0x3a8a…7699

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics60 bets

  Hit rate

  72% (43/60)

  ROI

  -6%

• Tech26 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (26/26)

  ROI

  +13%

• Sports20 bets

  Hit rate

  45% (9/20)

  ROI

  -4%

• Economy14 bets

  Hit rate

  86% (12/14)

  ROI

  +32%

• Crypto11 bets

  Hit rate

  82% (9/11)

  ROI

  +26%

• Geopolitics10 bets

  Hit rate

  90% (9/10)

  ROI

  -19%

• Other7 bets

  Hit rate

  14% (1/7)

  ROI

  -99%

• Business3 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (3/3)

  ROI

  +9%

• NBA: SGA Award ParlayLost
  Yes$1.6k @ 45.0¢
• Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  Yes$3.7k @ 83.2¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Won
  Yes$4.6k @ 91.0¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Won
  No$2.1k @ 82.1¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Won
  Yes$1.5k @ 92.7¢
• Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$11.7k @ 69.0¢
• SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Won
  Yes$17.4k @ 91.5¢
• WIll Lamine Yamal play in the World Cup?Won
  Yes$33 @ 95.0¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Won
  Yes$1.0k @ 51.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Lost
  Yes$420 @ 7.0¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$5.4k @ 90.0¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Won
  Yes$281 @ 56.0¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Won
  No$9.9k @ 99.0¢
• Will a candidate win the 2026 Colombian presidential election in the first round?Won
  No$258 @ 86.0¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Won
  No$4.9k @ 98.6¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$13.3k @ 89.0¢
• US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Lost
  Yes$37 @ 37.0¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseLost
  Yes$1.5k @ 30.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
  Yes$4.7k @ 93.0¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
  No$4.6k @ 92.0¢
• Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Won
  Yes$10.6k @ 39.4¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
  Yes$462 @ 0.5¢
• Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Lost
  No$5.0k @ 10.0¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
  No$466.7k @ 15.9¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Won
  No$102.6k @ 39.0¢
• Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Won
  No$5.4k @ 54.2¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1.0k @ 7.0¢
• Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?Won
  No$5.2k @ 74.8¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$170 @ 89.3¢
• Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Won
  No$2.5k @ 84.0¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Lost
  Yes$37.9k @ 47.0¢
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Won
  No$5 @ 88.0¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Lost
  No$4.3k @ 18.9¢
• Will Trump endorse Augusto Cury for President of Brazil?Won
  No$182 @ 99.1¢
• Will Trump endorse Romeu Zema for President of Brazil?Won
  No$99 @ 99.0¢
• Will Trump endorse Lula da Silva for President of Brazil?Won
  No$137 @ 98.8¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  No$1.1k @ 22.3¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  Yes$346.0k @ 60.2¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Won
  Yes$488 @ 76.3¢
• Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Won
  Yes$706 @ 70.0¢
• Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Lost
  Yes$415 @ 83.0¢
• Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Won
  Yes$1.2k @ 60.4¢
• Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  No$860 @ 86.0¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$412 @ 74.0¢
• Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  Yes$1.8k @ 42.6¢
• Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$88 @ 44.0¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
  No$3.7k @ 74.7¢
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Won
  No$669 @ 89.0¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Won
  No$9.0k @ 90.2¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$2.3k @ 15.5¢

Current positions

• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
  Yes$519.4k @ 80.7¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Tech
  No$162.7k @ 90.5¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$162.7k @ 75.4¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech
  Yes$80.8k @ 70.2¢
• Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy
  Yes$69.5k @ 80.4¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech
  No$68.5k @ 82.2¢
• Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
  Yes$57.8k @ 85.0¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech
  Yes$45.6k @ 80.0¢
• Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Economy
  No$42.5k @ 85.0¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech
  Yes$38.0k @ 69.2¢
• Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy
  No$34.7k @ 78.0¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics
  No$29.3k @ 88.7¢
• Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$25.2k @ 87.9¢
• Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
  No$24.7k @ 87.0¢
• Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy
  No$22.8k @ 84.9¢
• Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech
  No$22.6k @ 95.8¢
• Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Economy
  No$19.9k @ 82.9¢
• Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Economy
  No$17.9k @ 86.3¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Business
  Yes$17.7k @ 88.5¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech
  No$14.8k @ 87.4¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Tech
  No$14.5k @ 94.0¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Business
  Yes$9.9k @ 83.2¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Tech
  No$9.7k @ 92.5¢
• Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?Economy
  No$8.6k @ 95.9¢
• Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics
  Yes$8.1k @ 47.9¢
• Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Economy
  No$7.6k @ 94.8¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$7.5k @ 93.6¢
• Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Tech
  Anthropic$6.2k @ 90.2¢
• Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?Economy
  No$5.7k @ 75.6¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$4.6k @ 91.6¢