0xd52b…5c72

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd52b8dcb4b812c4056faf41164a6f6c73f4c5c72
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.5pp

ROI

+64%

Win rate

27% @ 18.2¢

Brier

0.090

Resolved

1517

Avg size

$84

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	40% (21/52)	+52%	52
Other	48% (14/29)	+284%	29
Sports	47% (7/15)	-13%	15
Tech	23% (3/13)	-95%	13
Geopolitics	33% (2/6)	-76%	6
Economy	40% (2/5)	-31%	5
Crypto	40% (2/5)	+104%	5
Culture	50% (1/2)	+32%	2

Politics52 bets
Hit rate
40% (21/52)
ROI
+52%
Other29 bets
Hit rate
48% (14/29)
ROI
+284%
Sports15 bets
Hit rate
47% (7/15)
ROI
-13%
Tech13 bets
Hit rate
23% (3/13)
ROI
-95%
Geopolitics6 bets
Hit rate
33% (2/6)
ROI
-76%
Economy5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
-31%
Crypto5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
+104%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+32%

Track record

41% hit · 52/127

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	$11	1.6¢	Lost
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	Yes	$69	5.2¢	Won
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	$2.6k	72.7¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	No	$79	70.2¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$49	24.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2.0k	0.4¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1.7k	0.5¢	Lost
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	$72	24.0¢	Lost
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$1.2k	77.0¢	Won
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?	No	$65	64.0¢	Won
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	$40	15.0¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	$6	11.2¢	Lost
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?	Yes	$35	69.0¢	Won
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	No	$357	44.6¢	Lost
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	Yes	$989	21.3¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$34	61.8¢	Won
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?	Yes	$36	65.1¢	Won
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?	No	$32	57.9¢	Won
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	$3.0k	46.9¢	Lost
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	$315	5.7¢	Lost
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	$671	66.0¢	Won
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1000?	No	$5	1.4¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$24.6k	53.9¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$3.3k	23.8¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$15.4k	74.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$20	11.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$66.0k	52.1¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$700	35.0¢	Lost
Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in Fortnite?	Jynxzi	$61	14.6¢	Lost
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$540	22.4¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$233	19.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Mars" during Michigan remarks?	No	$5	88.0¢	Won
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?	Yes	$114	57.0¢	Won
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	No	$545	6.8¢	Lost
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	Yes	$897	77.6¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	No	$606	75.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	$110	3.1¢	Lost
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	No	$26	65.8¢	Won
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Michigan remarks?	Yes	$38	77.0¢	Lost
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?	No	$74	82.5¢	Lost
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?	Yes	$40	3.4¢	Won
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100?	No	$22	4.7¢	Lost
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	Yes	$295	65.1¢	Lost
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?	No	$8	27.1¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$609	75.8¢	Lost
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?	Yes	$7	2.5¢	Lost
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$1.0k	80.6¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$1.2k	29.0¢	Lost
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$352	18.4¢	Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$84	39.0¢	Won

Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?Lost
No$11 @ 1.6¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Won
Yes$69 @ 5.2¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Won
No$2.6k @ 72.7¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Won
No$79 @ 70.2¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$49 @ 24.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$2.0k @ 0.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$1.7k @ 0.5¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
No$72 @ 24.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 77.0¢
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Won
No$65 @ 64.0¢
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Lost
Yes$40 @ 15.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 11.2¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Won
Yes$35 @ 69.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Lost
No$357 @ 44.6¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Won
Yes$989 @ 21.3¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$34 @ 61.8¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Won
Yes$36 @ 65.1¢
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?Won
No$32 @ 57.9¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Lost
No$3.0k @ 46.9¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Lost
No$315 @ 5.7¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Won
Yes$671 @ 66.0¢
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1000?Lost
No$5 @ 1.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$24.6k @ 53.9¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
No$3.3k @ 23.8¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$15.4k @ 74.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$20 @ 11.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Won
No$66.0k @ 52.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$700 @ 35.0¢
Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in Fortnite?Lost
Jynxzi$61 @ 14.6¢
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Lost
Yes$540 @ 22.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$233 @ 19.1¢
Will Trump say "Mars" during Michigan remarks?Won
No$5 @ 88.0¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Won
Yes$114 @ 57.0¢
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Lost
No$545 @ 6.8¢
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Won
Yes$897 @ 77.6¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Won
No$606 @ 75.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Lost
Yes$110 @ 3.1¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Won
No$26 @ 65.8¢
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Michigan remarks?Lost
Yes$38 @ 77.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Lost
No$74 @ 82.5¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Won
Yes$40 @ 3.4¢
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100?Lost
No$22 @ 4.7¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Lost
Yes$295 @ 65.1¢
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Lost
No$8 @ 27.1¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$609 @ 75.8¢
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?Lost
Yes$7 @ 2.5¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
No$1.0k @ 80.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 29.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$352 @ 18.4¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
No$84 @ 39.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$35.0k	50.0¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	No	$35.0k	50.0¢
US recession by end of 2026?	Economy	No	$12.2k	89.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$8.3k	30.2¢
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	Culture	No	$4.4k	97.2¢
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Crypto	No	$3.4k	66.8¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$2.3k	97.6¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	Yes	$2.2k	60.2¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Tech	No	$1.9k	75.7¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$1.6k	79.4¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.5k	73.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1.5k	28.0¢
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Crypto	No	$771	23.5¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Tech	No	$746	61.8¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$580	29.0¢
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$580	29.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Tech	No	$493	26.4¢
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$492	2.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$417	9.2¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Tech	No	$376	74.9¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	Culture	Yes	$373	47.9¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$373	74.5¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Tech	No	$270	54.0¢
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?	Politics	No	$244	80.6¢
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Politics	No	$225	75.0¢
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?	Tech	No	$162	81.0¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Tech	No	$159	97.2¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$133	62.6¢
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$60	84.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	Tech	No	$45	90.1¢

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$35.0k @ 50.0¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
No$35.0k @ 50.0¢
US recession by end of 2026?Economy
No$12.2k @ 89.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$8.3k @ 30.2¢
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Culture
No$4.4k @ 97.2¢
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto
No$3.4k @ 66.8¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
No$2.3k @ 97.6¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
Yes$2.2k @ 60.2¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech
No$1.9k @ 75.7¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?Politics
No$1.6k @ 79.4¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$1.5k @ 73.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$1.5k @ 28.0¢
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto
No$771 @ 23.5¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech
No$746 @ 61.8¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$580 @ 29.0¢
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$580 @ 29.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech
No$493 @ 26.4¢
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$492 @ 2.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
Yes$417 @ 9.2¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech
No$376 @ 74.9¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?Culture
Yes$373 @ 47.9¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$373 @ 74.5¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech
No$270 @ 54.0¢
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics
No$244 @ 80.6¢
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
No$225 @ 75.0¢
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Tech
No$162 @ 81.0¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Tech
No$159 @ 97.2¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$133 @ 62.6¢
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$60 @ 84.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Tech
No$45 @ 90.1¢