0x52f9…e1c7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x52f9c45a6fa8182649067bef26209878b935e1c7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.3pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

48% @ 41.0¢

Brier

0.215

Resolved

468

Avg size

$936

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	49% (92/187)	+15%	187
Politics	47% (28/59)	+7%	59
Sports	40% (6/15)	+65%	15
Geopolitics	56% (5/9)	+2%	9
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other187 bets
Hit rate
49% (92/187)
ROI
+15%
Politics59 bets
Hit rate
47% (28/59)
ROI
+7%
Sports15 bets
Hit rate
40% (6/15)
ROI
+65%
Geopolitics9 bets
Hit rate
56% (5/9)
ROI
+2%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

48% hit · 131/271

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	$1.0k	33.2¢	Won
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	$450	51.0¢	Won
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?	No	$100	34.7¢	Lost
Will Powell say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?	No	$200	49.7¢	Won
Will Trump say "Congratulate" or "Congratulations" during events with Polish president on September 3?	No	$100	26.7¢	Won
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?	No	$180	17.5¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	55.8¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$400	14.3¢	Lost
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?	No	$551	36.2¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$304	53.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$2.0k	59.6¢	Won
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?	No	$1.5k	38.7¢	Lost
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?	Yes	$30	67.3¢	Won
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?	No	$999	45.3¢	Won
Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?	No	$100	20.1¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	$500	26.7¢	Lost
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?	No	$200	63.2¢	Lost
US government shutdown by October 1?	No	$760	47.0¢	Lost
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during July Press Conference?	No	$100	38.7¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$27.1k	64.6¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$6.6k	49.9¢	Lost
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	$2.0k	58.5¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	$1000	11.1¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$103	5.7¢	Lost
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?	No	$1000	63.7¢	Won
Will Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?	No	$300	35.0¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?	Yes	$16	43.0¢	Lost
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?	No	$300	24.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$950	54.1¢	Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	$200	10.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$1000	54.3¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.0k	40.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$5.0k	67.0¢	Won
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$714	27.4¢	Won
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?	No	$300	48.0¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	$14.5k	71.8¢	Won
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	Yes	$100	31.3¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	$500	24.6¢	Lost
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$80	8.0¢	Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	$500	32.0¢	Won
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	$3.2k	53.9¢	Lost
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?	Yes	$300	48.0¢	Won
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?	Yes	$1.2k	51.2¢	Won
Will Donald Trump say "Hezbollah" during Syria President events on November 10?	No	$200	46.0¢	Won
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?	Yes	$200	40.1¢	Won
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 2?	Yes	$500	46.0¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 3?	Yes	$249	50.7¢	Lost
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	Yes	$300	24.9¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Illegal" or "Illegally" during events with Polish president on September 3?	No	$100	39.3¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	Yes	$4.9k	70.8¢	Won

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Won
No$1.0k @ 33.2¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Won
No$450 @ 51.0¢
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?Lost
No$100 @ 34.7¢
Will Powell say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?Won
No$200 @ 49.7¢
Will Trump say "Congratulate" or "Congratulations" during events with Polish president on September 3?Won
No$100 @ 26.7¢
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Lost
No$180 @ 17.5¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 55.8¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$400 @ 14.3¢
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Lost
No$551 @ 36.2¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$304 @ 53.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 59.6¢
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?Lost
No$1.5k @ 38.7¢
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?Won
Yes$30 @ 67.3¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Won
No$999 @ 45.3¢
Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?Won
No$100 @ 20.1¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Lost
Yes$500 @ 26.7¢
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?Lost
No$200 @ 63.2¢
US government shutdown by October 1?Lost
No$760 @ 47.0¢
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during July Press Conference?Won
No$100 @ 38.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$27.1k @ 64.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$6.6k @ 49.9¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$2.0k @ 58.5¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Lost
No$1000 @ 11.1¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$103 @ 5.7¢
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?Won
No$1000 @ 63.7¢
Will Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?Lost
No$300 @ 35.0¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?Lost
Yes$16 @ 43.0¢
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?Won
No$300 @ 24.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$950 @ 54.1¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Lost
No$200 @ 10.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$1000 @ 54.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 40.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
No$5.0k @ 67.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$714 @ 27.4¢
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?Won
No$300 @ 48.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Won
No$14.5k @ 71.8¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Won
Yes$100 @ 31.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$500 @ 24.6¢
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?Lost
Yes$80 @ 8.0¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Won
No$500 @ 32.0¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Lost
Yes$3.2k @ 53.9¢
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?Won
Yes$300 @ 48.0¢
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 51.2¢
Will Donald Trump say "Hezbollah" during Syria President events on November 10?Won
No$200 @ 46.0¢
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?Won
Yes$200 @ 40.1¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 2?Lost
Yes$500 @ 46.0¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 3?Lost
Yes$249 @ 50.7¢
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Lost
Yes$300 @ 24.9¢
Will Trump say "Illegal" or "Illegally" during events with Polish president on September 3?Won
No$100 @ 39.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Won
Yes$4.9k @ 70.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$5.7k	48.6¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$1.6k	39.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Politics	Yes	$1.5k	41.0¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Geopolitics	No	$1.5k	67.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Politics	Yes	$1000	50.7¢
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$700	12.9¢
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$500	31.4¢
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$70	2.0¢

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$5.7k @ 48.6¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$1.6k @ 39.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics
Yes$1.5k @ 41.0¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Geopolitics
No$1.5k @ 67.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Politics
Yes$1000 @ 50.7¢
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Politics
Yes$700 @ 12.9¢
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$500 @ 31.4¢
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$70 @ 2.0¢