← Smart money
0x35fa…2bd4
SharpEdge
+5.0pp
ROI
+6%
Win rate
22% @ 17.2¢
Brier
0.155
Resolved
6174
Avg size
$30
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 48% (133/279) | +7% | 279 |
| Sports | 38% (9/24) | +10% | 24 |
| Politics | 60% (3/5) | -28% | 5 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +32% | 1 |
- Other279 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (133/279)
- ROI
- +7%
- Sports24 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (9/24)
- ROI
- +10%
- Politics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (3/5)
- ROI
- -28%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +32%
Track record
47% hit · 146/311- Yes$129 @ 25.2¢
- No$1.8k @ 11.8¢
- Mariners$100 @ 58.0¢
- Mets$101 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$42 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$280 @ 2.9¢
- Colts$98 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 54.5¢
- Yankees$99 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$66 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$213 @ 70.3¢
- Yes$480 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 71.4¢
- Yes$420 @ 42.0¢
- Bruins$48 @ 48.0¢
- No$113 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$74 @ 74.4¢
- Mets vs. DodgersLostMets$100 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$44 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$985 @ 65.7¢
- Timberwolves$56 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$306 @ 51.0¢
- No$439 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$3.4k @ 4.4¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 19.3¢
- Yes$290 @ 9.7¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 50.9¢
- No$2.1k @ 18.9¢
- Mavericks$63 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$398 @ 24.9¢
- Yes$592 @ 59.2¢
- Yes$254 @ 63.6¢
- Senators$59 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$527 @ 8.5¢
- Yes$405 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$29 @ 15.1¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 34.8¢
- No$830 @ 11.9¢
- Cubs$100 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 16.3¢
- No$934 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$244 @ 12.2¢
- Bucks$51 @ 51.0¢
- Texas Rangers$115 @ 53.3¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 67.0¢
- Yes$178 @ 5.0¢
- Trail Blazers$86 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$94 @ 13.8¢
- Yes$442 @ 73.7¢
- Tampa Bay Rays$146 @ 57.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | Crypto | Yes | $1.5k | 21.4¢ |
| US recession by end of 2026? | Economy | Yes | $790 | 35.1¢ |
| Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | Culture | Yes | $690 | 23.0¢ |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Politics | No | $330 | 82.5¢ |
| Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? | Politics | No | $288 | 48.0¢ |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? | Crypto | Yes | $225 | 9.0¢ |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | Politics | No | $7 | 82.0¢ |
- Yes$1.5k @ 21.4¢
- US recession by end of 2026?EconomyYes$790 @ 35.1¢
- Yes$690 @ 23.0¢
- No$330 @ 82.5¢
- No$288 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$225 @ 9.0¢
- No$7 @ 82.0¢