0xba62…58e9

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics55 bets

  Hit rate

  82% (45/55)

  ROI

  +22%

• Other19 bets

  Hit rate

  74% (14/19)

  ROI

  +7%

• Tech9 bets

  Hit rate

  89% (8/9)

  ROI

  -19%

• Geopolitics8 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (6/8)

  ROI

  -2%

• Sports5 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (5/5)

  ROI

  +2%

• Economy2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  -71%

• Culture1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Business1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +2%

• Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Won
  No$444 @ 89.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$836 @ 36.4¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Lost
  No$748 @ 43.9¢
• Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$1.4k @ 80.1¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Won
  Yes$412 @ 68.7¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Lost
  Yes$15 @ 6.2¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Won
  No$289 @ 71.7¢
• Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Won
  Yes$335 @ 58.1¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
  No$1.7k @ 85.4¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$890 @ 51.2¢
• US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Lost
  Yes$125 @ 19.0¢
• Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Won
  Yes$50 @ 62.9¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Lost
  Yes$21 @ 9.5¢
• Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Won
  No$1.3k @ 72.7¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?Won
  Yes$674 @ 42.0¢
• Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Lost
  Yes$28 @ 6.4¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Lost
  No$377 @ 37.4¢
• Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
  No$7.0k @ 80.4¢
• Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?Lost
  No$236 @ 78.8¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Lost
  Yes$45 @ 13.1¢
• Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$330 @ 71.8¢
• Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Won
  Yes$603 @ 78.2¢
• Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Lost
  No$441 @ 82.7¢
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 4.7¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Won
  No$8 @ 40.0¢
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
  No$19 @ 96.0¢
• Fed rate hike in 2026?Lost
  No$189 @ 63.0¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$24 @ 80.4¢
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Lost
  No$45 @ 89.0¢
• Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$13 @ 98.9¢
• Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$37 @ 99.4¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$530 @ 96.2¢
• Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$40 @ 99.3¢
• Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$67 @ 83.6¢
• Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$20 @ 99.4¢
• Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$89 @ 98.9¢
• Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$19 @ 97.4¢
• Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Won
  No$47 @ 78.6¢
• Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 12.6¢
• Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$11 @ 99.7¢
• Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$12 @ 61.0¢
• Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
  No$34 @ 84.0¢
• Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$796 @ 93.6¢
• Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$11 @ 99.7¢
• Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$12 @ 99.8¢
• Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$236 @ 99.1¢
• Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Won
  No$15 @ 98.5¢
• Will Trump be impeached by June 30?Won
  No$56 @ 94.7¢
• Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$226 @ 98.0¢
• Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Won
  No$2.1k @ 98.9¢

Current positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$5.0k @ 84.3¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics
  No$5.0k @ 89.3¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  No$4.5k @ 69.1¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics
  No$2.2k @ 94.1¢
• Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy
  No$2.0k @ 93.1¢
• Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  No$2.0k @ 49.0¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$2.0k @ 93.1¢
• Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 77.5¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 89.0¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics
  No$1.5k @ 62.7¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$1.3k @ 85.1¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.3k @ 76.3¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$1.1k @ 87.1¢
• Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Politics
  No$1.1k @ 93.7¢
• Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  No$1000 @ 91.8¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1000 @ 84.6¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1000 @ 77.2¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics
  No$971 @ 69.0¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
  No$865 @ 96.1¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$772 @ 71.5¢
• New pandemic in 2026?Geopolitics
  No$735 @ 89.4¢
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$680 @ 98.8¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Business
  No$664 @ 33.7¢
• Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$636 @ 49.4¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  No$437 @ 45.5¢
• Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics
  No$416 @ 89.9¢
• Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto
  No$408 @ 95.7¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$399 @ 57.0¢
• Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Politics
  No$388 @ 84.6¢
• Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?Crypto
  No$365 @ 99.0¢