0x9cdd…3e97

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9cdda449d7cedf1072d74982a5dc2349df3d3e97
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.1pp

ROI

+5%

Win rate

77% @ 67.9¢

Brier

0.148

Resolved

196

Avg size

$65

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	59% (20/34)	-7%	34
Politics	69% (20/29)	+13%	29
Other	100% (11/11)	+23%	11
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	-9%	2
Culture	100% (2/2)	+21%	2

Sports34 bets
Hit rate
59% (20/34)
ROI
-7%
Politics29 bets
Hit rate
69% (20/29)
ROI
+13%
Other11 bets
Hit rate
100% (11/11)
ROI
+23%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-9%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+21%

Track record

69% hit · 54/78

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$15	4.9¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	$37	15.2¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	$300	74.8¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$64	35.9¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	$69	69.0¢	Won
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	$61	79.2¢	Won
Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$93	78.5¢	Won
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?	No	$44	88.0¢	Won
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$126	79.5¢	Lost
NBA: 1st Overall Pick in 2026 Draft to be Traded?	No	$82	84.0¢	Won
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$244	86.9¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?	No	$70	70.0¢	Won
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	$147	83.5¢	Won
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	$159	77.1¢	Won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 1.5	Over	$25	43.8¢	Won
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	$255	85.7¢	Won
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	$85	84.0¢	Won
Will Marco Silva be the next manager of Benfica?	Yes	$33	48.4¢	Won
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$54	53.0¢	Won
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	No	$217	88.3¢	Won
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$144	71.6¢	Lost
IR Iran to score first vs. New Zealand?	Yes	$13	63.0¢	Lost
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$728	60.2¢	Won
Will Jordan Staal win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Yes	$10	37.5¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	$1.2k	80.7¢	Won
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	$16	29.0¢	Lost
Will Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?	No	$53	85.7¢	Won
Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	$689	87.0¢	Lost
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	No	$199	82.1¢	Won
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	Yes	$363	46.3¢	Lost
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	Yes	$1.7k	64.6¢	Won
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5	Over	$63	62.0¢	Won
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	$270	82.4¢	Won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 0.5	Over	$619	77.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?	No	$196	89.9¢	Won
Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?	Yes	$60	68.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$123	61.0¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	Yes	$57	88.4¢	Won
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	No	$591	55.3¢	Won
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Yes	$1.0k	70.9¢	Lost
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	$195	67.2¢	Won
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	$9	67.4¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$65	64.0¢	Lost
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?	Yes	$107	77.9¢	Won
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 0.5	Over	$268	89.0¢	Won
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	$50	12.0¢	Lost
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$592	73.3¢	Won
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$39	77.0¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$120	6.8¢	Lost

Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$15 @ 4.9¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Lost
Yes$37 @ 15.2¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Won
No$300 @ 74.8¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Lost
Yes$64 @ 35.9¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Won
Yes$69 @ 69.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Won
No$61 @ 79.2¢
Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?Won
Yes$93 @ 78.5¢
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?Won
No$44 @ 88.0¢
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?Lost
Yes$126 @ 79.5¢
NBA: 1st Overall Pick in 2026 Draft to be Traded?Won
No$82 @ 84.0¢
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Lost
Yes$244 @ 86.9¢
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?Won
No$70 @ 70.0¢
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Won
No$147 @ 83.5¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Won
No$159 @ 77.1¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 1.5Won
Over$25 @ 43.8¢
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Won
Yes$255 @ 85.7¢
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Won
Yes$85 @ 84.0¢
Will Marco Silva be the next manager of Benfica?Won
Yes$33 @ 48.4¢
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$54 @ 53.0¢
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?Won
No$217 @ 88.3¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
No$144 @ 71.6¢
IR Iran to score first vs. New Zealand?Lost
Yes$13 @ 63.0¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?Won
Yes$728 @ 60.2¢
Will Jordan Staal win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?Won
Yes$10 @ 37.5¢
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 80.7¢
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Lost
Yes$16 @ 29.0¢
Will Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?Won
No$53 @ 85.7¢
Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Lost
No$689 @ 87.0¢
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?Won
No$199 @ 82.1¢
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?Lost
Yes$363 @ 46.3¢
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?Won
Yes$1.7k @ 64.6¢
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5Won
Over$63 @ 62.0¢
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Won
Yes$270 @ 82.4¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 0.5Won
Over$619 @ 77.0¢
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?Won
No$196 @ 89.9¢
Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?Won
Yes$60 @ 68.0¢
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$123 @ 61.0¢
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?Won
Yes$57 @ 88.4¢
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?Won
No$591 @ 55.3¢
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 70.9¢
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Won
No$195 @ 67.2¢
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Won
Yes$9 @ 67.4¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$65 @ 64.0¢
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?Won
Yes$107 @ 77.9¢
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 0.5Won
Over$268 @ 89.0¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$50 @ 12.0¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$592 @ 73.3¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
Yes$39 @ 77.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$120 @ 6.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Enzo Maresca be the next manager of Manchester City FC?	Sports	Yes	$7.3k	97.4¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2.8k	66.3¢
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?	Politics	Yes	$2.4k	63.1¢
Will Jeff Hurd be the Republican nominee for CO-03?	Politics	Yes	$1.7k	96.8¢
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?	—	No	$1.6k	78.5¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$984	6.2¢
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Sports	Yes	$863	66.2¢
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$838	82.2¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Politics	No	$818	63.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	No	$737	86.7¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$717	91.5¢
Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?	Sports	No	$692	76.4¢
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Sports	Yes	$681	95.9¢
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	Sports	Yes	$678	71.5¢
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?	Sports	Yes	$666	60.4¢
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$647	87.2¢
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$644	98.4¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?	Politics	No	$636	93.2¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$626	62.5¢
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$545	79.9¢
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?	—	Yes	$495	84.8¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$487	5.7¢
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	No	$483	76.9¢
Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 NHL Draft?	—	Yes	$443	99.8¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$413	81.2¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$387	38.3¢
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?	Sports	No	$372	99.0¢
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Sports	Yes	$352	61.1¢
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?	Sports	No	$328	92.2¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$321	27.9¢

Will Enzo Maresca be the next manager of Manchester City FC?Sports
Yes$7.3k @ 97.4¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$2.8k @ 66.3¢
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Politics
Yes$2.4k @ 63.1¢
Will Jeff Hurd be the Republican nominee for CO-03?Politics
Yes$1.7k @ 96.8¢
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?—
No$1.6k @ 78.5¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$984 @ 6.2¢
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Sports
Yes$863 @ 66.2¢
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Politics
Yes$838 @ 82.2¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
No$818 @ 63.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
No$737 @ 86.7¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$717 @ 91.5¢
Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?Sports
No$692 @ 76.4¢
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?Sports
Yes$681 @ 95.9¢
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?Sports
Yes$678 @ 71.5¢
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?Sports
Yes$666 @ 60.4¢
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?Politics
Yes$647 @ 87.2¢
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$644 @ 98.4¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?Politics
No$636 @ 93.2¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$626 @ 62.5¢
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026?Politics
Yes$545 @ 79.9¢
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?—
Yes$495 @ 84.8¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$487 @ 5.7¢
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
No$483 @ 76.9¢
Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 NHL Draft?—
Yes$443 @ 99.8¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$413 @ 81.2¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$387 @ 38.3¢
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?Sports
No$372 @ 99.0¢
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Sports
Yes$352 @ 61.1¢
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?Sports
No$328 @ 92.2¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$321 @ 27.9¢