← Smart money
0x42a0…4239
SharpEdge
+1.4pp
ROI
+255%
Win rate
2% @ 0.6¢
Brier
0.011
Resolved
243
Avg size
$13
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 20% (2/10) | -15% | 10 |
- Politics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (2/10)
- ROI
- -15%
Track record
20% hit · 2/10- Yes$17 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 29.8¢
- Yes$190 @ 28.2¢
- Yes$195 @ 39.0¢
- No$8.2k @ 61.2¢
- Yes$100 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$90 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$105 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$50 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$2.9k @ 25.9¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | No | $8.2k | 61.2¢ |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%? | Politics | Yes | $1.6k | 29.8¢ |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | Politics | Yes | $195 | 39.0¢ |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%? | Politics | Yes | $190 | 28.2¢ |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $100 | 22.0¢ |
| Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31? | Politics | Yes | $50 | 4.8¢ |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%? | Politics | Yes | $17 | 13.0¢ |
- No$8.2k @ 61.2¢
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?PoliticsYes$1.6k @ 29.8¢
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?PoliticsYes$195 @ 39.0¢
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?PoliticsYes$190 @ 28.2¢
- Yes$100 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 4.8¢
- Yes$17 @ 13.0¢