← Smart money
0x9419…a40f
SharpEdge
+2.4pp
ROI
+18%
Win rate
61% @ 58.4¢
Brier
0.148
Resolved
2272
Avg size
$142
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 55% (165/302) | +13% | 302 |
| Sports | 21% (5/24) | +24% | 24 |
| Politics | 71% (10/14) | +35% | 14 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (6/6) | +16% | 6 |
- Other302 bets
- Hit rate
- 55% (165/302)
- ROI
- +13%
- Sports24 bets
- Hit rate
- 21% (5/24)
- ROI
- +24%
- Politics14 bets
- Hit rate
- 71% (10/14)
- ROI
- +35%
- Geopolitics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (6/6)
- ROI
- +16%
Track record
54% hit · 186/346- Yes$193 @ 96.3¢
- Over$60 @ 56.0¢
- No$180 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$37 @ 36.8¢
- No$408 @ 81.6¢
- Yes$51 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$101 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 86.0¢
- No$199 @ 88.8¢
- Seahawks$109 @ 72.8¢
- Under$5 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$124 @ 11.8¢
- Yes$39 @ 44.3¢
- No$23.3k @ 82.1¢
- Yes$60 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$117 @ 29.0¢
- No$76 @ 76.0¢
- T1 Academy$67 @ 67.0¢
- Under$220 @ 87.8¢
- Over$262 @ 81.8¢
- No$10.6k @ 87.6¢
- Yes$811 @ 15.0¢
- No$20 @ 54.0¢
- No$296 @ 88.0¢
- Zverev$40 @ 16.0¢
- No$166 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 29.3¢
- Yes$23 @ 75.7¢
- No$2.9k @ 82.0¢
- No$82 @ 82.0¢
- Over$30 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$619 @ 74.0¢
- Under$150 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$32 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$20 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$14.7k @ 65.2¢
- Yes$151 @ 79.3¢
- Musetti$159 @ 79.5¢
- Yes$96 @ 16.5¢
- Yes$130 @ 6.5¢
- Heat$200 @ 76.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 39.4¢
- Djokovic$30 @ 10.0¢
- Sinner$32 @ 64.7¢
- Hurricanes$100 @ 79.6¢
- No$5.0k @ 63.2¢
- Over$68 @ 68.0¢
- Utah$55 @ 55.0¢
- Over$61 @ 61.0¢
- Eagles$55 @ 55.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | Politics | No | $17.0k | 88.3¢ |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $11.3k | 90.2¢ |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027? | Politics | No | $2.2k | 77.6¢ |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | Politics | Yes | $1.2k | 36.8¢ |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? | Politics | No | $842 | 88.0¢ |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $581 | 35.5¢ |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $120 | 12.0¢ |
| Pistons vs. 76ers | Sports | Pistons | $61 | 41.0¢ |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? | Tech | No | $10 | 78.0¢ |
- No$17.0k @ 88.3¢
- No$11.3k @ 90.2¢
- No$2.2k @ 77.6¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 36.8¢
- No$842 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$581 @ 35.5¢
- Yes$120 @ 12.0¢
- Pistons vs. 76ersSportsPistons$61 @ 41.0¢
- No$10 @ 78.0¢