0x2a01…6397

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics130 bets

  Hit rate

  58% (75/130)

  ROI

  +6%

• Sports56 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (28/56)

  ROI

  +10%

• Culture34 bets

  Hit rate

  79% (27/34)

  ROI

  +9%

• Other33 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (22/33)

  ROI

  +1%

• Geopolitics18 bets

  Hit rate

  72% (13/18)

  ROI

  +8%

• Tech14 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (7/14)

  ROI

  +2%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +7%

• Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 2.2¢
• Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 2.2¢
• Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 2.2¢
• Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 2.2¢
• Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 2.2¢
• Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 2.2¢
• Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 2.2¢
• Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 2.2¢
• Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 2.2¢
• Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 2.2¢
• Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 2.2¢
• Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 2.2¢
• Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 2.2¢
• Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 2.2¢
• Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 2.2¢
• Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 2.2¢
• Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 2.2¢
• Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 2.2¢
• Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 2.2¢
• Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 2.2¢
• Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 2.2¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseWon
  No$2.9k @ 98.3¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseLost
  Yes$819 @ 23.0¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseWon
  Yes$600 @ 20.0¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseLost
  Yes$600 @ 20.0¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseWon
  No$860 @ 86.0¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: OtherLost
  Yes$1.1k @ 23.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
  Yes$1.8k @ 92.0¢
• Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Won
  No$63 @ 97.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
  Yes$144 @ 72.0¢
• Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Won
  No$7 @ 95.1¢
• Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Won
  No$29 @ 95.2¢
• Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Won
  No$560 @ 89.9¢
• Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Won
  No$87 @ 95.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Won
  No$277 @ 93.5¢
• Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Won
  Yes$355 @ 94.3¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
  No$1.8k @ 92.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Won
  Yes$66 @ 93.7¢
• Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Won
  Yes$430 @ 86.0¢
• Will the Republican Party win the AL-06 House seat?Lost
  No$2 @ 3.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat?Won
  Yes$113 @ 94.5¢
• Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
  No$347 @ 65.0¢
• Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Won
  Yes$1.9k @ 94.9¢
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Won
  Yes$350 @ 70.0¢
• Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Won
  No$983 @ 98.3¢
• Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Won
  Yes$11.8k @ 97.1¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-03 House seat?Won
  Yes$982 @ 98.2¢
• Will the Republican Party win the IN-01 House seat?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 3.0¢
• Will the Republican Party win the AZ-03 House seat?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 0.5¢
• Will the Republican Party win the GA-07 House seat?Lost
  No$50 @ 5.0¢

Current positions

• Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?Politics
  No$15.3k @ 96.6¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$14.3k @ 84.0¢
• Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Politics
  No$11.5k @ 93.7¢
• Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Politics
  No$10.1k @ 83.9¢
• Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$9.3k @ 98.6¢
• Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?Tech
  No$6.5k @ 92.6¢
• Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$5.9k @ 97.5¢
• Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  No$4.7k @ 83.6¢
• Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$3.9k @ 98.2¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
  No$3.7k @ 93.6¢
• Will Daniel Craig be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  No$3.7k @ 93.0¢
• Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  No$2.7k @ 91.7¢
• Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$2.5k @ 93.6¢
• Will Robert Aramayo be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  No$2.0k @ 93.6¢
• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$2.0k @ 98.3¢
• Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?Politics
  No$1.9k @ 96.0¢
• Will Adam Scott be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  No$1.9k @ 94.3¢
• Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  No$1.9k @ 87.0¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 98.4¢
• Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics
  No$1.7k @ 95.4¢
• Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?Politics
  No$1.6k @ 94.2¢
• Will "Toy Story 5" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  No$1.5k @ 89.3¢
• Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.4k @ 92.0¢
• Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Culture
  Yes$1.4k @ 68.0¢
• Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  No$1.3k @ 92.1¢
• Will "Cry to Heaven" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  No$1.1k @ 91.3¢
• Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.0k @ 95.9¢
• Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  No$1.0k @ 92.0¢
• Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?Politics
  No$1.0k @ 95.4¢
• Will Palmer Luckey attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.0k @ 95.0¢