0x62cf…5826

Specialization by sphere

• Other107 bets

  Hit rate

  63% (67/107)

  ROI

  +19%

• Politics74 bets

  Hit rate

  76% (56/74)

  ROI

  +25%

• Geopolitics16 bets

  Hit rate

  69% (11/16)

  ROI

  +25%

• Tech1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +23%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +22%

• Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Won
  No$4.1k @ 57.0¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Won
  No$13.4k @ 84.5¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Won
  No$828 @ 75.8¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
  No$150 @ 0.4¢
• Will Jungleman win at Hustler Casino on Friday?Won
  No$2 @ 32.0¢
• Will Jungleman win at Hustler Casino on Friday?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 53.0¢
• Will France strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$778 @ 77.8¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Won
  No$6.0k @ 86.1¢
• US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Won
  No$870 @ 87.0¢
• Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?Won
  No$1.9k @ 55.3¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$2.6k @ 56.0¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$9.1k @ 81.2¢
• Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$6.4k @ 81.5¢
• Will Warsh say "Trump" during swearing-in?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 85.0¢
• Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?Won
  No$930 @ 59.2¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Won
  Yes$3.9k @ 39.9¢
• Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?Won
  No$640 @ 64.0¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Won
  No$2.1k @ 65.5¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Won
  No$13.1k @ 67.3¢
• Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Won
  No$1.1k @ 53.0¢
• US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Lost
  No$14.4k @ 79.6¢
• Britney vs. Turbo: Higher winnings at Hustler Casino on Friday?Lost
  Britney$22 @ 44.0¢
• Britney vs. Turbo: Higher winnings at Hustler Casino on Friday?Won
  Turbo$78 @ 48.0¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Won
  No$4.2k @ 88.9¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
  No$499 @ 59.0¢
• Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?Won
  No$2.9k @ 85.6¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Lost
  No$4.2k @ 70.3¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
  No$5.4k @ 72.0¢
• Will Nik Airball win at Hustler Casino on Friday?Won
  Yes$31 @ 42.0¢
• France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Won
  No$21.2k @ 67.5¢
• Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Lost
  No$169 @ 14.0¢
• Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Won
  Yes$2.5k @ 84.0¢
• Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
  Yes$358 @ 70.4¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Won
  No$5.1k @ 79.2¢
• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Won
  No$882 @ 39.0¢
• Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?Lost
  Yes$64 @ 64.0¢
• Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Won
  No$15.1k @ 63.2¢
• Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Won
  No$1.7k @ 85.4¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Won
  Yes$2.4k @ 66.5¢
• Iran leadership change by May 31?Won
  No$3.1k @ 81.4¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$18.2k @ 73.6¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 14?Won
  No$3.3k @ 83.0¢
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
  No$5.0k @ 84.0¢
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
  Yes$115 @ 23.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
  Yes$1.9k @ 62.7¢
• Iran leadership change by March 13?Won
  No$6.2k @ 88.4¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$1.0k @ 86.2¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$1.8k @ 82.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?Won
  Yes$890 @ 89.0¢
• Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
  No$359 @ 18.3¢

Current positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$53.1k @ 80.0¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$39.5k @ 50.0¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  No$39.5k @ 50.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$32.0k @ 79.5¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics
  Yes$30.6k @ 83.2¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$23.0k @ 87.8¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$22.9k @ 78.6¢
• Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics
  No$15.4k @ 78.3¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Politics
  Yes$14.5k @ 86.2¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
  No$12.4k @ 77.2¢
• Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
  Yes$12.1k @ 93.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$9.4k @ 66.0¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$9.3k @ 87.2¢
• US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics
  Yes$6.7k @ 85.8¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics
  No$5.6k @ 76.6¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$5.6k @ 92.7¢
• Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Politics
  No$2.9k @ 35.6¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics
  No$2.7k @ 53.4¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$2.6k @ 41.4¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics
  No$2.6k @ 50.3¢
• Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
  No$2.3k @ 82.7¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech
  No$2.0k @ 46.8¢
• Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto
  No$1.5k @ 77.0¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
  Yes$1.4k @ 72.0¢
• Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.3k @ 51.0¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.1k @ 54.8¢
• Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture
  Yes$735 @ 49.0¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$696 @ 29.8¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Politics
  Yes$619 @ 30.9¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Politics
  Yes$609 @ 58.0¢