← Smart money
0x88b5…205c
SharpEdge
+32.5pp
ROI
+42%
Win rate
99% @ 66.1¢
Brier
0.124
Resolved
548
Avg size
$437
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 82% (9/11) | +42% | 11 |
| Politics | 67% (2/3) | +43% | 3 |
- Other11 bets
- Hit rate
- 82% (9/11)
- ROI
- +42%
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +43%
Track record
79% hit · 11/14- Yes$22.6k @ 86.0¢
- Yes$111.8k @ 69.0¢
- Yes$3.1k @ 74.3¢
- Yes$18 @ 65.4¢
- Yes$14 @ 9.7¢
- No$58.1k @ 70.5¢
- Yes$7.2k @ 35.8¢
- Yes$13.8k @ 69.0¢
- No$6.3k @ 55.8¢
- Yes$16.8k @ 48.0¢
- No$41.2k @ 69.4¢
- Yes$20 @ 31.7¢
- Yes$77.1k @ 70.4¢
- Yes$3.0k @ 72.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $225.0k | 50.0¢ |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | No | $225.0k | 50.0¢ |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | No | $8.8k | 80.0¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | Yes | $240 | 80.0¢ |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | — | Yes | $13 | 6.5¢ |
- Yes$225.0k @ 50.0¢
- No$225.0k @ 50.0¢
- No$8.8k @ 80.0¢
- Yes$240 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 6.5¢