0x0403…a7ee

Specialization by sphere

• Other40 bets

  Hit rate

  78% (31/40)

  ROI

  +92%

• Politics22 bets

  Hit rate

  68% (15/22)

  ROI

  +7%

• Geopolitics5 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (5/5)

  ROI

  +23%

• Tech2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +17%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +12%

• Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?Won
  No$80 @ 89.7¢
• French election called by October 10?Lost
  Yes$50 @ 2.5¢
• Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?Won
  Yes$375 @ 74.5¢
• Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 38.0¢
• Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?Won
  No$40 @ 80.0¢
• Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Won
  Yes$20 @ 59.9¢
• Will Wales win on 2025-11-15?Won
  Yes$10 @ 89.0¢
• Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?Lost
  Yes$179 @ 87.1¢
• French election called by October 31?Won
  No$140 @ 66.0¢
• French election called by October 31?Lost
  Yes$109 @ 4.6¢
• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Won
  No$140 @ 87.8¢
• Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?Won
  No$60 @ 81.0¢
• Will Lando Norris win the 2025 China Grand Prix?Won
  No$10 @ 75.0¢
• F1 Austrian Grand Prix: Safety Car? Won
  Yes$5 @ 62.0¢
• Will Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Won
  No$461 @ 82.2¢
• French election called by December 31?Lost
  Yes$46 @ 18.8¢
• US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Won
  No$470 @ 61.1¢
• US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Lost
  Yes$209 @ 20.8¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Won
  No$828 @ 75.2¢
• Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Won
  No$917 @ 78.2¢
• Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?Won
  No$13 @ 87.0¢
• Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Won
  No$257 @ 89.4¢
• Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?Won
  No$378 @ 65.3¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Won
  No$10 @ 58.0¢
• Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?Won
  No$375 @ 75.1¢
• French election called by October 17?Won
  No$118 @ 86.2¢
• French election called by October 17?Lost
  Yes$317 @ 24.0¢
• Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?Lost
  No$10 @ 20.0¢
• Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?Won
  Yes$5 @ 80.0¢
• Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?Won
  No$19 @ 87.5¢
• Will Les Républicains have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?Won
  No$1.2k @ 87.6¢
• Right-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?Won
  No$32 @ 80.0¢
• Macron out in 2025?Won
  No$416 @ 86.7¢
• Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Won
  No$717 @ 62.3¢
• Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Lost
  Yes$500 @ 37.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Won
  No$590 @ 78.7¢
• Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Won
  No$2 @ 60.0¢
• Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Won
  No$85 @ 85.0¢
• Iran Nuke in 2025?Won
  No$20 @ 89.0¢
• Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?Won
  No$18 @ 88.0¢
• Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?Won
  No$260 @ 80.2¢
• Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?Lost
  Yes$40 @ 80.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 62.0¢
• Will Les Républicains have the most seats after the French Senate Election?Won
  Yes$33 @ 85.9¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Won
  No$522 @ 87.0¢
• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Won
  No$336 @ 83.8¢
• Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?Won
  Yes$165 @ 7.2¢
• Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Lost
  Yes$100 @ 57.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Won
  No$588 @ 78.3¢
• Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real MadridWon
  Arsenal$20 @ 87.0¢

Current positions

• Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$1.6k @ 51.3¢
• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech
  No$1.3k @ 71.5¢
• Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$1.2k @ 86.4¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics
  No$1000 @ 83.3¢
• Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$914 @ 85.3¢
• Will Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Politics
  No$829 @ 85.7¢
• Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Politics
  No$810 @ 78.2¢
• Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Politics
  No$687 @ 72.8¢
• Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$679 @ 83.2¢
• Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$662 @ 73.6¢
• Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
  Yes$586 @ 9.8¢
• Will Les Républicains have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?Politics
  No$518 @ 87.5¢
• Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Politics
  No$515 @ 85.8¢
• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
  No$450 @ 90.0¢
• Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?Politics
  No$441 @ 85.2¢
• Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?Sports
  No$431 @ 71.6¢
• China x Japan military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$418 @ 83.6¢
• Will SER hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Politics
  No$399 @ 76.8¢
• Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$373 @ 74.6¢
• Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$352 @ 90.0¢
• Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Politics
  Yes$349 @ 69.8¢
• Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$340 @ 81.0¢
• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?Tech
  No$324 @ 64.9¢
• National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?Politics
  Yes$254 @ 69.3¢
• UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?Politics
  No$253 @ 88.6¢
• Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$224 @ 53.6¢
• Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
  No$221 @ 44.2¢
• Macron out by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$170 @ 85.0¢
• US x China Military clash before 2027?Politics
  No$170 @ 85.0¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$170 @ 85.0¢