← Smart money
0xc84f…e0c5
SharpEdge
-4.8pp
ROI
+32%
Win rate
11% @ 15.8¢
Brier
0.116
Resolved
6233
Avg size
$220
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 29% (12/41) | +55% | 41 |
| Other | 34% (10/29) | +20% | 29 |
| Geopolitics | 18% (2/11) | -21% | 11 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics41 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (12/41)
- ROI
- +55%
- Other29 bets
- Hit rate
- 34% (10/29)
- ROI
- +20%
- Geopolitics11 bets
- Hit rate
- 18% (2/11)
- ROI
- -21%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
29% hit · 24/82- Yes$2.3k @ 13.6¢
- No$22.2k @ 82.2¢
- Yes$130.2k @ 15.5¢
- Yes$5.3k @ 7.7¢
- No$4.2k @ 6.7¢
- No$40 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$107 @ 4.4¢
- Yes$52.0k @ 10.5¢
- No$47 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 15.8¢
- Yes$202 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$5.9k @ 8.4¢
- No$31.2k @ 68.1¢
- Yes$13.3k @ 8.3¢
- Yes$10.5k @ 2.2¢
- No$10.4k @ 11.6¢
- Yes$42.0k @ 27.0¢
- Yes$44.8k @ 33.8¢
- Yes$7.9k @ 86.0¢
- No$148 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$5.3k @ 70.1¢
- Yes$16.4k @ 17.0¢
- Yes$58.9k @ 25.9¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 40.9¢
- Yes$39.5k @ 25.2¢
- Yes$125.1k @ 8.6¢
- Yes$49.5k @ 18.2¢
- No$1.1k @ 17.7¢
- No$140 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 10.0¢
- Yes$20.8k @ 11.4¢
- No$355 @ 53.7¢
- Yes$74 @ 0.1¢
- No$1 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$7.6k @ 82.0¢
- Yes$5.9k @ 63.2¢
- Yes$6.4k @ 34.3¢
- Yes$11.0k @ 4.6¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 5.0¢
- Yes$376 @ 4.4¢
- Yes$47.4k @ 26.3¢
- No$4.6k @ 4.5¢
- Yes$3.8k @ 7.5¢
- No$2.6k @ 88.1¢
- Yes$14.3k @ 46.6¢
- Yes$17.6k @ 27.5¢
- Yes$30.0k @ 7.3¢
- No$849 @ 86.5¢
- Yes$6.5k @ 9.3¢
- Yes$5.0k @ 89.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $367.2k | 50.0¢ |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | No | $367.2k | 50.0¢ |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | Politics | No | $27.6k | 94.6¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Politics | Yes | $15.4k | 11.0¢ |
| US recession by end of 2026? | Economy | No | $2.2k | 92.0¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Politics | Yes | $760 | 19.0¢ |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Politics | No | $17 | 57.4¢ |
- Yes$367.2k @ 50.0¢
- No$367.2k @ 50.0¢
- No$27.6k @ 94.6¢
- Yes$15.4k @ 11.0¢
- US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$2.2k @ 92.0¢
- Yes$760 @ 19.0¢
- No$17 @ 57.4¢