← Market consensus
EconomyActiveends Jan 31, 2027

US recession by end of 2026?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

12.5¢

No

87.5¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢ smart-money trades
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Smart money here · 5 tracked sharps

Strong
No 92%Yes 8%
6 shown ·
No$3.7k @ 79.0¢
Conv
8.3×
ROI
+39%
Win%
99%
0xd52b…5c72Profitable
No$3.4k @ 82.2¢
Conv
18×
ROI
+26%
Win%
41%
No$3.2k @ 69.7¢
Conv
36×
ROI
+51%
Win%
22%
Yes$945 @ 26.3¢
Conv
6.0×
ROI
+19%
Win%
56%
0x095d…52cfProfitable
No$144 @ 80.3¢
Conv
3.6×
ROI
+41%
Win%
100%
No$41 @ 64.1¢
Conv
0.3×
ROI
+19%
Win%
56%