← Market consensus
PoliticsActiveends Dec 31, 2026

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

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Yes

50.5¢

No

49.5¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢ smart-money trades
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Smart money here · 5 tracked sharps

Lean
Yes 64%No 36%
5 shown ·
No$976 @ 15.8¢
Conv
3.2×
ROI
+57%
Win%
60%
0x2d99…4ca3Profitable
Yes$850 @ 85.0¢
Conv
1.4×
ROI
+79%
Win%
93%
Yes$848 @ 95.0¢
Conv
4.1×
ROI
+18%
Win%
72%
0x7b64…8440Profitable
Yes$46 @ 75.5¢
Conv
9.6×
ROI
+57%
Win%
63%
0x28b8…5e00Profitable
Yes$4 @ 57.5¢
Conv
2.1×
ROI
+63%
Win%
52%