← Smart money
0xa82b…5220
SharpEdge
+5.6pp
ROI
+27%
Win rate
42% @ 36.0¢
Brier
0.183
Resolved
5186
Avg size
$97
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (326/658) | +59% | 658 |
| Politics | 34% (19/56) | -32% | 56 |
| Sports | 22% (11/49) | -58% | 49 |
| Geopolitics | 16% (3/19) | -97% | 19 |
| Tech | 33% (1/3) | -44% | 3 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Science | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Economy | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other658 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (326/658)
- ROI
- +59%
- Politics56 bets
- Hit rate
- 34% (19/56)
- ROI
- -32%
- Sports49 bets
- Hit rate
- 22% (11/49)
- ROI
- -58%
- Geopolitics19 bets
- Hit rate
- 16% (3/19)
- ROI
- -97%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -44%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Science1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
46% hit · 360/791- Under$245 @ 49.0¢
- Seahawks$997 @ 65.2¢
- Yes$18 @ 8.9¢
- Under$83 @ 36.0¢
- Over$305 @ 61.0¢
- No$92 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$514 @ 35.8¢
- Yes$197 @ 10.4¢
- Yes$4.4k @ 28.6¢
- Seahawks$365 @ 73.0¢
- Hurricanes$184 @ 61.3¢
- Yes$117 @ 66.0¢
- Utah$126 @ 63.0¢
- Nuggets$71 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 8.0¢
- Panthers$75 @ 45.0¢
- Islanders$87 @ 57.7¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 50.8¢
- Yes$727 @ 12.6¢
- Yes$64 @ 2.4¢
- Switzerland$26 @ 25.2¢
- Yes$81 @ 73.5¢
- Yes$338 @ 10.2¢
- Trail Blazers$125 @ 81.9¢
- Trail Blazers$29 @ 29.0¢
- Under$336 @ 48.0¢
- Bruins$128 @ 58.0¢
- No$300 @ 67.0¢
- Los Angeles Dodgers$134 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$426 @ 9.4¢
- Under$96 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$59 @ 4.3¢
- Yes$47 @ 36.3¢
- Yes$90 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$28.6k @ 30.5¢
- Over$138 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 12.0¢
- No$52 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$187 @ 44.2¢
- No$215 @ 26.2¢
- Yes$128 @ 51.1¢
- Grizzlies$44 @ 44.0¢
- No$8.8k @ 79.5¢
- Predators$100 @ 56.0¢
- Over$84 @ 42.0¢
- Kings$140 @ 56.0¢
- No$21 @ 3.2¢
- No$627 @ 42.4¢
- Yes$113 @ 22.6¢
- Under$94 @ 47.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$4.7k @ 84.7¢
- No$2.2k @ 71.8¢
- No$2.1k @ 60.3¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 66.6¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 60.7¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 51.3¢
- Yes$985 @ 65.7¢
- No$853 @ 79.6¢
- Yes$811 @ 54.1¢
- Yes$808 @ 65.1¢
- Yes$774 @ 37.5¢
- Yes$769 @ 30.4¢
- No$572 @ 63.9¢
- No$522 @ 71.7¢
- Yes$522 @ 21.7¢
- No$420 @ 84.1¢
- Yes$385 @ 16.0¢
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$373 @ 53.3¢
- No$344 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$336 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$317 @ 61.9¢
- No$315 @ 74.7¢
- Yes$281 @ 25.6¢
- No$264 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$238 @ 14.3¢
- Yes$235 @ 47.0¢
- No$204 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$192 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$184 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$172 @ 52.1¢