0xd04d…3dda

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other531 bets

  Hit rate

  69% (367/531)

  ROI

  +10%

• Politics19 bets

  Hit rate

  68% (13/19)

  ROI

  +11%

• Sports6 bets

  Hit rate

  83% (5/6)

  ROI

  +2%

• Geopolitics3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  +13%

• Tech1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +12%

• Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 10%?Lost
  Over$114 @ 38.0¢
• Will Trump and Elon say "Paper Straw" during their Feb 18 interview?Won
  No$40 @ 79.0¢
• Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Won
  Yes$15 @ 19.0¢
• North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024?Won
  No$1.7k @ 81.9¢
• Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?Won
  Yes$1.5k @ 87.0¢
• Will Gladiator II gross more than $75m on opening weekend?Won
  No$70 @ 70.0¢
• Will Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during his presser with Ireland PM?Won
  No$4 @ 68.0¢
• Trump x Xi talk before July?Lost
  No$37 @ 37.0¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire by March 31?Won
  No$100 @ 86.0¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Won
  No$100 @ 71.0¢
• Will Trump say 'Panama' during the 2025 State of the Union?Lost
  No$100 @ 52.8¢
• Will Trump impose tariffs on Panama in the first 100 days?Won
  No$180 @ 72.5¢
• Will Jake Paul fight Logan Paul next?Won
  No$100 @ 88.0¢
• Will Solana reach $275 in November?Won
  No$165 @ 66.0¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?Won
  No$138 @ 69.0¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by next Friday?Won
  No$100 @ 84.0¢
• Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Lost
  Yes$37 @ 77.0¢
• Will 'Star Wars III' gross less than $19m on opening weekend?Won
  No$79 @ 79.0¢
• Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week?Won
  No$40 @ 62.0¢
• Will Trump say "Mineral" during tariff event on April 2?Lost
  No$100 @ 79.2¢
• Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?Lost
  No$101 @ 67.0¢
• Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?Won
  No$215 @ 21.5¢
• Will Game 11 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?Won
  No$15 @ 30.0¢
• Will $BTC reach 70k before October?Won
  No$82 @ 82.0¢
• Israel declares war on Iran in October?Won
  No$84 @ 84.0¢
• Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?Lost
  No$2.5k @ 69.9¢
• Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?Lost
  Yes$126 @ 21.0¢
• Will Jerome Powell say "Ukraine" during the May meeting?Won
  No$87 @ 87.0¢
• Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?Lost
  No$82 @ 82.0¢
• Will courts block Trump's tariffs before June?Lost
  No$63 @ 63.0¢
• Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross more than $150m opening weekend?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 0.8¢
• Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by August 31?Won
  No$5 @ 79.0¢
• 500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?Won
  No$200 @ 85.1¢
• 500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?Lost
  Yes$200 @ 21.9¢
• Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election? Lost
  No$850 @ 85.0¢
• Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election? Won
  Yes$863 @ 56.5¢
• Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?Won
  No$205 @ 82.0¢
• Will Trump impose tariffs on China in the first 100 days?Lost
  No$106 @ 43.1¢
• Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Lost
  No$300 @ 29.7¢
• Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Won
  Yes$6.1k @ 87.9¢
• Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $120-135m opening weekend?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
• Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Won
  Yes$350 @ 87.5¢
• Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? Lost
  No$100 @ 60.0¢
• Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Won
  No$43 @ 86.0¢
• Will Trump visit China before September?Won
  No$117 @ 78.0¢
• Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?Lost
  Yes$200 @ 57.0¢
• Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?Lost
  Yes$83 @ 83.0¢
• Will Trump say "Waste" 3+ times during his DOJ appearance on Friday?Won
  No$100 @ 76.0¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?Won
  No$235 @ 47.0¢
• Will There be 7-9 Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?Won
  No$58 @ 73.0¢

Current positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$3.0k @ 82.5¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$2.9k @ 83.8¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$2.0k @ 76.9¢
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Politics
  No$1.6k @ 69.5¢
• Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$1.1k @ 91.3¢
• Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Politics
  No$1.0k @ 69.0¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$1.0k @ 88.0¢
• Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Politics
  No$650 @ 84.0¢
• Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$500 @ 62.4¢
• Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?—
  Yes$500 @ 43.0¢
• Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Politics
  No$395 @ 81.0¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$350 @ 70.0¢
• Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?—
  Yes$300 @ 48.0¢
• Trump renames AI by September 30?Politics
  No$300 @ 94.0¢
• Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics
  No$277 @ 62.4¢
• Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$250 @ 86.0¢
• Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$200 @ 82.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics
  Yes$200 @ 28.0¢
• Israel tourism plunges below 40K by January?Geopolitics
  No$170 @ 74.0¢
• Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?—
  No$165 @ 55.0¢
• Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 10%?—
  Over$114 @ 38.0¢
• Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?—
  Yes$100 @ 64.0¢
• Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics
  No$93 @ 85.0¢
• Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$63 @ 63.0¢
• Will ropz Get Pulled Over Again in 2026?Sports
  No$60 @ 79.3¢