0xd426…334a

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other103 bets

  Hit rate

  45% (46/103)

  ROI

  +72%

• Politics101 bets

  Hit rate

  49% (49/101)

  ROI

  +20%

• Geopolitics33 bets

  Hit rate

  45% (15/33)

  ROI

  +14%

• Sports31 bets

  Hit rate

  16% (5/31)

  ROI

  +195%

• Culture3 bets

  Hit rate

  33% (1/3)

  ROI

  -12%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?Lost
  Yes$32 @ 0.4¢
• Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Won
  No$633 @ 63.9¢
• Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
  Yes$1.7k @ 31.6¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$4.5k @ 57.6¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$837 @ 8.0¢
• Spread: LSU (-5.5)Lost
  LSU$13 @ 39.0¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Won
  No$509 @ 84.8¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
• Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Won
  No$954 @ 86.5¢
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 7?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 5.0¢
• Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Won
  No$560 @ 64.8¢
• Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Lost
  No$39 @ 13.0¢
• Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 4.2¢
• Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Lost
  Yes$68 @ 5.5¢
• Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Lost
  Yes$165 @ 33.0¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
  No$3.7k @ 63.0¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Won
  Yes$314 @ 12.0¢
• US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Won
  No$338 @ 3.2¢
• US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 0.5¢
• Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?Won
  No$502 @ 71.8¢
• Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?Lost
  Yes$105 @ 1.8¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Lost
  Yes$289 @ 2.6¢
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Lost
  Yes$58 @ 1.1¢
• Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?Won
  No$1.2k @ 66.6¢
• Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?Lost
  Yes$72 @ 2.8¢
• Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?Won
  No$279 @ 63.0¢
• Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Lost
  No$166 @ 15.0¢
• Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Won
  Yes$140 @ 70.0¢
• Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Lost
  Yes$261 @ 17.4¢
• Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$167 @ 5.0¢
• Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Won
  No$104 @ 46.0¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$223 @ 22.3¢
• Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 26, 2026?Won
  No$1.1k @ 83.1¢
• Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
  Yes$67 @ 7.5¢
• Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?Won
  No$1.1k @ 55.6¢
• Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 5.6¢
• Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
  Yes$1.1k @ 60.1¢
• Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 0.3¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Lost
  No$430 @ 14.2¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Won
  Yes$430 @ 86.0¢
• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Won
  No$9.2k @ 39.2¢
• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Lost
  Yes$683 @ 24.7¢
• Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Won
  No$782 @ 88.0¢
• Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$266 @ 68.0¢
• Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
  Yes$21 @ 0.3¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Lost
  No$1.0k @ 38.3¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Won
  Yes$8.0k @ 61.6¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Lost
  No$2.3k @ 42.1¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Won
  Yes$449 @ 56.1¢

Current positions

• H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Politics
  No$8.6k @ 86.5¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
  No$5.6k @ 56.0¢
• Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$5.1k @ 94.0¢
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
  Yes$4.0k @ 16.4¢
• SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$3.2k @ 18.4¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$3.1k @ 33.4¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$3.0k @ 79.4¢
• Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Politics
  Yes$2.8k @ 18.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$2.4k @ 22.6¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$2.3k @ 17.8¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics
  No$2.2k @ 91.5¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$2.0k @ 38.6¢
• Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$2.0k @ 55.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
  Yes$1.8k @ 33.9¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$1.8k @ 70.0¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  No$1.7k @ 82.7¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$1.7k @ 34.0¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$1.6k @ 86.0¢
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$1.6k @ 94.3¢
• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.6k @ 3.6¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Politics
  Yes$1.5k @ 34.5¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics
  Yes$1.3k @ 8.5¢
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$1.2k @ 56.0¢
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$1.2k @ 68.3¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.2k @ 8.7¢
• Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics
  No$1.2k @ 14.9¢
• Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.2k @ 4.3¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.1k @ 89.3¢
• Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.1k @ 21.3¢
• Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.1k @ 36.2¢