0xc9db…6789

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc9db23c5d9f7b86628474bcb74539b92c3b56789
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.8pp

ROI

+26%

Win rate

50% @ 39.8¢

Brier

0.199

Resolved

1183

Avg size

$83

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	56% (311/555)	+25%	555
Sports	54% (103/190)	+29%	190
Politics	61% (27/44)	+20%	44
Culture	50% (3/6)	+82%	6
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	+39%	2
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other555 bets
Hit rate
56% (311/555)
ROI
+25%
Sports190 bets
Hit rate
54% (103/190)
ROI
+29%
Politics44 bets
Hit rate
61% (27/44)
ROI
+20%
Culture6 bets
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
ROI
+82%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+39%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

56% hit · 445/798

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)	Switzerland	$51	32.0¢	Lost
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5	Under	$3	40.0¢	Won
Will Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?	Yes	$66	6.9¢	Lost
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers	Yes	$62	76.8¢	Won
Bengaluru 3: Hamish Stewart vs Ognjen Milic	Ognjen Milic	$14	1.0¢	Lost
1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	New York Mets	$5	27.4¢	Lost
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Yes	$45	47.1¢	Won
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5	Over	$40	80.0¢	Won
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5	Over	$3	27.0¢	Lost
Milan: Juan Martin vs David Jorda Sanchis	David Jorda Sanchis	$1.8k	32.0¢	Lost
Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 34.5	Under	$19	77.0¢	Won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins	No	$2	5.0¢	Lost
Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?	No	$4	59.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	$9	18.0¢	Lost
Will Jeff Pixley be the Democratic nominee for OK-04?	Yes	$66	22.3¢	Lost
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5	Over	$137	42.4¢	Won
Will Senegal be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	No	$23	68.0¢	Won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays	No	$1	13.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?	No	$13	16.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	MOUZ	$1	1.2¢	Lost
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Yes	$6	62.0¢	Won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies	No	$15	79.0¢	Won
Aston Villa FC leading at halftime?	Yes	$49	75.0¢	Won
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-19?	No	$60	44.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner	B8	$12	25.5¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5	Over	$44	28.2¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$35	20.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 12?	No	$39	68.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 8?	Yes	$2	19.0¢	Lost
Australia vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5	Under	$4	1.0¢	Lost
Girona FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5	Over	$26	52.0¢	Lost
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Yes	$11	75.0¢	Won
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)	Chicago White Sox	$106	30.0¢	Won
Colts vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	$108	78.8¢	Won
Will Sal Stewart lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?	No	$34	55.2¢	Won
M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov	Aristarkh Safonov	$19	51.0¢	Won
PFK CSKA Sofia vs. OFI: Both Teams to Score	No	$46	76.4¢	Won
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)	New York Yankees	$2	47.0¢	Won
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5	Over	$198	30.4¢	Won
Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. Karlsruher SC end in a draw?	No	$18	46.6¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$21	70.5¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$4	13.8¢	Lost
1st 5 Innings Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	$23	10.0¢	Lost
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?	No	$58	39.2¢	Lost
Spread: Falcons (-14.5)	Falcons	$85	74.9¢	Won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5	Over	$154	48.0¢	Lost
Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?	No	$1	9.0¢	Lost
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alex Pereira	$101	51.0¢	Lost
Will Sally Field – “Remarkably Bright Creatures” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?	Yes	$54	44.3¢	Lost
Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?	No	$114	80.0¢	Lost

Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Lost
Switzerland$51 @ 32.0¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Won
Under$3 @ 40.0¢
Will Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?Lost
Yes$66 @ 6.9¢
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Texas RangersWon
Yes$62 @ 76.8¢
Bengaluru 3: Hamish Stewart vs Ognjen MilicLost
Ognjen Milic$14 @ 1.0¢
1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Lost
New York Mets$5 @ 27.4¢
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesWon
Yes$45 @ 47.1¢
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Won
Over$40 @ 80.0¢
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$3 @ 27.0¢
Milan: Juan Martin vs David Jorda SanchisLost
David Jorda Sanchis$1.8k @ 32.0¢
Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 34.5Won
Under$19 @ 77.0¢
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota TwinsLost
No$2 @ 5.0¢
Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?Won
No$4 @ 59.0¢
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?Lost
Yes$9 @ 18.0¢
Will Jeff Pixley be the Democratic nominee for OK-04?Lost
Yes$66 @ 22.3¢
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Won
Over$137 @ 42.4¢
Will Senegal be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?Won
No$23 @ 68.0¢
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay RaysWon
No$1 @ 13.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?Lost
No$13 @ 16.0¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageLost
MOUZ$1 @ 1.2¢
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore OriolesWon
Yes$6 @ 62.0¢
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia PhilliesWon
No$15 @ 79.0¢
Aston Villa FC leading at halftime?Won
Yes$49 @ 75.0¢
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-19?Won
No$60 @ 44.0¢
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 WinnerLost
B8$12 @ 25.5¢
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$44 @ 28.2¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLost
Switzerland$35 @ 20.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 12?Lost
No$39 @ 68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 8?Lost
Yes$2 @ 19.0¢
Australia vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$4 @ 1.0¢
Girona FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$26 @ 52.0¢
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee BrewersWon
Yes$11 @ 75.0¢
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Won
Chicago White Sox$106 @ 30.0¢
Colts vs. ChiefsWon
Chiefs$108 @ 78.8¢
Will Sal Stewart lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?Won
No$34 @ 55.2¢
M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh SafonovWon
Aristarkh Safonov$19 @ 51.0¢
PFK CSKA Sofia vs. OFI: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$46 @ 76.4¢
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Won
New York Yankees$2 @ 47.0¢
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Won
Over$198 @ 30.4¢
Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. Karlsruher SC end in a draw?Lost
No$18 @ 46.6¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$21 @ 70.5¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$4 @ 13.8¢
1st 5 Innings Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Lost
Tampa Bay Rays$23 @ 10.0¢
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?Lost
No$58 @ 39.2¢
Spread: Falcons (-14.5)Won
Falcons$85 @ 74.9¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$154 @ 48.0¢
Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?Lost
No$1 @ 9.0¢
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Lost
Alex Pereira$101 @ 51.0¢
Will Sally Field – “Remarkably Bright Creatures” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Lost
Yes$54 @ 44.3¢
Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?Lost
No$114 @ 80.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026?	Culture	Yes	$1.7k	67.2¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.2k	49.5¢
US recession by end of 2026?	Economy	No	$779	77.4¢
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	Culture	No	$689	46.0¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	No	$451	45.7¢
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Sports	No	$299	58.6¢
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?	Politics	No	$223	77.5¢
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?	Politics	No	$185	60.0¢
Will Nuisance Bear win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Culture	No	$167	60.4¢
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?	Culture	Yes	$126	62.8¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	Culture	No	$78	76.0¢
Will Paris FC win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Sports	Yes	$76	15.0¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Politics	No	$71	70.0¢
Will Channing Tatum win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Culture	No	$59	83.9¢
Will the Miami Dolphins have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Sports	No	$58	35.0¢
Will Colman Domingo win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Culture	No	$51	85.6¢
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Sports	No	$50	28.4¢
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$45	74.9¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-10-06?	Sports	No	$37	42.3¢
Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026?	Culture	No	$32	43.7¢
Will Jalen Hurts win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Sports	No	$31	82.6¢
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Sports	No	$29	27.9¢
Will the Baltimore Ravens have more than 13.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Sports	No	$29	38.0¢
Will Philadelphia Union vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?	Sports	No	$29	60.0¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$28	17.0¢
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Sports	Yes	$26	13.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the IN-06 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$22	68.0¢
Will Texas A&M have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	—	U 8.5	$22	59.0¢
Will New England Revolution vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?	Sports	No	$21	48.0¢
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	Sports	Yes	$17	78.8¢

Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026?Culture
Yes$1.7k @ 67.2¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$1.2k @ 49.5¢
US recession by end of 2026?Economy
No$779 @ 77.4¢
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
No$689 @ 46.0¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
No$451 @ 45.7¢
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?Sports
No$299 @ 58.6¢
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?Politics
No$223 @ 77.5¢
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?Politics
No$185 @ 60.0¢
Will Nuisance Bear win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
No$167 @ 60.4¢
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?Culture
Yes$126 @ 62.8¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
No$78 @ 76.0¢
Will Paris FC win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Sports
Yes$76 @ 15.0¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics
No$71 @ 70.0¢
Will Channing Tatum win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
No$59 @ 83.9¢
Will the Miami Dolphins have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?Sports
No$58 @ 35.0¢
Will Colman Domingo win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
No$51 @ 85.6¢
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Sports
No$50 @ 28.4¢
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?Politics
Yes$45 @ 74.9¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-10-06?Sports
No$37 @ 42.3¢
Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026?Culture
No$32 @ 43.7¢
Will Jalen Hurts win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Sports
No$31 @ 82.6¢
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Sports
No$29 @ 27.9¢
Will the Baltimore Ravens have more than 13.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?Sports
No$29 @ 38.0¢
Will Philadelphia Union vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?Sports
No$29 @ 60.0¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$28 @ 17.0¢
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?Sports
Yes$26 @ 13.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the IN-06 House seat?Politics
Yes$22 @ 68.0¢
Will Texas A&M have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?—
U 8.5$22 @ 59.0¢
Will New England Revolution vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?Sports
No$21 @ 48.0¢
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?Sports
Yes$17 @ 78.8¢