← Market consensus
EconomyActiveends Jan 31, 2027

US recession by end of 2026?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

7.5¢

No

92.5¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢ smart-money trades
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Smart money here · 7 tracked sharps

Strong
No 83%Yes 17%
8 shown ·
No$2.2k @ 74.4¢
Conv
78×
ROI
+17%
Win%
41%
No$2.0k @ 90.0¢
Conv
9.3×
ROI
+12%
Win%
92%
0xe533…ab29Profitable
No$1.8k @ 73.4¢
Conv
24×
ROI
+8%
Win%
29%
Yes$945 @ 26.3¢
Conv
6.1×
ROI
+19%
Win%
54%
Yes$341 @ 16.3¢
Conv
14×
ROI
+89%
Win%
23%
No$88 @ 88.0¢
Conv
0.9×
ROI
+13%
Win%
80%
No$41 @ 64.1¢
Conv
0.3×
ROI
+19%
Win%
54%
No$27 @ 67.5¢
Conv
2.1×
ROI
+13%
Win%
100%