0x29a5…7752

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics13 bets

  Hit rate

  69% (9/13)

  ROI

  +31%

• Other2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +25%

• Economy2 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/2)

  ROI

  -100%

• Crypto2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +13%

• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$6 @ 75.0¢
• Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Won
  No$12 @ 62.7¢
• Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 35.6¢
• Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Won
  Yes$52 @ 68.0¢
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Won
  No$76 @ 67.6¢
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Lost
  Yes$28 @ 26.7¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Won
  Yes$41 @ 67.4¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Lost
  No$59 @ 60.6¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Won
  Yes$63 @ 41.0¢
• Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Won
  Yes$87 @ 63.0¢
• Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Lost
  No$4 @ 35.2¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?Won
  Yes$4 @ 79.0¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
  No$556 @ 36.0¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$994 @ 69.0¢
• Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 27.8¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Won
  No$385 @ 38.0¢
• Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Lost
  No$191 @ 89.0¢
• Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Won
  Yes$34 @ 9.0¢
• Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 22.0¢

Current positions

• Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Tech
  No$692 @ 81.6¢
• Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy
  No$429 @ 96.9¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$384 @ 84.4¢
• US recession by end of 2026?Economy
  No$334 @ 83.0¢
• Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Crypto
  Yes$187 @ 83.2¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$131 @ 35.4¢
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
  Yes$128 @ 23.6¢
• Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Economy
  No$117 @ 92.9¢
• Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?Politics
  No$115 @ 97.0¢
• 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Science
  No$101 @ 94.9¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
  No$76 @ 48.0¢
• Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$60 @ 92.9¢
• Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics
  Yes$37 @ 46.4¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$32 @ 82.6¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech
  No$24 @ 72.7¢
• Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?Politics
  No$15 @ 96.9¢
• Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Crypto
  No$14 @ 18.0¢
• Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto
  No$11 @ 20.6¢
• Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Politics
  No$10 @ 91.2¢
• Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?Politics
  No$10 @ 78.7¢
• Plague pandemic in 2026?Science
  No$10 @ 96.0¢
• Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Tech
  No$9 @ 33.0¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
  Yes$8 @ 82.0¢
• US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Politics
  No$7 @ 73.0¢
• Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?Politics
  No$5 @ 85.0¢
• Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting?Economy
  No$4 @ 85.0¢
• Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto
  Yes$4 @ 76.0¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$4 @ 96.0¢
• Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics
  No$3 @ 55.0¢
• Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Tech
  No$2 @ 70.0¢