← Smart money
0x8394…8d66
SharpEdge
+4.8pp
ROI
+14%
Win rate
61% @ 56.6¢
Brier
0.136
Resolved
844
Avg size
$6
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 65% (91/139) | +10% | 139 |
| Sports | 63% (40/64) | +17% | 64 |
| Tech | 72% (13/18) | +22% | 18 |
| Politics | 75% (9/12) | +17% | 12 |
| Geopolitics | 71% (5/7) | -9% | 7 |
| Crypto | 33% (2/6) | -44% | 6 |
| Science | 100% (3/3) | +3% | 3 |
| Business | 100% (1/1) | +8% | 1 |
- Other139 bets
- Hit rate
- 65% (91/139)
- ROI
- +10%
- Sports64 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (40/64)
- ROI
- +17%
- Tech18 bets
- Hit rate
- 72% (13/18)
- ROI
- +22%
- Politics12 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (9/12)
- ROI
- +17%
- Geopolitics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 71% (5/7)
- ROI
- -9%
- Crypto6 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (2/6)
- ROI
- -44%
- Science3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +3%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +8%
Track record
66% hit · 164/250- No$24 @ 60.0¢
- No$5 @ 34.0¢
- No$47 @ 77.7¢
- No$4 @ 14.7¢
- No$7 @ 67.0¢
- No$10 @ 98.5¢
- Yes$67 @ 81.6¢
- No$20 @ 99.6¢
- No$9 @ 90.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 4.0¢
- No$19 @ 95.0¢
- No$29 @ 95.3¢
- No$49 @ 98.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 42.9¢
- No$19 @ 95.0¢
- No$56 @ 93.3¢
- Yes$4 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$47 @ 78.7¢
- No$23 @ 75.0¢
- No$17 @ 66.7¢
- No$83 @ 92.4¢
- No$47 @ 94.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 52.0¢
- No$18 @ 90.2¢
- No$18 @ 90.5¢
- No$95 @ 95.2¢
- No$18 @ 90.5¢
- No$18 @ 88.5¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
- No$25 @ 98.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 10.8¢
- Yes$5 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 66.2¢
- Yes$40 @ 61.8¢
- Argentina$51 @ 83.9¢
- No$13 @ 83.6¢
- Yes$52 @ 87.2¢
- Yes$3 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 8.6¢
- No$108 @ 80.7¢
- Yes$27 @ 61.4¢
- Yes$7 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$263 @ 94.7¢
- Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?PoliticsNo$219 @ 86.5¢
- No$190 @ 82.7¢
- Databricks IPO before 2027?BusinessNo$174 @ 91.4¢
- No$165 @ 91.7¢
- No$124 @ 95.6¢
- No$122 @ 87.4¢
- ByteDance IPO before 2027?BusinessNo$121 @ 95.0¢
- No$120 @ 85.4¢
- No$119 @ 91.5¢
- No$116 @ 83.0¢
- Rippling IPO before 2027?BusinessNo$115 @ 91.3¢
- No$105 @ 94.5¢
- US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$92 @ 92.0¢
- Anthropic$91 @ 90.5¢
- No$88 @ 77.0¢
- No$84 @ 84.4¢
- No$84 @ 91.0¢
- No$75 @ 94.3¢
- No$68 @ 85.2¢
- No$64 @ 64.4¢
- No$60 @ 93.7¢
- No$59 @ 73.2¢
- No$57 @ 95.2¢
- No$48 @ 73.2¢
- No$47 @ 94.0¢
- No$47 @ 77.7¢
- No$47 @ 93.0¢
- No$46 @ 92.9¢
- No$46 @ 92.8¢