0x058f…4883

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics77 bets

  Hit rate

  70% (54/77)

  ROI

  +22%

• Other38 bets

  Hit rate

  61% (23/38)

  ROI

  +15%

• Geopolitics28 bets

  Hit rate

  71% (20/28)

  ROI

  -23%

• Crypto9 bets

  Hit rate

  22% (2/9)

  ROI

  -30%

• Tech3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  +27%

• Culture1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +31%

• Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$166 @ 70.6¢
• Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?Won
  No$78 @ 80.8¢
• Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$110 @ 4.7¢
• Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?Won
  No$72 @ 76.9¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Won
  No$2.0k @ 86.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$186 @ 74.6¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 32.0¢
• US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Won
  No$800 @ 80.0¢
• Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?Won
  Yes$264 @ 59.8¢
• Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Lost
  No$114 @ 44.7¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Won
  No$352 @ 84.3¢
• Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 30?Won
  No$228 @ 85.7¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
  No$89 @ 89.0¢
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Won
  No$101 @ 70.9¢
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Lost
  Yes$185 @ 27.2¢
• Iran coup attempt by June 30?Won
  No$2.2k @ 87.3¢
• Will Solana dip to $70 in May?Won
  No$1.9k @ 88.9¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Won
  Yes$14.5k @ 65.0¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Won
  No$45 @ 89.0¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Won
  No$1.3k @ 79.2¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$25.0k @ 85.8¢
• Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?Won
  No$2.9k @ 88.6¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Lost
  No$2.2k @ 49.8¢
• Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 59.0¢
• Will "Hormuz" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Lost
  Yes$61 @ 67.6¢
• Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1?Won
  No$47 @ 85.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Won
  No$700 @ 90.0¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Won
  No$1.4k @ 86.2¢
• US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Lost
  Yes$456 @ 86.4¢
• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Won
  No$162 @ 45.3¢
• Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?Won
  No$570 @ 77.4¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Won
  No$9.3k @ 86.6¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Lost
  No$59 @ 87.0¢
• Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Won
  No$45 @ 40.0¢
• US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Lost
  No$600 @ 0.8¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?Lost
  No$5.1k @ 62.2¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$1.1k @ 66.8¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Won
  No$514 @ 83.7¢
• Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 58.3¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Won
  No$2.3k @ 81.6¢
• Will "Oil" or "Gas" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Won
  Yes$10 @ 84.0¢
• US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by June 30?Won
  No$2.6k @ 85.8¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Won
  No$75 @ 35.7¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
  No$2.9k @ 73.3¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
  Yes$13.0k @ 48.1¢
• Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30?Won
  No$74 @ 79.9¢
• Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Won
  No$452 @ 88.4¢
• Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Lost
  Yes$4.7k @ 55.0¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Lost
  Yes$100 @ 26.4¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Won
  No$1.4k @ 83.8¢

Current positions

• Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics
  No$8.9k @ 77.9¢
• Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$5.5k @ 65.9¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$5.0k @ 77.9¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$2.7k @ 66.0¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics
  No$2.4k @ 74.2¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$2.0k @ 62.5¢
• OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech
  No$2.0k @ 84.4¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Politics
  No$2.0k @ 88.0¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech
  No$1.9k @ 92.5¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$1.8k @ 84.4¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$1.5k @ 51.7¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$1.4k @ 73.3¢
• Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics
  No$1.2k @ 75.8¢
• Will Solana dip to $70 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$1.2k @ 67.3¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$1.1k @ 58.2¢
• Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.0k @ 72.6¢
• Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?Politics
  No$1.0k @ 90.2¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics
  No$943 @ 85.7¢
• Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$920 @ 82.8¢
• Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$867 @ 88.4¢
• Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$866 @ 74.3¢
• SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Tech
  No$817 @ 63.2¢
• Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$743 @ 56.0¢
• Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$627 @ 89.6¢
• Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics
  No$561 @ 77.1¢
• Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics
  No$556 @ 92.7¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$553 @ 92.2¢
• Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$456 @ 91.2¢
• Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$451 @ 72.7¢
• Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics
  No$402 @ 50.8¢