← Smart money
0x07d4…8991
SharpEdge
+6.4pp
ROI
+1068%
Win rate
7% @ 0.4¢
Brier
0.066
Resolved
7382
Avg size
$0
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 5% (1/19) | -21% | 19 |
| Geopolitics | 6% (1/18) | +2324% | 18 |
| Tech | 9% (1/11) | -20% | 11 |
| Politics | 0% (0/4) | -100% | 4 |
| Economy | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
- Other19 bets
- Hit rate
- 5% (1/19)
- ROI
- -21%
- Geopolitics18 bets
- Hit rate
- 6% (1/18)
- ROI
- +2324%
- Tech11 bets
- Hit rate
- 9% (1/11)
- ROI
- -20%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/4)
- ROI
- -100%
- Economy3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
5% hit · 3/55- Yes$38 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$13 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$16 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$53 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$32 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$150 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$58 @ 0.2¢
- No$20 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$71 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$11 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$67 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$11 @ 0.2¢
- No$24 @ 4.8¢
- Yes$63 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$37 @ 0.4¢
- No$45 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$47 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$114 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$45 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$27 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$40 @ 0.1¢
- No$10 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$21 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$50 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$22 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$105 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$17 @ 0.2¢
- No$20 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$170 @ 56.7¢
- Yes$59 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$26 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$59 @ 0.2¢
- No$69 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$68 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$35 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
- No$100 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$221 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$45 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$78 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$58 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$27 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$23 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- US recession by end of 2026?EconomyYes$1.3k @ 13.7¢
- Yes$904 @ 0.6¢
- ECB rate cut in 2026?EconomyYes$798 @ 15.2¢
- Yes$718 @ 18.4¢
- No$702 @ 18.5¢
- Yes$576 @ 3.2¢
- Yes$546 @ 10.2¢
- Yes$538 @ 22.9¢
- Yes$532 @ 47.9¢
- Yes$517 @ 5.8¢
- Yes$488 @ 4.8¢
- Yes$461 @ 41.9¢
- No$460 @ 41.8¢
- Yes$353 @ 10.1¢
- Yes$314 @ 9.2¢
- Yes$287 @ 7.6¢
- Yes$229 @ 16.4¢
- Yes$207 @ 11.7¢
- No$205 @ 4.3¢
- Yes$205 @ 6.5¢
- Yes$196 @ 14.7¢
- Yes$189 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$181 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$163 @ 25.1¢
- Yes$158 @ 11.3¢
- Yes$144 @ 48.0¢
- No$143 @ 47.7¢
- Yes$135 @ 17.7¢
- Yes$108 @ 15.4¢
- US recession by end of 2027?EconomyYes$108 @ 36.0¢