← Smart money
0x3a8a…7699
SharpEdge
+30.7pp
ROI
+39%
Win rate
99% @ 68.3¢
Brier
0.118
Resolved
97
Avg size
$445
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 67% (2/3) | +29% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +32% | 1 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +19% | 1 |
| Business | 100% (1/1) | +8% | 1 |
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +29%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +32%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +19%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +8%
Track record
83% hit · 5/6| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Yes | $706 | 70.0¢ | Won |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | $415 | 83.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Yes | $1.2k | 60.4¢ | Won |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | No | $2.5k | 84.0¢ | Won |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | No | $3.8k | 76.0¢ | Won |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in May? | No | $1.4k | 93.0¢ | Won |
- Yes$706 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$415 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 60.4¢
- No$2.5k @ 84.0¢
- No$3.8k @ 76.0¢
- No$1.4k @ 93.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$114.7k @ 72.9¢
- No$58.0k @ 96.7¢
- No$43.9k @ 97.6¢
- No$29.3k @ 88.7¢
- No$26.5k @ 63.0¢
- Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$26.2k @ 42.8¢
- No$26.1k @ 95.9¢
- No$25.2k @ 87.9¢
- Yes$23.5k @ 98.3¢
- No$19.9k @ 82.9¢
- No$19.0k @ 95.0¢
- No$15.6k @ 97.3¢
- No$13.9k @ 73.4¢
- Yes$13.6k @ 16.9¢
- Yes$13.0k @ 16.3¢
- No$12.6k @ 84.3¢
- Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?GeopoliticsNo$9.7k @ 97.3¢
- Yes$9.1k @ 11.3¢
- SpaceX$9.0k @ 89.7¢
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$7.5k @ 93.6¢
- Yes$7.1k @ 8.9¢
- Yes$6.8k @ 75.3¢
- Yes$6.7k @ 8.4¢
- Yes$6.4k @ 79.7¢
- Yes$6.4k @ 49.0¢
- No$6.1k @ 61.0¢
- No$6.0k @ 78.1¢
- No$5.9k @ 98.1¢
- No$5.8k @ 83.0¢
- No$5.7k @ 94.6¢