0xfe3b…ae48

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xfe3b663c38ea35a94bf20905210bb3cf943fae48
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+4.3pp

ROI

+5%

Win rate

40% @ 35.9¢

Brier

0.183

Resolved

923

Avg size

$13

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	42% (224/537)	+12%	537
Science	33% (62/189)	-11%	189
Politics	61% (14/23)	+52%	23
Sports	26% (5/19)	-34%	19
Tech	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Geopolitics	50% (2/4)	-54%	4
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other537 bets
Hit rate
42% (224/537)
ROI
+12%
Science189 bets
Hit rate
33% (62/189)
ROI
-11%
Politics23 bets
Hit rate
61% (14/23)
ROI
+52%
Sports19 bets
Hit rate
26% (5/19)
ROI
-34%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
-54%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

40% hit · 307/777

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on October 4?	No	$30	76.0¢	Won
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	$3	25.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 5?	Yes	$2	0.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 9?	No	$20	50.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 7?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on May 12?	Yes	$4	7.0¢	Lost
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-08?	No	$5	60.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 20?	No	$10	74.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 3?	Yes	$5	7.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 8?	Yes	$21	40.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on June 2?	Yes	$3	4.8¢	Lost
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?	No	$72	23.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 22?	Yes	$5	7.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 23?	Yes	$2	34.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 4?	Yes	$20	59.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 9?	Yes	$10	27.7¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	$10	45.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 23?	Yes	$20	51.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 23?	No	$51	67.0¢	Won
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$50	87.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 21?	Yes	$21	44.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 23?	Yes	$8	22.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 20?	Yes	$1	1.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?	Yes	$51	46.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 17?	Yes	$21	31.9¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 27?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on October 16?	Yes	$20	64.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 12?	No	$20	69.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 17?	Yes	$20	53.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on March 18?	Yes	$10	76.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 2?	No	$20	61.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 15?	Yes	$21	33.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on August 12?	Yes	$5	4.9¢	Lost
0x0b052622…	Yes	$21	61.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 26?	Yes	$10	26.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	15.1¢	Lost
0x0c61c753…	Yes	$5	17.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 10?	No	$10	60.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on May 4?	Yes	$10	18.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 16?	No	$50	85.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 6?	No	$10	50.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 29?	Yes	$5	7.6¢	Won
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alex Pereira	$15	51.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?	No	$10	26.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on June 7?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on June 10?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 36-37°F on May 6?	Yes	$10	30.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 4?	Yes	$5	4.2¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026?	No	$20	17.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 25?	Yes	$40	49.9¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on October 4?Won
No$30 @ 76.0¢
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Lost
Yes$3 @ 25.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 5?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 9?Lost
No$20 @ 50.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 7?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on May 12?Lost
Yes$4 @ 7.0¢
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-08?Lost
No$5 @ 60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 20?Won
No$10 @ 74.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 3?Lost
Yes$5 @ 7.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 8?Won
Yes$21 @ 40.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on June 2?Lost
Yes$3 @ 4.8¢
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?Won
No$72 @ 23.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 22?Lost
Yes$5 @ 7.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 23?Lost
Yes$2 @ 34.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 4?Won
Yes$20 @ 59.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 9?Lost
Yes$10 @ 27.7¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Lost
No$10 @ 45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 23?Won
Yes$20 @ 51.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 23?Won
No$51 @ 67.0¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
No$50 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 21?Lost
Yes$21 @ 44.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 23?Lost
Yes$8 @ 22.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 20?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?Won
Yes$51 @ 46.2¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 17?Lost
Yes$21 @ 31.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 27?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on October 16?Lost
Yes$20 @ 64.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 12?Won
No$20 @ 69.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 17?Lost
Yes$20 @ 53.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on March 18?Won
Yes$10 @ 76.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 2?Won
No$20 @ 61.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 15?Won
Yes$21 @ 33.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on August 12?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.9¢
0x0b052622…Won
Yes$21 @ 61.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 26?Won
Yes$10 @ 26.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 15.1¢
0x0c61c753…Lost
Yes$5 @ 17.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 10?Won
No$10 @ 60.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on May 4?Lost
Yes$10 @ 18.2¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 16?Won
No$50 @ 85.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 6?Won
No$10 @ 50.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 29?Won
Yes$5 @ 7.6¢
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Lost
Alex Pereira$15 @ 51.0¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?Lost
No$10 @ 26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on June 7?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on June 10?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 36-37°F on May 6?Lost
Yes$10 @ 30.1¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 4?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.2¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026?Lost
No$20 @ 17.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 25?Lost
Yes$40 @ 49.9¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Politics	Yes	$600	88.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Politics	Yes	$100	72.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Politics	Yes	$100	85.0¢
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?	Politics	No	$60	19.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Politics	Yes	$50	40.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Politics	Yes	$50	45.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Politics	Yes	$50	73.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Politics	Yes	$50	53.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$50	45.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Politics	Yes	$50	28.0¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$27	24.2¢
Will Monaco be runner-up in the 2026-27 Ligue 1?	Sports	Yes	$10	22.0¢
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	10.0¢
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Sports	Yes	$5	8.8¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$5	4.2¢
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$3	2.5¢

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics
Yes$600 @ 88.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?Politics
Yes$100 @ 72.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?Politics
Yes$100 @ 85.0¢
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?Politics
No$60 @ 19.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics
Yes$50 @ 40.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?Politics
Yes$50 @ 45.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Politics
Yes$50 @ 73.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Politics
Yes$50 @ 53.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$50 @ 45.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics
Yes$50 @ 28.0¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$27 @ 24.2¢
Will Monaco be runner-up in the 2026-27 Ligue 1?Sports
Yes$10 @ 22.0¢
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Sports
Yes$5 @ 8.8¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$5 @ 4.2¢
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$3 @ 2.5¢