← Smart money
0xde7b…5f4b
ProfitableEdge
-2.2pp
ROI
+4%
Win rate
24% @ 26.3¢
Brier
0.091
Resolved
7259
Avg size
$548
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 42% (28/67) | +56% | 67 |
| Other | 44% (27/62) | -14% | 62 |
| Sports | 30% (7/23) | -32% | 23 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/10) | -100% | 10 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | +176% | 2 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Economy | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics67 bets
- Hit rate
- 42% (28/67)
- ROI
- +56%
- Other62 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (27/62)
- ROI
- -14%
- Sports23 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (7/23)
- ROI
- -32%
- Geopolitics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/10)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +176%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
38% hit · 63/166- Yes$3.7k @ 10.2¢
- Yes$78 @ 26.2¢
- No$417 @ 4.8¢
- Yes$81 @ 7.7¢
- Colts vs. ChiefsLostColts$20.3k @ 29.0¢
- No$74.4k @ 61.7¢
- Yes$3.6k @ 31.9¢
- Yes$327.5k @ 15.4¢
- Patriots$21.3k @ 52.0¢
- Yes$310 @ 44.0¢
- No$2.4k @ 70.7¢
- Yes$9.7k @ 53.5¢
- Texans vs. ColtsLostTexans$22.7k @ 41.1¢
- Yes$2.8k @ 46.0¢
- Yes$8.4k @ 30.7¢
- No$823 @ 5.5¢
- Yes$28.0k @ 44.6¢
- Cavaliers$18.3k @ 36.0¢
- Saints$24.0k @ 48.0¢
- Yes$88.5k @ 49.8¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 28.6¢
- Yes$7.4k @ 41.5¢
- Pistons$7.4k @ 21.0¢
- Yes$5.7k @ 0.7¢
- Yes$998 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$5.2k @ 39.7¢
- Yes$574 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$134.9k @ 15.5¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 49.7¢
- Yes$56.3k @ 9.2¢
- No$49.9k @ 33.7¢
- Yes$3.7k @ 14.9¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 17.8¢
- Bears$28.4k @ 37.0¢
- Yes$60 @ 5.3¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 8.9¢
- Ravens vs. ColtsLostColts$21.1k @ 41.0¢
- No$9.6k @ 38.0¢
- Yes$107 @ 46.0¢
- No$5.0k @ 65.7¢
- Yes$121.0k @ 12.0¢
- No$815 @ 6.6¢
- Steelers$21.9k @ 54.0¢
- No$18.3k @ 51.9¢
- Yes$124 @ 2.7¢
- Titans$17.5k @ 25.0¢
- Lions vs. BillsLostLions$23.2k @ 31.0¢
- Yes$9.1k @ 8.1¢
- Yes$36.2k @ 4.9¢
- No$5.9k @ 31.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$194.7k @ 69.4¢
- No$120.1k @ 93.9¢
- No$69.7k @ 61.2¢
- No$60.3k @ 41.9¢
- Yes$59.8k @ 11.1¢
- Yes$39.1k @ 53.2¢
- No$36.1k @ 48.5¢
- No$35.6k @ 41.3¢
- Yes$27.0k @ 9.7¢
- Yes$24.4k @ 37.4¢
- No$22.4k @ 69.5¢
- Yes$18.1k @ 50.3¢
- No$17.9k @ 55.0¢
- No$17.4k @ 70.6¢
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$15.8k @ 45.4¢
- Yes$14.3k @ 41.4¢
- No$13.9k @ 46.0¢
- No$10.3k @ 31.3¢
- No$9.4k @ 21.7¢
- Yes$7.4k @ 46.0¢
- No$7.2k @ 41.0¢
- Yes$6.8k @ 74.3¢
- No$6.4k @ 66.0¢
- No$6.0k @ 72.5¢
- Yes$5.0k @ 7.0¢
- No$4.9k @ 58.7¢
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?GeopoliticsYes$4.2k @ 41.0¢
- Yes$3.8k @ 52.0¢
- Yes$3.7k @ 53.0¢
- Yes$3.3k @ 11.5¢