0x57b0…76f4

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x57b00c3ccef1b6bd6962fb9ca463c4e0b38e76f4
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+13.6pp

ROI

+38%

Win rate

58% @ 44.8¢

Brier

0.240

Resolved

113

Avg size

$237

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	44% (11/25)	-5%	25
Other	67% (6/9)	+28%	9
Crypto	75% (3/4)	+123%	4
Sports	50% (1/2)	+15%	2
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Business	100% (1/1)	+22%	1

Politics25 bets
Hit rate
44% (11/25)
ROI
-5%
Other9 bets
Hit rate
67% (6/9)
ROI
+28%
Crypto4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+123%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+15%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+22%

Track record

51% hit · 22/43

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$3.0k	99.7¢	Won
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$183	14.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$2.0k	66.8¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$2.4k	87.1¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	$24	2.9¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in June?	No	$61	61.0¢	Won
Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?	No	$65	13.0¢	Lost
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$60	12.0¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$4.0k	23.4¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$3.0k	64.6¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$725	20.4¢	Lost
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	$881	88.1¢	Won
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$4.8k	77.5¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$920	46.0¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	$298	11.9¢	Lost
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$506	13.0¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	$183	82.1¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	No	$203	40.6¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	87.4¢	Won
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	No	$1.1k	81.9¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.3k	66.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$579	28.9¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by June 30, 2026?	No	$368	67.0¢	Won
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $495 in June?	No	$395	76.4¢	Won
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?	No	$24	48.0¢	Won
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?	No	$13	51.5¢	Lost
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	$73	76.1¢	Won
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	No	$552	85.8¢	Won
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?	No	$890	82.6¢	Lost
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$2.4k	87.0¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$133	0.5¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	$200	8.0¢	Lost
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$2.0k	25.8¢	Lost
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$2.6k	78.8¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	$476	47.6¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	$60	6.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	$2	1.2¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$645	64.5¢	Won
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	Yes	$25	0.5¢	Lost
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	$52	1.5¢	Lost
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	$180	36.0¢	Won
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	No	$471	89.0¢	Won

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Won
No$3.0k @ 99.7¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Lost
Yes$183 @ 14.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$2.0k @ 66.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Won
No$2.4k @ 87.1¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Lost
Yes$24 @ 2.9¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in June?Won
No$61 @ 61.0¢
Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?Lost
No$65 @ 13.0¢
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?Lost
Yes$60 @ 12.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$4.0k @ 23.4¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$3.0k @ 64.6¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Lost
Yes$725 @ 20.4¢
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Won
No$881 @ 88.1¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
No$4.8k @ 77.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$920 @ 46.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Lost
Yes$298 @ 11.9¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$506 @ 13.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Won
No$183 @ 82.1¢
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Lost
No$203 @ 40.6¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 87.4¢
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?Won
No$1.1k @ 81.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
No$1.3k @ 66.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$579 @ 28.9¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by June 30, 2026?Won
No$368 @ 67.0¢
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $495 in June?Won
No$395 @ 76.4¢
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?Won
No$24 @ 48.0¢
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?Lost
No$13 @ 51.5¢
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?Won
No$73 @ 76.1¢
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?Won
No$552 @ 85.8¢
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?Lost
No$890 @ 82.6¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$2.4k @ 87.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$133 @ 0.5¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Lost
Yes$200 @ 8.0¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
No$2.0k @ 25.8¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
Yes$2.6k @ 78.8¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Won
No$476 @ 47.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Lost
Yes$60 @ 6.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.2¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$645 @ 64.5¢
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?Lost
Yes$25 @ 0.5¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Lost
Yes$52 @ 1.5¢
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?Won
Yes$180 @ 36.0¢
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Won
No$471 @ 89.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?	—	No	$4.5k	86.9¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Geopolitics	Yes	$1.8k	63.1¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?	Politics	No	$1.6k	60.1¢
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1.5k	83.0¢
Will Solana reach $110 in July?	—	No	$1.5k	91.6¢
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	Politics	No	$1.5k	77.3¢
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	Tech	Anthropic	$1.2k	75.5¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Tech	No	$1.1k	80.6¢
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	Politics	No	$1.1k	85.3¢
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$946	72.8¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Politics	No	$903	60.2¢
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Crypto	No	$808	80.8¢
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	Sports	No	$795	88.3¢
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?	Politics	No	$720	75.3¢
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$705	51.0¢
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$685	77.0¢
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Tech	No	$665	60.5¢
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	Geopolitics	Yes	$665	68.3¢
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?	Crypto	No	$620	62.0¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?	—	No	$610	48.0¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in July?	—	No	$521	52.0¢
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$355	71.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$340	17.0¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	Geopolitics	No	$259	64.7¢
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$230	23.0¢
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Politics	No	$206	54.4¢
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	—	No	$203	56.2¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$188	53.0¢
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by July 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$185	95.1¢
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?	Politics	No	$173	46.8¢

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?—
No$4.5k @ 86.9¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Geopolitics
Yes$1.8k @ 63.1¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics
No$1.6k @ 60.1¢
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Crypto
No$1.5k @ 83.0¢
Will Solana reach $110 in July?—
No$1.5k @ 91.6¢
Yoon out of custody before 2027?Politics
No$1.5k @ 77.3¢
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Tech
Anthropic$1.2k @ 75.5¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech
No$1.1k @ 80.6¢
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Politics
No$1.1k @ 85.3¢
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$946 @ 72.8¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics
No$903 @ 60.2¢
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto
No$808 @ 80.8¢
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?Sports
No$795 @ 88.3¢
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?Politics
No$720 @ 75.3¢
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$705 @ 51.0¢
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
No$685 @ 77.0¢
AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech
No$665 @ 60.5¢
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Geopolitics
Yes$665 @ 68.3¢
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?Crypto
No$620 @ 62.0¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?—
No$610 @ 48.0¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in July?—
No$521 @ 52.0¢
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$355 @ 71.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Sports
Yes$340 @ 17.0¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Geopolitics
No$259 @ 64.7¢
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$230 @ 23.0¢
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
No$206 @ 54.4¢
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?—
No$203 @ 56.2¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$188 @ 53.0¢
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by July 31, 2026?Politics
No$185 @ 95.1¢
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?Politics
No$173 @ 46.8¢