0x8394…8d66

Specialization by sphere

• Other139 bets

  Hit rate

  65% (91/139)

  ROI

  +10%

• Sports38 bets

  Hit rate

  55% (21/38)

  ROI

  +50%

• Tech13 bets

  Hit rate

  69% (9/13)

  ROI

  +23%

• Politics10 bets

  Hit rate

  80% (8/10)

  ROI

  +20%

• Geopolitics7 bets

  Hit rate

  71% (5/7)

  ROI

  -9%

• Crypto2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +11%

• Trump renames AI by September 30?Lost
  No$4 @ 77.0¢
• Will Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 10.8¢
• Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 49.0¢
• Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
  Yes$4 @ 66.2¢
• Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Won
  Yes$40 @ 61.8¢
• Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceWon
  Argentina$51 @ 83.9¢
• Will France strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$13 @ 83.6¢
• Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on March 18?Won
  Yes$52 @ 87.2¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 34.0¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$9 @ 8.6¢
• Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Won
  No$108 @ 80.7¢
• Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?Lost
  Yes$27 @ 61.4¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?Won
  Yes$7 @ 73.0¢
• Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Won
  Yes$22 @ 54.0¢
• Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 29.0¢
• Will any of the Big Six EPL clubs miss European football?Won
  Yes$13 @ 86.0¢
• Will France be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$25 @ 50.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 12?Won
  Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 14?Lost
  No$41 @ 82.4¢
• Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C or higher on March 12?Won
  No$16 @ 81.5¢
• Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Won
  Fulham FC$8 @ 75.0¢
• Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWon
  Morocco$1 @ 49.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on March 17?Won
  No$322 @ 77.0¢
• Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
  Yes$16 @ 80.0¢
• OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 25?Lost
  No$8 @ 75.0¢
• Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?Won
  No$8 @ 81.0¢
• First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Won
  Gold$14 @ 71.0¢
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on September 24?Won
  No$10 @ 87.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 14?Won
  No$9 @ 88.0¢
• Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?Won
  No$8 @ 77.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 19?Won
  No$9 @ 82.0¢
• France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Won
  No$38 @ 75.8¢
• Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?Won
  No$18 @ 89.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Won
  No$27 @ 59.7¢
• Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 12?Won
  No$26 @ 86.3¢
• Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?Won
  Yes$35 @ 88.8¢
• Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Won
  No$11 @ 82.1¢
• Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Won
  Yes$10 @ 67.0¢
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on September 24?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 3.9¢
• Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 12?Lost
  No$3 @ 61.0¢
• Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 21.0¢
• US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Won
  No$25 @ 77.4¢
• Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 17?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 10.1¢
• Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by February 28, 2026?Won
  No$26 @ 70.5¢
• Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
  Yes$42 @ 37.9¢
• Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 33.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
  No$21 @ 70.0¢
• Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceLost
  Paraguay$9 @ 7.6¢
• Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$11 @ 53.5¢
• Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 12?Won
  No$85 @ 84.7¢

Current positions

• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto
  No$263 @ 94.7¢
• Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?Politics
  No$219 @ 86.5¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
  No$210 @ 94.5¢
• Databricks IPO before 2027?Business
  No$174 @ 91.4¢
• Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?Politics
  No$122 @ 87.4¢
• Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?Sports
  No$116 @ 83.0¢
• Rippling IPO before 2027?Business
  No$115 @ 91.3¢
• Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Tech
  No$100 @ 91.2¢
• Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
  No$95 @ 95.2¢
• US recession by end of 2026?Economy
  No$92 @ 92.0¢
• US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Politics
  No$88 @ 77.0¢
• Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Science
  No$86 @ 86.4¢
• Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?Crypto
  No$84 @ 91.0¢
• Stripe IPO before 2027?Business
  No$83 @ 87.3¢
• Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
  No$83 @ 92.4¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$74 @ 81.8¢
• Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Sports
  No$68 @ 85.2¢
• Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Science
  No$68 @ 91.5¢
• Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Crypto
  No$68 @ 96.5¢
• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech
  No$64 @ 64.4¢
• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech
  No$59 @ 83.9¢
• Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
  No$56 @ 93.3¢
• Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
  No$49 @ 98.6¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$48 @ 73.2¢
• Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
  Yes$47 @ 78.7¢
• Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech
  No$47 @ 94.0¢
• Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech
  No$47 @ 93.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$45 @ 75.8¢
• FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Tech
  No$41 @ 91.7¢
• Will Rivian announce bankruptcy before 2027?Crypto
  No$37 @ 93.0¢