0x709a…7e39

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics6 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (6/6)

  ROI

  +64%

• Other5 bets

  Hit rate

  60% (3/5)

  ROI

  -40%

• Geopolitics4 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (3/4)

  ROI

  -28%

• US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Won
  No$10 @ 86.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
  No$2.6k @ 86.0¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Won
  Yes$1.5k @ 25.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Won
  No$1.0k @ 89.0¢
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$6.8k @ 63.6¢
• Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Lost
  No$2.1k @ 89.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Won
  No$486 @ 86.8¢
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Lost
  No$3.2k @ 86.3¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
  No$1.6k @ 88.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Won
  No$2.0k @ 89.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Won
  Yes$2.0k @ 38.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Won
  No$2.2k @ 73.0¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Won
  No$2.5k @ 89.0¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Lost
  No$6.0k @ 85.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$2.2k @ 82.5¢

Current positions

• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture
  No$28.4k @ 98.1¢
• Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics
  No$22.1k @ 91.7¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$19.6k @ 92.7¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$10.7k @ 89.2¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
  No$10.1k @ 93.0¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
  No$10.0k @ 90.1¢
• Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$9.4k @ 94.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$8.3k @ 96.1¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$8.0k @ 96.5¢
• US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Politics
  No$6.5k @ 87.6¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$6.0k @ 94.3¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$5.4k @ 56.7¢
• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
  No$5.4k @ 95.4¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$5.1k @ 93.2¢
• Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$4.0k @ 90.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$3.1k @ 93.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$3.1k @ 92.7¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$3.0k @ 85.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$3.0k @ 87.0¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics
  No$2.9k @ 89.0¢
• US military draft authorized in 2026?Politics
  No$2.6k @ 89.6¢
• US x China Military clash before 2027?Politics
  No$2.6k @ 85.9¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$2.2k @ 93.7¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$2.1k @ 89.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$2.0k @ 85.8¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$1.7k @ 85.9¢
• Iran nuclear test before 2027?Politics
  No$1.6k @ 89.6¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics
  No$1.5k @ 83.0¢
• US recession by end of 2026?Economy
  No$1.5k @ 91.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$1000 @ 80.0¢