0xd9fe…db0d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd9fe6f0f41ca99fefa93c55d8890000e5a84db0d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.7pp

ROI

+9%

Win rate

48% @ 44.9¢

Brier

0.154

Resolved

2250

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Science	45% (118/264)	+4%	264
Sports	49% (26/53)	+10%	53
Politics	45% (9/20)	-6%	20
Other	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Science264 bets
Hit rate
45% (118/264)
ROI
+4%
Sports53 bets
Hit rate
49% (26/53)
ROI
+10%
Politics20 bets
Hit rate
45% (9/20)
ROI
-6%
Other1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

45% hit · 153/339

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?	No	$94	96.3¢	Won
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	$26	10.9¢	Lost
LoL: Forsaken vs The Secret Club Esport (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage	Forsaken	$16	77.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 30?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 37°C or higher on September 30?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 30?	No	$7	78.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 30?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 30?	No	$31	71.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 30?	No	$21	82.3¢	Won
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5	Under	$35	41.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 29?	No	$5	63.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 29?	Yes	$2	33.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on September 30?	Yes	$0	1.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 29?	No	$10	68.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 30?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?	Over	$26	50.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on September 30?	Yes	$0	1.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 29?	Yes	$8	54.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 29?	No	$9	88.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 30?	No	$8	74.7¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30?	No	$5	45.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 30?	No	$25	77.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 30?	No	$47	77.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 29?	No	$2	41.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 29?	Yes	$0	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 29?	No	$5	86.0¢	Won
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs UCAM Esports Club (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage	Bushido Wildcats	$7	31.4¢	Won
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs UCAM Esports Club (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage	UCAM Esports Club	$60	64.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 30?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 29?	No	$3	47.0¢	Lost
LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 3 Winner	DN SOOPers Challengers	$69	39.5¢	Lost
LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 3 Winner	Solary	$1.2k	49.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 30?	Yes	$0	2.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 30?	No	$23	38.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	$2	24.0¢	Won
Game Handicap: FSK (-1.5) vs The Secret Club Esport (+1.5)	Forsaken	$17	52.7¢	Lost
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5	Under	$4	60.0¢	Won
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 2 Winner	Galions	$46	13.3¢	Lost
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 2 Winner	T1 Academy	$46	67.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 29?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 29?	No	$54	80.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 4 Winner	Galions	$307	25.6¢	Lost
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 4 Winner	T1 Academy	$19	63.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 30?	No	$5	88.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 29?	No	$3	74.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 29?	Yes	$2	32.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 30?	No	$13	72.7¢	Won

Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?Won
No$94 @ 96.3¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Lost
Yes$26 @ 10.9¢
LoL: Forsaken vs The Secret Club Esport (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss StageLost
Forsaken$16 @ 77.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 37°C or higher on September 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 30?Won
No$7 @ 78.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 30?Won
No$31 @ 71.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 30?Won
No$21 @ 82.3¢
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Lost
Under$35 @ 41.7¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 29?Lost
No$5 @ 63.7¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 29?Won
Yes$2 @ 33.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on September 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 29?Won
No$10 @ 68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?Lost
Over$26 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on September 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 29?Won
Yes$8 @ 54.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 29?Won
No$9 @ 88.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 30?Won
No$8 @ 74.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30?Lost
No$5 @ 45.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 30?Won
No$25 @ 77.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 30?Won
No$47 @ 77.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 29?Lost
No$2 @ 41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 29?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 29?Won
No$5 @ 86.0¢
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs UCAM Esports Club (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss StageWon
Bushido Wildcats$7 @ 31.4¢
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs UCAM Esports Club (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss StageLost
UCAM Esports Club$60 @ 64.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 29?Lost
No$3 @ 47.0¢
LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 3 WinnerLost
DN SOOPers Challengers$69 @ 39.5¢
LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 3 WinnerWon
Solary$1.2k @ 49.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 30?Lost
No$23 @ 38.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 30?Won
Yes$2 @ 24.0¢
Game Handicap: FSK (-1.5) vs The Secret Club Esport (+1.5)Lost
Forsaken$17 @ 52.7¢
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Won
Under$4 @ 60.0¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerLost
Galions$46 @ 13.3¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerWon
T1 Academy$46 @ 67.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 29?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 29?Won
No$54 @ 80.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 26°C on September 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 4 WinnerLost
Galions$307 @ 25.6¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 4 WinnerWon
T1 Academy$19 @ 63.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 30?Won
No$5 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 29?Lost
No$3 @ 74.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 29?Won
Yes$2 @ 32.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 30?Won
No$13 @ 72.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$1.5k	65.5¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$1.3k	90.1¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$1.3k	89.7¢
Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$975	97.6¢
Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$843	99.1¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$773	97.6¢
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Politics	No	$692	91.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in October 2026?	Politics	No	$691	98.8¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Politics	No	$648	99.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in October 2026?	Politics	No	$606	97.4¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$587	95.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in October 2026?	Politics	No	$568	99.2¢
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$565	99.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$551	99.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in October 2026?	Politics	No	$536	99.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$520	55.6¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?	Politics	No	$505	99.6¢
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	No	$497	99.4¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Politics	No	$493	93.0¢
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	No	$478	98.0¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?	Politics	No	$476	99.7¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$472	94.6¢
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	No	$468	99.1¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$455	84.4¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?	Politics	No	$452	99.8¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$451	98.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$430	69.4¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Politics	No	$425	68.4¢
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$422	98.2¢
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$398	99.8¢

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$1.5k @ 65.5¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$1.3k @ 90.1¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$1.3k @ 89.7¢
Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$975 @ 97.6¢
Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$843 @ 99.1¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$773 @ 97.6¢
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics
No$692 @ 91.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in October 2026?Politics
No$691 @ 98.8¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics
No$648 @ 99.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in October 2026?Politics
No$606 @ 97.4¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
No$587 @ 95.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in October 2026?Politics
No$568 @ 99.2¢
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$565 @ 99.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
No$551 @ 99.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in October 2026?Politics
No$536 @ 99.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$520 @ 55.6¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?Politics
No$505 @ 99.6¢
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
No$497 @ 99.4¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
No$493 @ 93.0¢
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
No$478 @ 98.0¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?Politics
No$476 @ 99.7¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
No$472 @ 94.6¢
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
No$468 @ 99.1¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$455 @ 84.4¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?Politics
No$452 @ 99.8¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$451 @ 98.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$430 @ 69.4¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics
No$425 @ 68.4¢
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$422 @ 98.2¢
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$398 @ 99.8¢