0xfd82…342b

Specialization by sphere

• Other125 bets

  Hit rate

  47% (59/125)

  ROI

  +31%

• Politics27 bets

  Hit rate

  52% (14/27)

  ROI

  +52%

• Sports21 bets

  Hit rate

  14% (3/21)

  ROI

  -10%

• Geopolitics8 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/8)

  ROI

  -100%

• Crypto2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +76%

• Tech1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Won
  No$348 @ 99.3¢
• Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-02?Lost
  No$30 @ 30.0¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Lost
  Yes$46 @ 9.2¢
• Celtics vs. GrizzliesLost
  Grizzlies$44 @ 34.2¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$200 @ 33.3¢
• Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-04-10?Lost
  No$71 @ 71.0¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Won
  No$184 @ 71.6¢
• Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
  Yes$47 @ 2.4¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Lost
  Yes$25 @ 5.0¢
• Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$238 @ 5.6¢
• Iran coup attempt by June 30?Won
  No$37 @ 77.0¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Lost
  No$99 @ 49.5¢
• Bulls vs. ThunderWon
  Thunder$30 @ 89.0¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
  No$150 @ 64.0¢
• Will any country leave NATO in 2025?Won
  No$100 @ 86.5¢
• Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?Won
  No$41 @ 68.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$36 @ 14.3¢
• Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 7.4¢
• Cavaliers vs. KnicksLost
  Knicks$71 @ 71.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 1.6¢
• Will Nik Airball win at Hustler Casino on Friday?Won
  Yes$91 @ 46.4¢
• Detroit Tigers vs. New York YankeesWon
  Detroit Tigers$48 @ 40.0¢
• France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Won
  No$78 @ 82.1¢
• Grizzlies vs. WarriorsWon
  Warriors$71 @ 71.0¢
• Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Lost
  No$1 @ 0.1¢
• Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Won
  Yes$100 @ 76.0¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 0.4¢
• Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$146 @ 0.3¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Won
  No$50 @ 77.0¢
• Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston AstrosWon
  Houston Astros$57 @ 57.0¢
• Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston AstrosLost
  Los Angeles Angels$5 @ 42.0¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$206 @ 65.6¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 14?Won
  No$100 @ 74.0¢
• Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$66 @ 4.7¢
• Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$229 @ 1.8¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
  Yes$181 @ 19.1¢
• Will Trump say "Trump Strait" or "Strait of Trump" this week? (April 20 - 26)Won
  No$5 @ 83.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Lost
  Yes$45 @ 9.0¢
• Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$150 @ 1.5¢
• Will Bayern beat Dortmund?Lost
  Yes$66 @ 66.0¢
• Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-09?Lost
  No$25 @ 24.5¢
• Bucks vs. PistonsLost
  Pistons$66 @ 66.0¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 17.0¢
• Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Lost
  No$64 @ 64.0¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?Won
  No$50 @ 85.0¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?Won
  No$44 @ 87.0¢
• US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?Won
  No$400 @ 88.0¢
• Will Trump visit China by April 30?Won
  No$12 @ 12.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 3.2¢
• Celtics vs. MagicWon
  Magic$62 @ 62.0¢

Current positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$944 @ 81.4¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$222 @ 92.4¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$210 @ 11.1¢
• Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  Yes$190 @ 19.0¢
• Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Politics
  No$188 @ 93.8¢
• Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics
  Yes$174 @ 62.7¢
• Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?Politics
  No$167 @ 83.5¢
• Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  Yes$160 @ 9.3¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$144 @ 65.6¢
• Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  Yes$141 @ 15.7¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$121 @ 24.3¢
• Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
  Yes$98 @ 39.1¢
• GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech
  Yes$96 @ 13.7¢
• Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics
  No$92 @ 92.4¢
• Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Crypto
  No$88 @ 88.0¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics
  No$87 @ 87.0¢
• Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$77 @ 2.6¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics
  No$70 @ 70.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics
  No$58 @ 77.0¢
• Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  Yes$50 @ 5.0¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics
  No$46 @ 92.7¢
• Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$45 @ 1.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$44 @ 88.0¢
• Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Politics
  Yes$42 @ 21.0¢
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$41 @ 5.5¢
• Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  Yes$40 @ 0.8¢
• Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$34 @ 89.0¢
• Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$30 @ 0.6¢
• Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  Yes$24 @ 1.6¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$22 @ 22.0¢