21?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.5¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Won
Yes$12 @ 57.7¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on October 24?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.7¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 14?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" 10+ times during Digital Asset Summit?Lost
Yes$87 @ 29.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on December 13?Lost
Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberLost
Yes$9 @ 23.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on December 9?Won
No$4 @ 76.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on December 9?Lost
Yes$3 @ 32.0¢
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 17?Won
No$28 @ 81.0¢
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 27.0¢
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? Won
Yes$64 @ 49.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Won
No$78 @ 78.4¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on December 18?Won
No$9 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on October 28?Won
No$4 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on November 25?Lost
Yes$8 @ 2.7¢
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?Lost
Yes$165 @ 31.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 11?Lost
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Did Kanye sell his twitter account?Won
No$44 @ 88.0¢
Will Donald Trump say "Crypto" 5+ times during Crypto Summit on Friday?Lost
No$3 @ 0.6¢
Will Donald Trump say "Crypto" 5+ times during Crypto Summit on Friday?Won
Yes$353 @ 82.0¢
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 1?Won
No$1 @ 12.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 28?Lost
Yes$4 @ 38.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Science	No	$993	90.3¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$16	16.0¢

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Science
No$993 @ 90.3¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics
Yes$16 @ 16.0¢