0xabb9…2b63

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xabb9d267cc87bca23321768cae85ee4779a42b63
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.4pp

ROI

+26%

Win rate

64% @ 56.0¢

Brier

0.184

Resolved

222

Avg size

$26

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	63% (24/38)	+38%	38
Other	42% (8/19)	-13%	19

Politics38 bets
Hit rate
63% (24/38)
ROI
+38%
Other19 bets
Hit rate
42% (8/19)
ROI
-13%

Track record

56% hit · 32/57

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$95	38.8¢	Lost
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$17	89.0¢	Won
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$8	12.3¢	Lost
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	$55	88.0¢	Won
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?	M	$15	39.0¢	Won
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	Under	$192	74.0¢	Won
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	$75	70.1¢	Won
Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	$8	16.9¢	Lost
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	No	$12	69.0¢	Won
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	Yes	$23	37.0¢	Lost
Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by less than 1%?	Yes	$5	88.0¢	Won
Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?	No	$6	74.0¢	Lost
Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?	No	$12	83.4¢	Won
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?	No	$142	51.1¢	Lost
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$315	33.4¢	Won
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?	No	$6	39.6¢	Won
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	No	$205	67.3¢	Won
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$193	23.3¢	Lost
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$266	34.0¢	Lost
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	$48	69.5¢	Won
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$2	31.0¢	Won
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	$22	74.0¢	Won
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$21	51.0¢	Lost
Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?	Yes	$8	17.6¢	Lost
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?	No	$72	62.4¢	Won
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	$205	77.1¢	Lost
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$23	56.0¢	Won
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes?	Yes	$5	20.7¢	Lost
Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?	Yes	$110	82.3¢	Won
Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD?	AfD	$28	32.5¢	Lost
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	$30	25.0¢	Won
Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?	No	$28	72.0¢	Won
Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	$18	76.8¢	Lost
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$315	63.3¢	Won
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	$69	34.7¢	Won
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$269	55.7¢	Won
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	$72	66.4¢	Lost
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$815	58.6¢	Won
Will Rob Adkerson be the Republican nominee for GA-11?	Yes	$8	39.0¢	Lost
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	$286	86.4¢	Won
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?	Yes	$551	87.9¢	Won
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$31	87.7¢	Lost
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	$108	63.0¢	Won
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	$12	36.8¢	Lost
Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	$2	16.0¢	Lost
Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?	Yes	$39	48.1¢	Lost
Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	$6	24.6¢	Lost
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	$286	54.3¢	Won
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	Yes	$88	81.0¢	Won
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	$10	8.6¢	Lost

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
Yes$95 @ 38.8¢
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Won
Yes$17 @ 89.0¢
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?Lost
Yes$8 @ 12.3¢
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?Won
Yes$55 @ 88.0¢
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?Won
M$15 @ 39.0¢
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?Won
Under$192 @ 74.0¢
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Won
Yes$75 @ 70.1¢
Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Lost
Yes$8 @ 16.9¢
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Won
No$12 @ 69.0¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Lost
Yes$23 @ 37.0¢
Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by less than 1%?Won
Yes$5 @ 88.0¢
Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?Lost
No$6 @ 74.0¢
Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?Won
No$12 @ 83.4¢
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?Lost
No$142 @ 51.1¢
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Won
Yes$315 @ 33.4¢
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?Won
No$6 @ 39.6¢
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Won
No$205 @ 67.3¢
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Lost
Yes$193 @ 23.3¢
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Lost
Yes$266 @ 34.0¢
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Won
No$48 @ 69.5¢
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Won
Yes$2 @ 31.0¢
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Won
Yes$22 @ 74.0¢
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
Yes$21 @ 51.0¢
Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?Lost
Yes$8 @ 17.6¢
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?Won
No$72 @ 62.4¢
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Lost
Yes$205 @ 77.1¢
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Won
No$23 @ 56.0¢
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes?Lost
Yes$5 @ 20.7¢
Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?Won
Yes$110 @ 82.3¢
Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD?Lost
AfD$28 @ 32.5¢
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Won
Yes$30 @ 25.0¢
Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?Won
No$28 @ 72.0¢
Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?Lost
Yes$18 @ 76.8¢
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Won
Yes$315 @ 63.3¢
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Won
No$69 @ 34.7¢
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?Won
Yes$269 @ 55.7¢
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Lost
Yes$72 @ 66.4¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
Yes$815 @ 58.6¢
Will Rob Adkerson be the Republican nominee for GA-11?Lost
Yes$8 @ 39.0¢
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Won
Yes$286 @ 86.4¢
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?Won
Yes$551 @ 87.9¢
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Lost
Yes$31 @ 87.7¢
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Won
Yes$108 @ 63.0¢
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Lost
Yes$12 @ 36.8¢
Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?Lost
Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?Lost
Yes$39 @ 48.1¢
Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Lost
Yes$6 @ 24.6¢
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Won
No$286 @ 54.3¢
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?Won
Yes$88 @ 81.0¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?Lost
Yes$10 @ 8.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$1.6k	77.2¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$624	36.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$284	68.3¢
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$271	74.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$261	85.9¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$237	90.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$202	83.0¢
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	—	Under	$190	74.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$189	47.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$176	89.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$167	93.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$158	86.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-12 House seat?	Politics	No	$154	89.8¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?	Politics	No	$125	92.6¢
Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?	Politics	No	$117	85.3¢
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$106	90.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?	Politics	No	$103	92.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$101	91.5¢
Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$97	90.7¢
Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$91	91.1¢
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-09 House seat?	Politics	No	$89	91.8¢
Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$86	99.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-05 House seat?	Politics	No	$85	91.3¢
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Politics	Yes	$80	84.8¢
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-14 House seat?	Politics	No	$77	91.5¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$75	88.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$72	84.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-21 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$69	89.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-27 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$68	96.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-13 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$66	95.0¢

Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics
No$1.6k @ 77.2¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$624 @ 36.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$284 @ 68.3¢
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Politics
Yes$271 @ 74.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$261 @ 85.9¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?Politics
Yes$237 @ 90.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Politics
No$202 @ 83.0¢
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?—
Under$190 @ 74.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$189 @ 47.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?Politics
Yes$176 @ 89.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?Politics
Yes$167 @ 93.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$158 @ 86.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-12 House seat?Politics
No$154 @ 89.8¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?Politics
No$125 @ 92.6¢
Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?Politics
No$117 @ 85.3¢
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?Politics
Yes$106 @ 90.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?Politics
No$103 @ 92.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?Politics
Yes$101 @ 91.5¢
Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?Politics
Yes$97 @ 90.7¢
Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?Politics
Yes$91 @ 91.1¢
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-09 House seat?Politics
No$89 @ 91.8¢
Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?Politics
Yes$86 @ 99.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-05 House seat?Politics
No$85 @ 91.3¢
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics
Yes$80 @ 84.8¢
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-14 House seat?Politics
No$77 @ 91.5¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?Politics
Yes$75 @ 88.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$72 @ 84.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-21 House seat?Politics
Yes$69 @ 89.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-27 House seat?Politics
Yes$68 @ 96.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-13 House seat?Politics
Yes$66 @ 95.0¢