0x323d…781c

Specialization by sphere

• Other69 bets

  Hit rate

  74% (51/69)

  ROI

  +8%

• Politics19 bets

  Hit rate

  84% (16/19)

  ROI

  +14%

• Sports9 bets

  Hit rate

  11% (1/9)

  ROI

  -2%

• Crypto6 bets

  Hit rate

  83% (5/6)

  ROI

  +14%

• Tech4 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (4/4)

  ROI

  +48%

• Economy4 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (4/4)

  ROI

  +32%

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?Won
  Yes$20 @ 98.8¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 5, 2026?Won
  No$5 @ 97.8¢
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?Won
  Yes$6 @ 99.1¢
• Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  No$36 @ 99.9¢
• Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?Won
  No$4 @ 88.6¢
• Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 22–August 29?Lost
  No$9 @ 89.0¢
• Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?Won
  No$5 @ 89.0¢
• Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?Won
  No$3 @ 60.0¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 8.8¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$8 @ 81.0¢
• Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?Won
  No$9 @ 89.0¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in September?Won
  Yes$5 @ 48.0¢
• Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 5.2¢
• Will Ethereum reach $4900 August 18–24?Lost
  No$23 @ 58.1¢
• Will Ethereum reach $4600 in October?Lost
  No$0 @ 0.4¢
• Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Won
  No$23 @ 78.1¢
• Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?Won
  No$20 @ 81.0¢
• Will ETH hit $3,000 in January?Won
  No$1 @ 81.0¢
• Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Won
  No$1 @ 88.0¢
• ChatGPT Outage by April 17?Lost
  No$3 @ 61.0¢
• Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?Won
  No$35 @ 84.7¢
• Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 8.5¢
• Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 11.1¢
• Will Solana reach $300 in September?Won
  No$6 @ 76.5¢
• Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$4 @ 70.0¢
• Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$18 @ 89.0¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?Won
  No$9 @ 87.6¢
• Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?Won
  No$523 @ 85.0¢
• Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Won
  No$10 @ 66.6¢
• Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 10.1¢
• Will Elon Musk post 80+ tweets on September 7, 2025?Won
  No$7 @ 72.0¢
• Will Ethereum reach $5000 August 18–24?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 61.9¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
  No$116 @ 87.2¢
• Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 7.6¢
• Was Kanye hacked?Lost
  Yes$24 @ 0.9¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?Won
  No$5 @ 86.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on April 15?Won
  Yes$9 @ 87.0¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Lost
  No$4 @ 71.0¢
• Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?Won
  No$79 @ 87.8¢
• Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during September press conference?Won
  No$17 @ 69.4¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$13 @ 84.5¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Won
  No$264 @ 85.1¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?Lost
  No$15 @ 76.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$14 @ 70.0¢
• Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$36 @ 89.0¢
• Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Lost
  Yes$142 @ 1.5¢
• Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 54.0¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?Won
  No$65 @ 80.7¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$3 @ 57.0¢
• No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Won
  No$22 @ 86.0¢

Current positions

• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto
  No$436 @ 96.7¢
• Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tech
  No$320 @ 96.9¢
• Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$241 @ 96.3¢
• Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$221 @ 96.1¢
• Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$215 @ 93.3¢
• Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$209 @ 98.3¢
• Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$207 @ 96.9¢
• Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$198 @ 99.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$198 @ 98.9¢
• Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?Crypto
  No$195 @ 92.9¢
• Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$191 @ 95.5¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics
  No$156 @ 97.5¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$146 @ 97.2¢
• Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?Politics
  No$142 @ 97.6¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$138 @ 98.7¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$137 @ 97.8¢
• Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$136 @ 96.8¢
• Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Crypto
  No$125 @ 94.5¢
• 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?Tech
  No$108 @ 98.6¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$107 @ 84.9¢
• Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$99 @ 98.8¢
• Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$99 @ 98.8¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$99 @ 98.8¢
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture
  No$99 @ 98.7¢
• AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech
  No$93 @ 93.0¢
• Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$90 @ 90.0¢
• Human moon landing in 2026?Tech
  No$89 @ 98.9¢
• Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Politics
  No$85 @ 97.6¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?Crypto
  No$75 @ 99.6¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$72 @ 90.0¢