← Smart money
0x7b64…8440
SharpEdge
+4.6pp
ROI
+49%
Win rate
52% @ 47.0¢
Brier
0.210
Resolved
1783
Avg size
$13
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 60% (108/179) | +77% | 179 |
| Politics | 49% (82/168) | +13% | 168 |
| Geopolitics | 54% (20/37) | -22% | 37 |
| Sports | 57% (12/21) | +91% | 21 |
| Crypto | 52% (11/21) | +30% | 21 |
| Tech | 33% (1/3) | -1% | 3 |
| Economy | 67% (2/3) | +46% | 3 |
| Science | 50% (1/2) | +167% | 2 |
| Culture | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Other179 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (108/179)
- ROI
- +77%
- Politics168 bets
- Hit rate
- 49% (82/168)
- ROI
- +13%
- Geopolitics37 bets
- Hit rate
- 54% (20/37)
- ROI
- -22%
- Sports21 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (12/21)
- ROI
- +91%
- Crypto21 bets
- Hit rate
- 52% (11/21)
- ROI
- +30%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -1%
- Economy3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +46%
- Science2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +167%
- Culture2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
54% hit · 237/436- No$44 @ 70.5¢
- Yes$54 @ 52.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 80.0¢
- No$14 @ 31.4¢
- Yes$168 @ 56.9¢
- No$12 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 7.7¢
- No$34 @ 81.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
- No$5 @ 28.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 34.0¢
- No$2 @ 33.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 56.6¢
- No$8 @ 63.4¢
- No$36 @ 81.1¢
- Yes$259 @ 27.4¢
- Yes$4 @ 86.3¢
- No$2 @ 16.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 85.2¢
- No$2 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 35.8¢
- No$1 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 42.0¢
- No$51 @ 40.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 83.0¢
- No$3 @ 84.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 87.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 58.0¢
- No$38 @ 74.8¢
- Yes$207 @ 66.2¢
- Yes$9 @ 36.7¢
- No$8 @ 22.4¢
- Yes$45 @ 14.6¢
- Yes$16 @ 25.7¢
- Yes$32 @ 11.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 80.0¢
- No$17 @ 53.1¢
- Yes$22 @ 44.6¢
- No$35 @ 63.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 12.5¢
- No$48 @ 77.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 4.0¢
- No$5 @ 55.0¢
- No$4 @ 71.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$350 @ 85.3¢
- No$224 @ 93.5¢
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$102 @ 96.0¢
- No$93 @ 96.7¢
- No$78 @ 98.1¢
- No$72 @ 90.0¢
- No$64 @ 96.2¢
- Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$63 @ 94.8¢
- No$56 @ 96.0¢
- Yes$54 @ 52.0¢
- No$50 @ 92.4¢
- No$48 @ 94.4¢
- No$40 @ 95.0¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$39 @ 97.0¢
- No$38 @ 96.0¢
- No$37 @ 88.0¢
- No$32 @ 97.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 34.8¢
- Trump goes to space in 2026?PoliticsNo$30 @ 97.8¢
- Yes$29 @ 67.2¢
- Yes$27 @ 99.0¢
- No$26 @ 96.9¢
- Russia coup attempt in 2026?PoliticsNo$24 @ 94.0¢
- No$21 @ 30.9¢
- No$20 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 8.2¢
- No$17 @ 94.0¢
- No$16 @ 96.0¢
- Iran nuclear test before 2027?PoliticsNo$16 @ 96.0¢
- No$16 @ 94.0¢