PoliticsActiveends Oct 26, 2026

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

48.5¢

No

51.5¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 11 tracked sharps

Lean

Yes 67%No 33%

11 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x88c4…129a	Yes	$5.0k	39.2¢	6.0×	+37%	74%	Sharp
0x4488…e319	No	$1.6k	50.0¢	3.7×	+22%	58%	Sharp
0x264c…baca	Yes	$1.3k	41.8¢	4.4×	+7%	58%	Sharp
0x524d…4495	No	$1.2k	51.6¢	8.8×	+37%	30%	Sharp
0xa066…710b	Yes	$529	44.1¢	29×	+23%	43%	Profitable
0x3825…04e8	No	$478	55.4¢	53×	+11%	61%	Sharp
0x391d…def1	Yes	$120	42.8¢	6.6×	+30%	36%	Sharp
0x9163…82ae	No	$76	51.0¢	5.4×	+5%	18%	Profitable
0xf205…90b7	Yes	$49	49.0¢	0.5×	+34%	78%	Sharp
0x4c2d…f8ae	No	$48	48.0¢	0.2×	+3%	41%	Profitable
0x9032…b5c3	No	$33	50.0¢	0.5×	+28%	41%	Sharp

0x88c4…129aSharp

Yes$5.0k @ 39.2¢

Conv: 6.0×
ROI: +37%
Win%: 74%

0x4488…e319Sharp

No$1.6k @ 50.0¢

Conv: 3.7×
ROI: +22%
Win%: 58%

0x264c…bacaSharp

Yes$1.3k @ 41.8¢

Conv: 4.4×
ROI: +7%
Win%: 58%

0x524d…4495Sharp

No$1.2k @ 51.6¢

Conv: 8.8×
ROI: +37%
Win%: 30%

0xa066…710bProfitable

Yes$529 @ 44.1¢

Conv: 29×
ROI: +23%
Win%: 43%

0x3825…04e8Sharp

No$478 @ 55.4¢

Conv: 53×
ROI: +11%
Win%: 61%

0x391d…def1Sharp

Yes$120 @ 42.8¢

Conv: 6.6×
ROI: +30%
Win%: 36%

0x9163…82aeProfitable

No$76 @ 51.0¢

Conv: 5.4×
ROI: +5%
Win%: 18%

0xf205…90b7Sharp

Yes$49 @ 49.0¢

Conv: 0.5×
ROI: +34%
Win%: 78%

0x4c2d…f8aeProfitable

No$48 @ 48.0¢

Conv: 0.2×
ROI: +3%
Win%: 41%

0x9032…b5c3Sharp

No$33 @ 50.0¢

Conv: 0.5×
ROI: +28%
Win%: 41%