0x88b5…205c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x88b59d79b6e1659c95a0043028e5bb7a26e6205c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+29.5pp

ROI

+40%

Win rate

99% @ 69.3¢

Brier

0.106

Resolved

650

Avg size

$382

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	31% (10/32)	+34%	32
Other	64% (9/14)	+41%	14
Sports	86% (6/7)	-25%	7

Politics32 bets
Hit rate
31% (10/32)
ROI
+34%
Other14 bets
Hit rate
64% (9/14)
ROI
+41%
Sports7 bets
Hit rate
86% (6/7)
ROI
-25%

Track record

47% hit · 25/53

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	$812	88.2¢	Won
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	$3.1k	93.3¢	Won
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	$77	76.7¢	Won
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	$30	99.1¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2.0k	17.8¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$773	51.5¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	$115	56.0¢	Lost
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	$4	6.5¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance	Croatia	$64	32.0¢	Lost
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$17	43.0¢	Won
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?	Yes	$22.6k	86.0¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$109.3k	69.2¢	Won
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?	Yes	$3.1k	74.3¢	Won
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$10	68.0¢	Won
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9-12%?	Yes	$14	9.7¢	Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	$48.5k	72.2¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	$7.2k	35.8¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$13.8k	69.0¢	Won
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?	No	$6.3k	55.8¢	Won
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	No	$5.1k	87.9¢	Won
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?	Yes	$16.8k	48.0¢	Won
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	$600	91.4¢	Won
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?	No	$150	75.0¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	No	$50	50.0¢	Won
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	$257	58.5¢	Won
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.9–1.0%?	Yes	$1.6k	4.3¢	Lost
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.9–1.0%?	Yes	$1.8k	4.3¢	Lost
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?	Yes	$1.1k	4.3¢	Lost
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?	Yes	$1.8k	4.3¢	Lost
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?	Yes	$1.1k	4.3¢	Lost
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	$1.5k	4.3¢	Lost
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	Yes	$1.5k	4.3¢	Lost
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	Yes	$1.8k	4.3¢	Lost
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?	Yes	$1.7k	4.3¢	Lost
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?	Yes	$1.7k	4.3¢	Lost
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?	Yes	$939	4.3¢	Lost
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.6–0.7%?	Yes	$1.8k	4.3¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the World Cup?	No	$5	58.3¢	Won
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?	Yes	$1.7k	4.3¢	Lost
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?	Yes	$932	4.3¢	Lost
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.6–0.7%?	Yes	$1.6k	4.3¢	Lost
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?	Yes	$1.8k	4.3¢	Lost
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	$636	4.3¢	Lost
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?	Yes	$1.6k	4.3¢	Lost
Will another candidate win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election?	Yes	$1.5k	4.3¢	Lost
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?	Yes	$1.6k	4.3¢	Lost
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	Yes	$31.3k	41.5¢	Won
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?	Yes	$1.8k	4.3¢	Lost
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	$2.1k	72.4¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$41.2k	69.4¢	Won

Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Won
Yes$812 @ 88.2¢
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Won
Yes$3.1k @ 93.3¢
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Won
No$77 @ 76.7¢
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Won
Yes$30 @ 99.1¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2.0k @ 17.8¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$773 @ 51.5¢
Will France win on 2026-07-18?Lost
Yes$115 @ 56.0¢
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Lost
Yes$4 @ 6.5¢
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceLost
Croatia$64 @ 32.0¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
Yes$17 @ 43.0¢
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?Won
Yes$22.6k @ 86.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$109.3k @ 69.2¢
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?Won
Yes$3.1k @ 74.3¢
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$10 @ 68.0¢
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9-12%?Lost
Yes$14 @ 9.7¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Won
No$48.5k @ 72.2¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Lost
Yes$7.2k @ 35.8¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
Yes$13.8k @ 69.0¢
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?Won
No$6.3k @ 55.8¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?Won
No$5.1k @ 87.9¢
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?Won
Yes$16.8k @ 48.0¢
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Won
Yes$600 @ 91.4¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?Won
No$150 @ 75.0¢
Will England win on 2026-06-23?Won
No$50 @ 50.0¢
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Won
Yes$257 @ 58.5¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.9–1.0%?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.9–1.0%?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 4.3¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?Lost
Yes$1.7k @ 4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?Lost
Yes$1.7k @ 4.3¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?Lost
Yes$939 @ 4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.6–0.7%?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 4.3¢
Will Argentina win the World Cup?Won
No$5 @ 58.3¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?Lost
Yes$1.7k @ 4.3¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Lost
Yes$932 @ 4.3¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.6–0.7%?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 4.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 4.3¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?Lost
Yes$636 @ 4.3¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 4.3¢
Will another candidate win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 4.3¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 4.3¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Won
Yes$31.3k @ 41.5¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 4.3¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Won
Yes$2.1k @ 72.4¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$41.2k @ 69.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$85.0k	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$85.0k	50.0¢
Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?	—	No	$13.8k	98.2¢
Will the Green Party (MP) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	—	No	$13.3k	93.7¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$10.0k	50.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$10.0k	50.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$8.8k	80.0¢
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?	—	Yes	$8.8k	97.4¢
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	—	Yes	$7.8k	94.6¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$1.8k	56.0¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?	—	Yes	$484	99.3¢
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	—	No	$347	44.4¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$240	80.0¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?	—	No	$0	2.2¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$85.0k @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$85.0k @ 50.0¢
Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?—
No$13.8k @ 98.2¢
Will the Green Party (MP) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?—
No$13.3k @ 93.7¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$10.0k @ 50.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$10.0k @ 50.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$8.8k @ 80.0¢
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?—
Yes$8.8k @ 97.4¢
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?—
Yes$7.8k @ 94.6¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$1.8k @ 56.0¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?—
Yes$484 @ 99.3¢
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?—
No$347 @ 44.4¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$240 @ 80.0¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?—
No$0 @ 2.2¢