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0xc84f…e0c5
SharpEdge
+7.3pp
ROI
+78%
Win rate
25% @ 18.1¢
Brier
0.198
Resolved
528
Avg size
$509
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 43% (3/7) | +78% | 7 |
- Politics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (3/7)
- ROI
- +78%
Track record
43% hit · 3/7| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | No | $22.2k | 82.2¢ | Won |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | $111.6k | 14.7¢ | Lost |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $49.5k | 18.2¢ | Won |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | $47.4k | 26.3¢ | Won |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Yes | $6.1k | 5.5¢ | Lost |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | No | $31.1k | 12.0¢ | Lost |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 27? | Yes | $921 | 16.0¢ | Lost |
- No$22.2k @ 82.2¢
- Yes$111.6k @ 14.7¢
- Yes$49.5k @ 18.2¢
- Yes$47.4k @ 26.3¢
- Yes$6.1k @ 5.5¢
- No$31.1k @ 12.0¢
- Yes$921 @ 16.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $465.0k | 50.0¢ |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | No | $465.0k | 50.0¢ |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | Geopolitics | Yes | $53.4k | 99.7¢ |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Politics | No | $33.1k | 99.4¢ |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | Politics | No | $27.6k | 94.6¢ |
| Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? | Geopolitics | Yes | $20.0k | 99.9¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Geopolitics | Yes | $2.5k | 20.9¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Politics | Yes | $2.0k | 36.1¢ |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | Politics | No | $1.4k | 99.2¢ |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | Politics | No | $1.1k | 76.3¢ |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | Politics | Yes | $107 | 17.6¢ |
| Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | Politics | Yes | $2 | 59.0¢ |
- Yes$465.0k @ 50.0¢
- No$465.0k @ 50.0¢
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?GeopoliticsYes$53.4k @ 99.7¢
- No$33.1k @ 99.4¢
- No$27.6k @ 94.6¢
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?GeopoliticsYes$20.0k @ 99.9¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 20.9¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 36.1¢
- No$1.4k @ 99.2¢
- No$1.1k @ 76.3¢
- Yes$107 @ 17.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 59.0¢