← Smart money
0x3c01…d612
SharpEdge
+11.0pp
ROI
+13%
Win rate
62% @ 50.8¢
Brier
0.134
Resolved
1356
Avg size
$147
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 65% (72/110) | +10% | 110 |
| Sports | 64% (14/22) | +27% | 22 |
| Politics | 78% (7/9) | +24% | 9 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +28% | 1 |
- Other110 bets
- Hit rate
- 65% (72/110)
- ROI
- +10%
- Sports22 bets
- Hit rate
- 64% (14/22)
- ROI
- +27%
- Politics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 78% (7/9)
- ROI
- +24%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +28%
Track record
66% hit · 94/142- Yes$20 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$340 @ 34.0¢
- Seahawks$964 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$368 @ 52.6¢
- Yes$634 @ 56.1¢
- No$863 @ 61.9¢
- No$1.0k @ 88.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 70.0¢
- Sydney Roosters$594 @ 65.0¢
- Patriots$790 @ 79.0¢
- Seahawks$305 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$201 @ 2.6¢
- Indiana$450 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 56.7¢
- Eagles$253 @ 80.0¢
- Will India win?LostYes$3.1k @ 88.0¢
- Seahawks$3.2k @ 80.6¢
- Bublik$320 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$400 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$130 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 48.8¢
- Yes$18.3k @ 89.0¢
- Bucks$51 @ 69.0¢
- Pacers$94 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$268 @ 18.4¢
- Yes$508 @ 17.0¢
- No$322 @ 52.3¢
- Minaur$236 @ 78.7¢
- No$1.2k @ 81.1¢
- Trail Blazers$21 @ 42.0¢
- No$710 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$11.0k @ 89.0¢
- Yes$432 @ 21.6¢
- Thunder$200 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$102 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$304 @ 64.0¢
- Melbourne Stars$106 @ 53.0¢
- Pistons$110 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$710 @ 71.0¢
- Grizzlies$123 @ 81.6¢
- Canadiens$800 @ 80.0¢
- No$205 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$257 @ 51.0¢
- Bucks$84 @ 84.0¢
- Rybakina$425 @ 85.0¢
- Gauff$292 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$999 @ 70.9¢
- Hurricanes$100 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$95 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 31.9¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Economy | Yes | $21.5k | 75.6¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | Yes | $3.8k | 91.0¢ |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $3.5k | 46.2¢ |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | Politics | Yes | $1.0k | 35.0¢ |
| Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East? | Sports | Yes | $590 | 59.0¢ |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Sports | Yes | $2 | 6.4¢ |
- Yes$21.5k @ 75.6¢
- Yes$3.8k @ 91.0¢
- Yes$3.5k @ 46.2¢
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?PoliticsYes$1.0k @ 35.0¢
- Yes$590 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 6.4¢