0xd52b…5c72

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd52b8dcb4b812c4056faf41164a6f6c73f4c5c72
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.5pp

ROI

+26%

Win rate

27% @ 22.9¢

Brier

0.094

Resolved

3761

Avg size

$118

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	40% (66/164)	+25%	164
Other	38% (25/65)	+13%	65
Sports	34% (11/32)	-25%	32
Tech	33% (9/27)	-16%	27
Crypto	42% (5/12)	+35%	12
Geopolitics	44% (4/9)	-24%	9
Economy	22% (2/9)	-44%	9
Culture	60% (3/5)	+22%	5
Business	50% (1/2)	+15%	2

Politics164 bets
Hit rate
40% (66/164)
ROI
+25%
Other65 bets
Hit rate
38% (25/65)
ROI
+13%
Sports32 bets
Hit rate
34% (11/32)
ROI
-25%
Tech27 bets
Hit rate
33% (9/27)
ROI
-16%
Crypto12 bets
Hit rate
42% (5/12)
ROI
+35%
Geopolitics9 bets
Hit rate
44% (4/9)
ROI
-24%
Economy9 bets
Hit rate
22% (2/9)
ROI
-44%
Culture5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
+22%
Business2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+15%

Track record

39% hit · 126/325

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$32	58.9¢	Won
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	$60	12.0¢	Lost
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	$771	23.5¢	Lost
Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	No	$22	22.0¢	Lost
Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	Yes	$616	65.3¢	Won
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	$519	7.0¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	$9.1k	91.0¢	Won
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	$750	92.0¢	Won
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	$700	7.0¢	Lost
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$175	35.0¢	Lost
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	No	$696	87.0¢	Won
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$147	92.1¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$696	87.0¢	Won
Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?	No	$28	92.1¢	Won
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	$3	0.0¢	Lost
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	$650	65.0¢	Won
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	$3	0.0¢	Lost
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	$3	0.0¢	Lost
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	$2.4k	96.7¢	Won
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	$3	0.0¢	Lost
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	$3	0.0¢	Lost
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	$3	0.0¢	Lost
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	$43	37.7¢	Won
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	$3	0.0¢	Lost
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	$3	0.0¢	Lost
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	$3	0.0¢	Lost
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	$3	0.0¢	Lost
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	$3	0.0¢	Lost
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	$3	0.0¢	Lost
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	$32	76.0¢	Lost
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	$3	0.0¢	Lost
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	$3	0.0¢	Lost
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	$3	0.0¢	Lost
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	$3	0.0¢	Lost
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	$3	0.0¢	Lost
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	$3	0.0¢	Lost
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	$3	0.0¢	Lost
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	$3	0.0¢	Lost
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	$3	0.0¢	Lost
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	$966	96.6¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	$1.0k	73.0¢	Won
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	8.9¢	Lost
Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	No	$50	50.0¢	Won
Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	Yes	$51	2.3¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	$310	62.0¢	Won
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	$28	72.0¢	Won
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	7.0¢	Lost
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	$1.5k	86.0¢	Won
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	$529	17.6¢	Lost
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	$2.3k	82.4¢	Won

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
Yes$32 @ 58.9¢
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Lost
Yes$60 @ 12.0¢
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Lost
No$771 @ 23.5¢
Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?Lost
No$22 @ 22.0¢
Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?Won
Yes$616 @ 65.3¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Lost
No$519 @ 7.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
Yes$9.1k @ 91.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
No$750 @ 92.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Lost
Yes$700 @ 7.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Lost
Yes$175 @ 35.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Won
No$696 @ 87.0¢
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$147 @ 92.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$696 @ 87.0¢
Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Won
No$28 @ 92.1¢
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Won
No$650 @ 65.0¢
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.0¢
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.0¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Won
Yes$2.4k @ 96.7¢
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.0¢
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.0¢
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Won
No$43 @ 37.7¢
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.0¢
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.0¢
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.0¢
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.0¢
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.0¢
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.0¢
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Lost
No$32 @ 76.0¢
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.0¢
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.0¢
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.0¢
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.0¢
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.0¢
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.0¢
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.0¢
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.0¢
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.0¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Won
No$966 @ 96.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Won
No$1.0k @ 73.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 8.9¢
Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?Won
No$50 @ 50.0¢
Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?Lost
Yes$51 @ 2.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Won
No$310 @ 62.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Won
No$28 @ 72.0¢
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 7.0¢
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Won
No$1.5k @ 86.0¢
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Lost
Yes$529 @ 17.6¢
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Won
Yes$2.3k @ 82.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$21.0k	83.5¢
US recession by end of 2026?	Economy	No	$19.6k	89.8¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$18.6k	93.0¢
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$7.0k	86.2¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$4.4k	94.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	Yes	$3.6k	57.0¢
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	Culture	No	$2.6k	97.2¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.5k	73.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1.4k	28.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$1.1k	74.0¢
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$883	92.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Tech	Yes	$881	54.3¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	No	$801	61.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$696	87.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$696	87.0¢
Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	Crypto	Yes	$616	65.3¢
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$590	11.8¢
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Crypto	No	$579	18.0¢
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$484	1.5¢
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$420	14.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$417	9.2¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Tech	No	$376	74.9¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$373	74.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$348	29.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$315	67.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$300	1.5¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Tech	No	$299	59.5¢
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$290	29.0¢
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$279	93.0¢
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Politics	No	$225	75.0¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$21.0k @ 83.5¢
US recession by end of 2026?Economy
No$19.6k @ 89.8¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$18.6k @ 93.0¢
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$7.0k @ 86.2¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$4.4k @ 94.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
Yes$3.6k @ 57.0¢
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Culture
No$2.6k @ 97.2¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$1.5k @ 73.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$1.4k @ 28.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$1.1k @ 74.0¢
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$883 @ 92.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech
Yes$881 @ 54.3¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
No$801 @ 61.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$696 @ 87.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$696 @ 87.0¢
Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?Crypto
Yes$616 @ 65.3¢
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$590 @ 11.8¢
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto
No$579 @ 18.0¢
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$484 @ 1.5¢
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics
Yes$420 @ 14.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
Yes$417 @ 9.2¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech
No$376 @ 74.9¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$373 @ 74.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$348 @ 29.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$315 @ 67.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$300 @ 1.5¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech
No$299 @ 59.5¢
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$290 @ 29.0¢
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$279 @ 93.0¢
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
No$225 @ 75.0¢