← Smart money
0x57b0…76f4
ProfitableEdge
+2.1pp
ROI
+4%
Win rate
41% @ 39.3¢
Brier
0.139
Resolved
2154
Avg size
$137
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 48% (75/155) | -1% | 155 |
| Other | 54% (50/93) | -7% | 93 |
| Geopolitics | 42% (8/19) | -50% | 19 |
| Crypto | 46% (6/13) | +46% | 13 |
| Sports | 55% (6/11) | +68% | 11 |
| Economy | 50% (2/4) | +23% | 4 |
| Culture | 33% (1/3) | -79% | 3 |
| Tech | 50% (1/2) | +3% | 2 |
| Business | 100% (1/1) | +22% | 1 |
- Politics155 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (75/155)
- ROI
- -1%
- Other93 bets
- Hit rate
- 54% (50/93)
- ROI
- -7%
- Geopolitics19 bets
- Hit rate
- 42% (8/19)
- ROI
- -50%
- Crypto13 bets
- Hit rate
- 46% (6/13)
- ROI
- +46%
- Sports11 bets
- Hit rate
- 55% (6/11)
- ROI
- +68%
- Economy4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +23%
- Culture3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -79%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +3%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +22%
Track record
50% hit · 150/301- Yes$169 @ 3.0¢
- No$2.5k @ 98.6¢
- Yes$624 @ 27.5¢
- Yes$910 @ 91.0¢
- Yes$179 @ 13.8¢
- Yes$164 @ 4.0¢
- No$132 @ 80.0¢
- No$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$6.1k @ 85.1¢
- No$152 @ 76.0¢
- No$1.7k @ 86.0¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 10.5¢
- Yes$183 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$320 @ 32.0¢
- No$2.0k @ 66.8¢
- No$988 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$410 @ 13.7¢
- No$435 @ 87.0¢
- No$2.4k @ 87.1¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$288 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$46 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 83.0¢
- No$596 @ 85.1¢
- Yes$765 @ 67.6¢
- No$61 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$478 @ 82.7¢
- No$68 @ 67.6¢
- No$65 @ 13.0¢
- No$2.8k @ 67.8¢
- No$157 @ 50.4¢
- Yes$246 @ 72.7¢
- No$718 @ 85.1¢
- Yes$67 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$60 @ 12.0¢
- No$2.1k @ 51.7¢
- No$295 @ 73.2¢
- No$2.4k @ 87.0¢
- Yes$133 @ 0.5¢
- No$334 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$273 @ 17.6¢
- Yes$316 @ 37.5¢
- Yes$414 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 66.1¢
- No$2.6k @ 86.3¢
- No$1.1k @ 86.7¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 9.7¢
- No$783 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$158 @ 68.0¢
- No$8.8k @ 85.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$12.1k @ 95.1¢
- Yes$5.5k @ 91.3¢
- Yes$4.5k @ 63.6¢
- Yes$4.4k @ 84.7¢
- Yes$4.0k @ 70.5¢
- No$3.6k @ 91.0¢
- No$3.5k @ 78.5¢
- No$3.4k @ 65.1¢
- No$3.2k @ 67.8¢
- Yes$3.0k @ 72.0¢
- No$2.9k @ 92.0¢
- Yes$2.8k @ 56.7¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 73.0¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 71.4¢
- No$2.5k @ 98.6¢
- No$2.5k @ 82.8¢
- No$2.4k @ 69.9¢
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?GeopoliticsNo$2.1k @ 92.0¢
- No$1.9k @ 78.1¢
- No$1.9k @ 87.3¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 56.3¢
- No$1.6k @ 81.4¢
- No$1.5k @ 69.7¢
- No$1.5k @ 83.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 93.9¢
- No$1.5k @ 93.0¢
- No$1.4k @ 72.5¢
- No$1.4k @ 92.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 53.7¢
- No$1.3k @ 63.0¢