0x55a0…b876

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other171 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (115/171)

  ROI

  +24%

• Politics28 bets

  Hit rate

  93% (26/28)

  ROI

  +33%

• Geopolitics9 bets

  Hit rate

  89% (8/9)

  ROI

  +17%

• Economy2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +39%

• Tech1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Science1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +43%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Won
  No$47 @ 88.2¢
• Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?Lost
  No$10 @ 78.0¢
• Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 46.0¢
• Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?Lost
  No$232 @ 58.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
  No$2.3k @ 80.5¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$12 @ 70.0¢
• Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?Won
  No$8 @ 79.0¢
• Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Won
  No$20 @ 80.5¢
• US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Lost
  No$10 @ 71.0¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$37 @ 36.5¢
• Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?Won
  Yes$17 @ 71.2¢
• Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$36 @ 80.7¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Won
  No$16 @ 62.0¢
• Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?Won
  Yes$8 @ 48.0¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$21 @ 87.1¢
• Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28, 2026?Won
  No$12 @ 83.0¢
• Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$25 @ 81.4¢
• Kurds declare independence from Iran?Won
  No$24 @ 70.0¢
• US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Won
  No$7 @ 72.0¢
• Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 41.0¢
• Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?Lost
  No$8 @ 42.0¢
• Iran coup attempt by June 30?Won
  No$70 @ 74.6¢
• Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?Won
  No$11 @ 77.0¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 25.1¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$350 @ 87.5¢
• Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?Won
  No$25 @ 80.0¢
• Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?Won
  No$10 @ 82.0¢
• Will Expedia Group (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings?Won
  Yes$48 @ 84.8¢
• France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Won
  No$11 @ 76.0¢
• Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Lost
  No$12 @ 39.0¢
• Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?Won
  No$13 @ 89.9¢
• Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?Won
  No$6 @ 83.0¢
• Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$90 @ 70.4¢
• Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?Won
  No$294 @ 84.0¢
• Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$9 @ 69.0¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Won
  No$25 @ 86.4¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 24.0¢
• Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?Won
  Yes$11 @ 86.0¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Lost
  No$111 @ 74.0¢
• Will Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Won
  No$8 @ 82.0¢
• Iran leadership change by May 31?Won
  No$7 @ 69.0¢
• Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Won
  Yes$6 @ 74.0¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$130 @ 76.5¢
• Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?Lost
  No$31 @ 83.5¢
• Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?Lost
  No$6.8k @ 67.7¢
• Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?Lost
  Yes$14 @ 54.0¢
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
  No$48 @ 82.4¢
• Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Lost
  No$23 @ 85.0¢
• Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)Lost
  Team Falcons$34 @ 67.0¢
• Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?Lost
  No$31 @ 73.8¢

Current positions

• US recession by end of 2026?Economy
  No$271 @ 89.3¢
• Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 65.0¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
  No$2 @ 85.0¢