0x482a…c85d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x482acc0c3c6268a16482953be000b2b46cccc85d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.0pp

ROI

+24%

Win rate

36% @ 30.3¢

Brier

0.153

Resolved

2541

Avg size

$71

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	40% (139/350)	+5%	350
Other	40% (78/197)	+48%	197
Politics	33% (3/9)	-29%	9

Sports350 bets
Hit rate
40% (139/350)
ROI
+5%
Other197 bets
Hit rate
40% (78/197)
ROI
+48%
Politics9 bets
Hit rate
33% (3/9)
ROI
-29%

Track record

40% hit · 220/556

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
FBC Melgar vs. CD Comerciantes Unidos: O/U 1.5	Under	$146	10.0¢	Lost
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	No	$5	0.1¢	Lost
Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-16?	No	$629	33.8¢	Lost
Red Bull Bragantino vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	$6	1.0¢	Lost
Red Bull Bragantino vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	$75	3.0¢	Lost
Jaguares de Córdoba FC vs. Llaneros FC: O/U 1.5	Under	$100	19.0¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	$178	3.5¢	Lost
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	$698	29.8¢	Lost
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$777	28.0¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$3.0k	78.6¢	Lost
SC Braga vs. KAA Gent: O/U 1.5	Over	$130	68.6¢	Won
AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	$200	30.5¢	Lost
Internacional de Bogotá vs. Fortaleza FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	$28	1.0¢	Lost
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 0.5	Under	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5	Over	$45	17.1¢	Lost
Will Club The Strongest vs. Club Independiente Petrolero end in a draw?	Yes	$410	76.1¢	Lost
Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5	Over	$2.1k	63.4¢	Won
Malta vs. Andorra: O/U 0.5	Under	$50	1.0¢	Lost
Türkiye vs. France: O/U 1.5	Under	$608	58.0¢	Won
Celtic FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	$844	28.5¢	Won
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 1.5	Under	$526	42.0¢	Won
Real Oviedo vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5	Over	$25	2.7¢	Lost
Slovenia vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	$681	76.3¢	Won
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Under	$7	9.0¢	Lost
Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$1.5k	84.2¢	Won
Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Under	$10	11.0¢	Lost
Czechia vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5	Under	$1.7k	31.8¢	Lost
Will FK CSKA 1948 Sofia vs. Panathinaikós AO end in a draw?	Yes	$9	70.2¢	Won
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	$200	31.0¢	Lost
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Çorum FK end in a draw?	Yes	$183	85.0¢	Won
Mexico vs. Peru: O/U 2.5	Under	$300	86.0¢	Won
Barranquilla FC vs. Tigres FC: O/U 3.5	Under	$48	26.1¢	Lost
CA Mineiro vs. Montevideo City Torque: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	$431	37.4¢	Lost
France vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	$2.2k	19.9¢	Lost
Kosovo vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	$1.3k	55.7¢	Lost
SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 5.5	Over	$22	2.3¢	Lost
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5	Over	$62	0.6¢	Lost
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5	Under	$505	81.0¢	Won
Manchester City WFC vs. Real Madrid CF Femenino: O/U 2.5	Under	$1.6k	74.2¢	Won
Pendikspor vs. Van Spor FK: O/U 1.5	Under	$42	1.0¢	Lost
Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5	Over	$79	86.9¢	Lost
Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5	Under	$17	8.0¢	Won
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	$1.6k	77.3¢	Won
Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 1.5	Under	$3	83.0¢	Won
Karlsruher SC vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 1.5	Under	$228	22.8¢	Won
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5	Over	$28	8.6¢	Lost
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5	Under	$1.5k	44.7¢	Won
Spain vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5	Under	$4	88.0¢	Won
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5	Over	$422	34.5¢	Lost
Czechia vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	$477	23.1¢	Won

FBC Melgar vs. CD Comerciantes Unidos: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$146 @ 10.0¢
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?Lost
No$5 @ 0.1¢
Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-16?Lost
No$629 @ 33.8¢
Red Bull Bragantino vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: 1st Half O/U 1.5Lost
Over$6 @ 1.0¢
Red Bull Bragantino vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Under$75 @ 3.0¢
Jaguares de Córdoba FC vs. Llaneros FC: O/U 1.5Won
Under$100 @ 19.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Lost
Yes$178 @ 3.5¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Lost
Yes$698 @ 29.8¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
No$777 @ 28.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$3.0k @ 78.6¢
SC Braga vs. KAA Gent: O/U 1.5Won
Over$130 @ 68.6¢
AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Lost
Under$200 @ 30.5¢
Internacional de Bogotá vs. Fortaleza FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Lost
Over$28 @ 1.0¢
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 0.5Lost
Under$0 @ 0.2¢
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$45 @ 17.1¢
Will Club The Strongest vs. Club Independiente Petrolero end in a draw?Lost
Yes$410 @ 76.1¢
Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Won
Over$2.1k @ 63.4¢
Malta vs. Andorra: O/U 0.5Lost
Under$50 @ 1.0¢
Türkiye vs. France: O/U 1.5Won
Under$608 @ 58.0¢
Celtic FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Won
Over$844 @ 28.5¢
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 1.5Won
Under$526 @ 42.0¢
Real Oviedo vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$25 @ 2.7¢
Slovenia vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Won
Under$681 @ 76.3¢
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$7 @ 9.0¢
Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Won
Over$1.5k @ 84.2¢
Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$10 @ 11.0¢
Czechia vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$1.7k @ 31.8¢
Will FK CSKA 1948 Sofia vs. Panathinaikós AO end in a draw?Won
Yes$9 @ 70.2¢
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-09-06?Lost
Yes$200 @ 31.0¢
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Çorum FK end in a draw?Won
Yes$183 @ 85.0¢
Mexico vs. Peru: O/U 2.5Won
Under$300 @ 86.0¢
Barranquilla FC vs. Tigres FC: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$48 @ 26.1¢
CA Mineiro vs. Montevideo City Torque: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Under$431 @ 37.4¢
France vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Under$2.2k @ 19.9¢
Kosovo vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Over$1.3k @ 55.7¢
SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 5.5Lost
Over$22 @ 2.3¢
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$62 @ 0.6¢
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5Won
Under$505 @ 81.0¢
Manchester City WFC vs. Real Madrid CF Femenino: O/U 2.5Won
Under$1.6k @ 74.2¢
Pendikspor vs. Van Spor FK: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$42 @ 1.0¢
Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5Lost
Over$79 @ 86.9¢
Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5Won
Under$17 @ 8.0¢
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-04?Won
Yes$1.6k @ 77.3¢
Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 1.5Won
Under$3 @ 83.0¢
Karlsruher SC vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 1.5Won
Under$228 @ 22.8¢
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$28 @ 8.6¢
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5Won
Under$1.5k @ 44.7¢
Spain vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Won
Under$4 @ 88.0¢
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$422 @ 34.5¢
Czechia vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Won
Under$477 @ 23.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$2.7k	1.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Politics	Yes	$1.7k	30.5¢
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5	—	Under	$1.4k	85.6¢
Will Australia win on 2026-09-25?	Sports	Yes	$1.4k	74.4¢
Switzerland vs. Slovenia: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Sports	Under	$1.2k	49.9¢
Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 2 Austria?	—	Yes	$1.1k	88.2¢
RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 1.5	—	Under	$1.1k	27.2¢
CS Cienciano vs. Botafogo FR: 1st Half O/U 1.5	—	Under	$987	32.3¢
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5	—	Under	$844	74.0¢
Will Club The Strongest vs. Club Independiente Petrolero end in a draw?	—	Yes	$746	86.6¢
Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-16?	Sports	No	$629	33.8¢
Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa: O/U 2.5	—	Under	$621	25.5¢
PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: 1st Half O/U 0.5	—	Under	$613	68.6¢
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Norway?	—	Yes	$603	52.3¢
Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5	—	Under	$600	22.8¢
SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 0.5	—	Under	$579	59.0¢
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 2 Colombia?	Sports	Yes	$573	90.5¢
Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CD Riestra: O/U 1.5	Sports	Over	$572	21.5¢
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway?	Sports	Yes	$527	15.8¢
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Celta Fortuna: 1st Half O/U 2.5	—	Under	$521	86.4¢
Atlético Nacional vs. CDP Junior FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	—	Under	$511	12.3¢
Will Igdir FK win on 2026-09-07?	—	No	$482	55.5¢
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5	Sports	Under	$463	46.0¢
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 3.5	Sports	Under	$446	89.0¢
Club Puebla vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5	Sports	Under	$433	51.0¢
Exact Score: Sweden 3 - 1 Tunisia?	Sports	Yes	$432	52.3¢
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5	—	Under	$427	11.4¢
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5	—	Over	$404	1.3¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	—	No	$387	2.0¢
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 1.5	—	Under	$381	8.5¢

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$2.7k @ 1.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Politics
Yes$1.7k @ 30.5¢
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5—
Under$1.4k @ 85.6¢
Will Australia win on 2026-09-25?Sports
Yes$1.4k @ 74.4¢
Switzerland vs. Slovenia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Sports
Under$1.2k @ 49.9¢
Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 2 Austria?—
Yes$1.1k @ 88.2¢
RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 1.5—
Under$1.1k @ 27.2¢
CS Cienciano vs. Botafogo FR: 1st Half O/U 1.5—
Under$987 @ 32.3¢
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5—
Under$844 @ 74.0¢
Will Club The Strongest vs. Club Independiente Petrolero end in a draw?—
Yes$746 @ 86.6¢
Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-16?Sports
No$629 @ 33.8¢
Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa: O/U 2.5—
Under$621 @ 25.5¢
PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: 1st Half O/U 0.5—
Under$613 @ 68.6¢
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Norway?—
Yes$603 @ 52.3¢
Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5—
Under$600 @ 22.8¢
SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 0.5—
Under$579 @ 59.0¢
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 2 Colombia?Sports
Yes$573 @ 90.5¢
Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CD Riestra: O/U 1.5Sports
Over$572 @ 21.5¢
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway?Sports
Yes$527 @ 15.8¢
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Celta Fortuna: 1st Half O/U 2.5—
Under$521 @ 86.4¢
Atlético Nacional vs. CDP Junior FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5—
Under$511 @ 12.3¢
Will Igdir FK win on 2026-09-07?—
No$482 @ 55.5¢
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Sports
Under$463 @ 46.0¢
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 3.5Sports
Under$446 @ 89.0¢
Club Puebla vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5Sports
Under$433 @ 51.0¢
Exact Score: Sweden 3 - 1 Tunisia?Sports
Yes$432 @ 52.3¢
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5—
Under$427 @ 11.4¢
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5—
Over$404 @ 1.3¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?—
No$387 @ 2.0¢
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 1.5—
Under$381 @ 8.5¢