0xd52b…5c72

Specialization by sphere

• Politics15 bets

  Hit rate

  33% (5/15)

  ROI

  +26%

• Tech9 bets

  Hit rate

  22% (2/9)

  ROI

  -84%

• Sports7 bets

  Hit rate

  43% (3/7)

  ROI

  -5%

• Other4 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/4)

  ROI

  -100%

• Crypto4 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (2/4)

  ROI

  +38%

• Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Lost
  No$3 @ 7.1¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Lost
  No$21 @ 14.9¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$149 @ 68.0¢
• Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Won
  Yes$36 @ 64.0¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 3.5¢
• Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?Won
  Yes$93 @ 46.0¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$8.8k @ 42.9¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$6.0k @ 1.1¢
• Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Won
  No$203 @ 67.0¢
• Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Lost
  Yes$109 @ 25.1¢
• Iran closes its airspace by July 15?Lost
  No$117 @ 50.0¢
• Will Trump announce Elise Stefanik as the next Director of National Intelligence?Lost
  Yes$77 @ 2.6¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$565 @ 22.6¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$11.3k @ 51.8¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Lost
  No$109 @ 5.8¢
• Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?Won
  Yes$19 @ 37.0¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?Lost
  Yes$29 @ 1.9¢
• Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$17 @ 29.2¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$128 @ 73.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Lost
  Yes$100 @ 2.0¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Won
  No$23 @ 75.0¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Lost
  Yes$41 @ 7.7¢
• Will Trump announce Tom Cotton as the next Director of National Intelligence?Lost
  Yes$14 @ 3.5¢
• Will Trump announce Devin Nunes as the next Director of National Intelligence?Lost
  Yes$30 @ 1.4¢
• Will England win on 2026-06-17?Lost
  No$144 @ 0.1¢
• Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 11.3¢
• Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
  No$2.8k @ 8.8¢
• Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  Yes$17.7k @ 88.5¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Lost
  No$164 @ 2.4¢
• Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 6.2¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?Lost
  Yes$27 @ 4.5¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Lost
  No$101 @ 4.8¢
• Will Trump announce no pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$586 @ 10.9¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?Lost
  No$39 @ 8.1¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?Lost
  No$742 @ 29.1¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$572 @ 76.7¢
• Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?Lost
  No$237 @ 9.5¢
• Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?Won
  Yes$545 @ 53.7¢

Current positions

• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$25.0k @ 50.0¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  No$25.0k @ 50.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics
  No$5.5k @ 99.1¢
• Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Culture
  No$4.9k @ 91.3¢
• US recession by end of 2026?Economy
  No$3.4k @ 82.2¢
• Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics
  Yes$3.1k @ 98.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics
  Yes$2.2k @ 55.9¢
• Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
  No$1.7k @ 92.3¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.5k @ 73.0¢
• SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Tech
  Down$1.3k @ 29.6¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
  Yes$1.2k @ 29.0¢
• Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$1.0k @ 80.6¢
• Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  Yes$800 @ 2.0¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
  Yes$485 @ 61.0¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$460 @ 17.0¢
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$373 @ 74.5¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Politics
  Yes$352 @ 18.4¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics
  Yes$345 @ 69.0¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics
  No$263 @ 36.8¢
• Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Politics
  No$259 @ 94.0¢
• Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Geopolitics
  No$144 @ 14.1¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Politics
  No$102 @ 24.0¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Politics
  No$98 @ 49.0¢
• Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics
  Yes$90 @ 52.0¢
• Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?Politics
  Yes$75 @ 15.4¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Geopolitics
  Yes$74 @ 0.3¢
• Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?Politics
  Yes$55 @ 32.5¢
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
  No$32 @ 16.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$29 @ 81.9¢
• Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Politics
  No$23 @ 46.0¢