0x2220…1a0f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x2220498c3b544b9dd9c062ccf4ab9c0ff2191a0f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.5pp

ROI

+36%

Win rate

31% @ 25.0¢

Brier

0.143

Resolved

2770

Avg size

$76

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	33% (100/302)	+41%	302
Other	27% (49/183)	+34%	183
Politics	17% (2/12)	-62%	12

Sports302 bets
Hit rate
33% (100/302)
ROI
+41%
Other183 bets
Hit rate
27% (49/183)
ROI
+34%
Politics12 bets
Hit rate
17% (2/12)
ROI
-62%

Track record

30% hit · 151/497

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$53	2.0¢	Lost
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$41	16.0¢	Lost
Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$155	11.0¢	Lost
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	$200	6.0¢	Lost
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	$200	28.0¢	Lost
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$184	16.0¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$1000	77.0¢	Lost
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$350	37.7¢	Lost
Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5	Over	$1.0k	52.5¢	Won
Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5	Under	$89	9.7¢	Lost
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-10-03?	No	$534	19.1¢	Lost
Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Under	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-20?	No	$33	1.0¢	Lost
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5	Over	$397	46.5¢	Lost
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5	Under	$10	78.0¢	Won
Celtic FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	$1.5k	31.0¢	Won
Latvia vs. Cyprus: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	$427	29.0¢	Won
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-20?	No	$21	0.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Belgium?	Yes	$94	2.2¢	Lost
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5	Over	$57	16.0¢	Lost
Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	$50	2.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$319	7.6¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	Over	$500	50.0¢	Lost
FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	$4.5k	72.0¢	Won
Will Azerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw?	No	$100	2.0¢	Lost
Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 5.5	Over	$90	2.1¢	Lost
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?	No	$41	2.0¢	Lost
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Under	$202	72.0¢	Won
Atlético Nacional vs. CDPJuniorFC: O/U 1.5	Over	$56	35.8¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-10-03?	No	$210	2.0¢	Lost
Mexico vs. Peru: O/U 2.5	Over	$282	57.9¢	Lost
Will St. Truidense VV vs. Lommel SK end in a draw?	No	$11	42.0¢	Lost
France vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	$1.2k	33.6¢	Lost
CDPJuniorFC vs. Atlético Nacional: O/U 1.5	Under	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?	No	$42	0.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?	No	$194	56.0¢	Won
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5	Over	$26	3.3¢	Lost
Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-30?	No	$46	0.2¢	Lost
Will Deportes Quindio win on 2026-10-15?	No	$255	33.0¢	Won
Denmark vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 3.5	Over	$467	38.8¢	Lost
Manchester City WFC vs. Real Madrid CF Femenino: O/U 2.5	Over	$21	27.2¢	Lost
Manchester City WFC vs. Real Madrid CF Femenino: O/U 2.5	Under	$504	84.0¢	Won
Atlético Nacional vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 3.5	Under	$100	12.0¢	Lost
EC Bahia vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5	Over	$255	33.0¢	Lost
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	$403	61.1¢	Won
Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$487	70.4¢	Lost
Will Croatia vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	$16	6.0¢	Lost
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5	Under	$16	1.0¢	Lost
Will Finland win on 2026-10-03?	No	$182	26.0¢	Lost

Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Lost
Yamal$5 @ 1.0¢
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$53 @ 2.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$41 @ 16.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$155 @ 11.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Lost
Yes$200 @ 6.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Lost
Yes$200 @ 28.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
No$184 @ 16.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$1000 @ 77.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
No$350 @ 37.7¢
Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Won
Over$1.0k @ 52.5¢
Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$89 @ 9.7¢
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-10-03?Lost
No$534 @ 19.1¢
Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-20?Lost
No$33 @ 1.0¢
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$397 @ 46.5¢
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5Won
Under$10 @ 78.0¢
Celtic FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Won
Over$1.5k @ 31.0¢
Latvia vs. Cyprus: 1st Half O/U 0.5Won
Under$427 @ 29.0¢
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-20?Lost
No$21 @ 0.1¢
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Belgium?Lost
Yes$94 @ 2.2¢
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Lost
Over$57 @ 16.0¢
Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Under$50 @ 2.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLost
Switzerland$319 @ 7.6¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$500 @ 50.0¢
FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Won
Over$4.5k @ 72.0¢
Will Azerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw?Lost
No$100 @ 2.0¢
Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 5.5Lost
Over$90 @ 2.1¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?Lost
No$41 @ 2.0¢
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Won
Under$202 @ 72.0¢
Atlético Nacional vs. CDPJuniorFC: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$56 @ 35.8¢
Will England win on 2026-10-03?Lost
No$210 @ 2.0¢
Mexico vs. Peru: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$282 @ 57.9¢
Will St. Truidense VV vs. Lommel SK end in a draw?Lost
No$11 @ 42.0¢
France vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Under$1.2k @ 33.6¢
CDPJuniorFC vs. Atlético Nacional: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$5 @ 1.0¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?Lost
No$42 @ 0.1¢
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?Won
No$194 @ 56.0¢
Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$26 @ 3.3¢
Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-30?Lost
No$46 @ 0.2¢
Will Deportes Quindio win on 2026-10-15?Won
No$255 @ 33.0¢
Denmark vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 3.5Lost
Over$467 @ 38.8¢
Manchester City WFC vs. Real Madrid CF Femenino: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$21 @ 27.2¢
Manchester City WFC vs. Real Madrid CF Femenino: O/U 2.5Won
Under$504 @ 84.0¢
Atlético Nacional vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$100 @ 12.0¢
EC Bahia vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$255 @ 33.0¢
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-04?Won
Yes$403 @ 61.1¢
Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$487 @ 70.4¢
Will Croatia vs. Spain end in a draw?Lost
Yes$16 @ 6.0¢
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$16 @ 1.0¢
Will Finland win on 2026-10-03?Lost
No$182 @ 26.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$4.0k	73.6¢
São Paulo FC vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5	—	Over	$3.8k	61.0¢
United States vs. Chile: O/U 5.5	Sports	Under	$3.4k	37.6¢
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-08-24?	—	Yes	$3.0k	55.2¢
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5	—	Over	$2.2k	39.9¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Politics	Yes	$2.1k	29.4¢
Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$2.1k	51.0¢
Clube do Remo vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5	—	Over	$2.0k	53.0¢
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?	—	Yes	$2.0k	45.0¢
Borussia Dortmund vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 3.5	—	Over	$1.8k	48.0¢
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-01?	Sports	No	$1.5k	11.3¢
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-22?	—	No	$1.4k	45.0¢
FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$1.3k	35.5¢
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?	—	No	$1.0k	29.7¢
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5	—	Under	$1000	76.0¢
FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5	—	Under	$1000	19.5¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Sports	No	$905	0.2¢
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	Politics	No	$885	2.4¢
Will Australia win on 2026-09-25?	Sports	Yes	$817	76.6¢
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5	Sports	Under	$807	46.0¢
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5	—	Under	$662	14.3¢
Exact Score: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 0 - 3 CR Flamengo?	—	Yes	$610	58.7¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$598	21.6¢
Switzerland vs. Slovenia: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Sports	Under	$586	24.7¢
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5	—	Under	$529	47.4¢
Will Águilas Doradas Rionegro win on 2026-08-15?	Sports	No	$525	5.0¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-17?	Sports	No	$518	6.3¢
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5	Sports	Under	$500	16.0¢
Frosinone Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: 1st Half O/U 3.5	Sports	Under	$500	8.0¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5	—	Over	$500	39.0¢

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$4.0k @ 73.6¢
São Paulo FC vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5—
Over$3.8k @ 61.0¢
United States vs. Chile: O/U 5.5Sports
Under$3.4k @ 37.6¢
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-08-24?—
Yes$3.0k @ 55.2¢
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5—
Over$2.2k @ 39.9¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Politics
Yes$2.1k @ 29.4¢
Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5—
Over$2.1k @ 51.0¢
Clube do Remo vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5—
Over$2.0k @ 53.0¢
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?—
Yes$2.0k @ 45.0¢
Borussia Dortmund vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 3.5—
Over$1.8k @ 48.0¢
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-01?Sports
No$1.5k @ 11.3¢
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-22?—
No$1.4k @ 45.0¢
FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5—
Over$1.3k @ 35.5¢
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?—
No$1.0k @ 29.7¢
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5—
Under$1000 @ 76.0¢
FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5—
Under$1000 @ 19.5¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Sports
No$905 @ 0.2¢
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Politics
No$885 @ 2.4¢
Will Australia win on 2026-09-25?Sports
Yes$817 @ 76.6¢
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Sports
Under$807 @ 46.0¢
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5—
Under$662 @ 14.3¢
Exact Score: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 0 - 3 CR Flamengo?—
Yes$610 @ 58.7¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$598 @ 21.6¢
Switzerland vs. Slovenia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Sports
Under$586 @ 24.7¢
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5—
Under$529 @ 47.4¢
Will Águilas Doradas Rionegro win on 2026-08-15?Sports
No$525 @ 5.0¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-17?Sports
No$518 @ 6.3¢
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5Sports
Under$500 @ 16.0¢
Frosinone Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: 1st Half O/U 3.5Sports
Under$500 @ 8.0¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5—
Over$500 @ 39.0¢