0x7c3d…5c6b

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics16 bets

  Hit rate

  44% (7/16)

  ROI

  -21%

• Sports11 bets

  Hit rate

  45% (5/11)

  ROI

  -7%

• Crypto8 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/8)

  ROI

  -100%

• Tech3 bets

  Hit rate

  33% (1/3)

  ROI

  +8%

• Other2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +9%

• Geopolitics2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +47%

• Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
  Yes$333 @ 66.0¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Lost
  Yes$19 @ 0.8¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Won
  Yes$1.4k @ 89.6¢
• Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Lost
  Yes$249 @ 49.0¢
• Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
  Yes$965 @ 47.7¢
• Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Won
  Yes$272 @ 55.7¢
• Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Lost
  No$497 @ 64.3¢
• Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Won
  Yes$101 @ 50.5¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$4.9k @ 89.0¢
• Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?Lost
  Yes$15 @ 1.3¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
  Yes$14.0k @ 81.2¢
• Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Lost
  No$240 @ 18.4¢
• Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Won
  Yes$175 @ 87.5¢
• Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$1.5k @ 76.0¢
• Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?Won
  No$105 @ 19.6¢
• Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31?Lost
  Yes$85 @ 2.2¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Lost
  Yes$127 @ 2.5¢
• Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?Lost
  Yes$96 @ 1.3¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?Lost
  Yes$136 @ 1.7¢
• Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?Lost
  Yes$36 @ 3.8¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$10.9k @ 60.7¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14?Lost
  Yes$49 @ 1.0¢
• Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Lost
  No$1.1k @ 54.5¢
• Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?Lost
  Yes$52 @ 23.0¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 June 8-14?Lost
  Yes$123 @ 1.2¢
• Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Won
  No$362 @ 60.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 8-14?Lost
  Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
• Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?Won
  No$1.9k @ 59.2¢
• Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?Lost
  Yes$283 @ 8.0¢
• Iran closes its airspace by July 15?Lost
  No$21 @ 2.1¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Lost
  No$101 @ 9.8¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Won
  Yes$2.5k @ 78.3¢
• Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Lost
  Yes$530 @ 53.0¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 June 8-14?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Lost
  Yes$356 @ 10.9¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14?Lost
  Yes$297 @ 3.1¢
• Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Lost
  Yes$507 @ 22.8¢
• Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$15 @ 88.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 1.0¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 June 8-14?Lost
  Yes$33 @ 0.6¢
• Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Won
  Yes$924 @ 84.0¢
• Israel closes its airspace by June 11?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 2.7¢

Current positions

• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$205.6k @ 50.0¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  No$205.6k @ 50.0¢
• Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?—
  No$66.6k @ 99.9¢
• Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  No$8.2k @ 97.0¢
• Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics
  No$7.8k @ 91.7¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$6.7k @ 67.9¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Crypto
  No$5.3k @ 79.8¢
• Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$4.7k @ 91.2¢
• Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
  No$4.5k @ 89.9¢
• Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?Crypto
  No$4.3k @ 87.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Politics
  No$3.7k @ 92.6¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics
  Yes$3.2k @ 24.1¢
• Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$3.2k @ 88.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$2.9k @ 44.2¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$2.9k @ 19.4¢
• World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?Sports
  No$2.9k @ 95.9¢
• Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics
  No$2.8k @ 88.1¢
• Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$2.3k @ 77.8¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics
  No$2.1k @ 92.6¢
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
  Yes$2.1k @ 71.0¢
• Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto
  Yes$2.0k @ 25.7¢
• Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?Politics
  Yes$2.0k @ 94.2¢
• Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?Politics
  No$2.0k @ 94.8¢
• Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 91.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
  Yes$1.8k @ 13.2¢
• Iran coup attempt by June 30?Politics
  No$1.7k @ 68.0¢
• Trump goes to space in 2026?Politics
  No$1.6k @ 95.5¢
• Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  No$1.6k @ 91.0¢
• NATO dissolves before 2027?Politics
  No$1.5k @ 93.0¢
• Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?Politics
  No$1.1k @ 96.0¢