← Smart money
0x1c76…c23e
SharpEdge
+21.0pp
ROI
+38%
Win rate
49% @ 28.3¢
Brier
0.212
Resolved
134
Avg size
$48
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 56% (27/48) | +79% | 48 |
| Other | 18% (2/11) | -64% | 11 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics48 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (27/48)
- ROI
- +79%
- Other11 bets
- Hit rate
- 18% (2/11)
- ROI
- -64%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
48% hit · 29/60- Yes$175 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$174 @ 53.1¢
- Yes$352 @ 42.8¢
- Yes$37 @ 25.9¢
- Yes$111 @ 64.3¢
- Yes$145 @ 33.6¢
- Yes$39 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 9.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$118 @ 72.7¢
- Yes$25 @ 45.2¢
- Yes$97 @ 55.8¢
- Yes$31 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$31 @ 29.7¢
- Yes$508 @ 61.4¢
- No$210 @ 87.2¢
- Yes$15 @ 16.4¢
- Yes$154 @ 50.3¢
- Yes$49 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$80 @ 23.4¢
- Yes$88 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$309 @ 83.0¢
- Will the Labour Party candidate win 45-50% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?WonYes$104 @ 18.4¢
- Yes$23 @ 25.3¢
- Will the Green Party candidate win 20-25% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?LostYes$5 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 14.7¢
- Yes$96 @ 31.3¢
- Will the Green Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?LostYes$49 @ 15.7¢
- Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?LostYes$4 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$32 @ 46.6¢
- Will the Labour Party candidate win 40-45% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?LostYes$54 @ 18.0¢
- No$82 @ 63.0¢
- No$16 @ 48.4¢
- Yes$66 @ 15.5¢
- Yes$71 @ 23.0¢
- No$479 @ 10.6¢
- Yes$179 @ 74.0¢
- No$54 @ 62.9¢
- Yes$51 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 71.6¢
- No$6 @ 39.7¢
- Yes$78 @ 13.8¢
- MP$3 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$69 @ 8.5¢
- Yes$43 @ 35.5¢
- Yes$204 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$218 @ 7.0¢
- No$30 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$77 @ 5.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$1.5k @ 82.5¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 51.2¢
- Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?PoliticsYes$906 @ 58.9¢
- No$829 @ 48.8¢
- Yes$540 @ 42.7¢
- Yes$344 @ 63.7¢
- Yes$330 @ 9.3¢
- Yes$319 @ 59.4¢
- Yes$305 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$291 @ 67.1¢
- Yes$266 @ 45.8¢
- No$223 @ 7.7¢
- Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?CultureNo$192 @ 79.8¢
- Yes$180 @ 17.4¢
- No$172 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$167 @ 11.3¢
- Yes$164 @ 57.5¢
- Will Republicans win the Kansas Governor election and Democrats win the Kansas Senate election?PoliticsYes$141 @ 10.8¢
- Yes$133 @ 0.2¢
- New York$107 @ 65.4¢
- Yes$94 @ 17.2¢
- No$92 @ 59.9¢
- Yes$90 @ 64.1¢
- No$84 @ 30.0¢
- Kansas$79 @ 61.0¢
- No$78 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$69 @ 76.4¢
- No$66 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$60 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$47 @ 24.7¢