← Smart money
0xc96a…702c
ProfitableEdge
-9.5pp
ROI
+21%
Win rate
59% @ 68.3¢
Brier
0.219
Resolved
143
Avg size
$56
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 53% (36/68) | +32% | 68 |
| Politics | 56% (19/34) | +7% | 34 |
| Sports | 60% (3/5) | -3% | 5 |
| Science | 100% (2/2) | +13% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (2/2) | +12% | 2 |
| Culture | 100% (1/1) | +20% | 1 |
- Other68 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (36/68)
- ROI
- +32%
- Politics34 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (19/34)
- ROI
- +7%
- Sports5 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (3/5)
- ROI
- -3%
- Science2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +13%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +12%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +20%
Track record
56% hit · 63/112- Yes$2 @ 37.6¢
- No$1 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 67.0¢
- No$120 @ 70.7¢
- No$16 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 78.0¢
- No$1 @ 72.0¢
- No$5 @ 61.0¢
- No$100 @ 82.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 81.7¢
- No$1 @ 69.0¢
- No$1 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 74.6¢
- No$50 @ 79.9¢
- No$1 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 11.0¢
- No$10 @ 86.4¢
- No$12 @ 84.0¢
- No$1 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 86.1¢
- No$10 @ 82.0¢
- No$1 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 88.0¢
- No$5 @ 61.0¢
- No$1 @ 78.0¢
- No$10 @ 78.0¢
- No$10 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 61.0¢
- No$7 @ 85.0¢
- No$100 @ 78.0¢
- No$57 @ 85.1¢
- No$1 @ 67.0¢
- No$1 @ 4.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 15.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 70.0¢
- No$1 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 64.0¢
- No$1 @ 1.6¢
- No$1 @ 71.0¢
- Tate$5 @ 82.9¢
- No$1 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 63.0¢
- No$9 @ 52.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
- No$1 @ 42.0¢
- No$4 @ 0.6¢
- No$1 @ 83.0¢
- No$1 @ 4.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$563 @ 91.7¢
- No$550 @ 94.7¢
- Russia coup attempt in 2026?PoliticsNo$302 @ 92.1¢
- No$300 @ 93.7¢
- No$250 @ 90.4¢
- No$200 @ 85.8¢
- No$149 @ 93.1¢
- US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$140 @ 73.1¢
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$130 @ 90.3¢
- No$101 @ 95.7¢
- No$61 @ 87.8¢
- No$60 @ 91.3¢
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$52 @ 79.7¢
- No$50 @ 86.3¢
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$50 @ 91.0¢
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$49 @ 97.7¢
- No$44 @ 85.8¢
- No$40 @ 78.7¢
- New pandemic in 2026?GeopoliticsNo$38 @ 94.8¢
- No$32 @ 87.5¢
- No$31 @ 70.0¢
- No$20 @ 76.7¢
- No$20 @ 88.6¢
- Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$20 @ 90.0¢
- No$20 @ 56.1¢
- No$20 @ 85.0¢
- No$20 @ 82.0¢
- No$18 @ 86.2¢
- No$16 @ 38.8¢
- No$16 @ 81.5¢