← Smart money
0x0e97…8ffa
SharpEdge
+2.2pp
ROI
+7%
Win rate
26% @ 24.1¢
Brier
0.130
Resolved
2819
Avg size
$74
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 30% (95/317) | +18% | 317 |
| Other | 30% (61/206) | -6% | 206 |
| Politics | 10% (1/10) | +40% | 10 |
- Sports317 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (95/317)
- ROI
- +18%
- Other206 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (61/206)
- ROI
- -6%
- Politics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 10% (1/10)
- ROI
- +40%
Track record
29% hit · 157/533- Yes$50 @ 9.0¢
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?LostYes$128 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$409 @ 31.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 24.1¢
- Yes$257 @ 77.0¢
- Under$56 @ 3.0¢
- No$44 @ 66.5¢
- Over$532 @ 49.9¢
- Over$16 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$402 @ 61.0¢
- Under$31 @ 4.0¢
- No$0 @ 3.0¢
- Over$2.5k @ 38.9¢
- Under$100 @ 1.0¢
- No$3 @ 0.6¢
- Over$3.4k @ 57.1¢
- Under$383 @ 44.0¢
- No$15 @ 3.0¢
- Under$500 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$515 @ 41.0¢
- Under$16 @ 1.0¢
- Under$428 @ 13.7¢
- Over$2 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$72 @ 88.0¢
- Under$1.0k @ 43.5¢
- No$3 @ 0.1¢
- Over$30 @ 26.2¢
- Over$654 @ 56.1¢
- Under$101 @ 5.0¢
- Under$26 @ 1.3¢
- Over$20 @ 1.0¢
- Under$1.0k @ 80.1¢
- Under$165 @ 2.4¢
- Over$216 @ 68.1¢
- Under$302 @ 6.0¢
- No$303 @ 9.2¢
- Over$376 @ 78.0¢
- Over$0 @ 2.0¢
- Under$502 @ 63.0¢
- Over$1.2k @ 81.5¢
- Under$378 @ 8.9¢
- Over$61 @ 2.0¢
- No$659 @ 18.8¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 83.0¢
- Under$1.9k @ 44.3¢
- Over$1 @ 8.0¢
- Over$322 @ 39.0¢
- No$10 @ 2.0¢
- Under$23 @ 5.0¢
- Over$10 @ 2.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Under$2.0k @ 43.2¢
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?PoliticsYes$1.4k @ 30.8¢
- Under$908 @ 54.6¢
- Under$890 @ 29.6¢
- Under$865 @ 27.4¢
- Under$737 @ 5.5¢
- Yes$690 @ 0.8¢
- No$686 @ 20.6¢
- Under$673 @ 14.7¢
- Under$671 @ 40.1¢
- Under$652 @ 14.8¢
- Under$619 @ 27.8¢
- Under$601 @ 80.5¢
- Under$524 @ 77.5¢
- Under$504 @ 5.2¢
- Under$501 @ 8.0¢
- Under$500 @ 10.0¢
- Under$498 @ 3.0¢
- Under$497 @ 15.9¢
- Under$433 @ 6.6¢
- Yes$430 @ 1.3¢
- No$383 @ 66.6¢
- Under$358 @ 92.2¢
- Under$348 @ 25.8¢
- Over$337 @ 46.5¢
- Under$311 @ 13.7¢
- Under$309 @ 5.8¢
- Under$305 @ 8.8¢
- Under$304 @ 3.9¢
- Under$293 @ 31.9¢