0xba50…9f97

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xba500b2a931cea9c6a42a1e235bd8849b5a19f97
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.3pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

50% @ 38.7¢

Brier

0.180

Resolved

164

Avg size

$294

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	31% (17/54)	+21%	54
Sports	33% (3/9)	+98%	9
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+355%	1

Other54 bets
Hit rate
31% (17/54)
ROI
+21%
Sports9 bets
Hit rate
33% (3/9)
ROI
+98%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+355%

Track record

32% hit · 21/65

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$51	1.7¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	$1.1k	9.9¢	Lost
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$100	4.7¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	No	$100	34.3¢	Lost
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	$100	37.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?	Yes	$500	14.0¢	Lost
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?	Yes	$10	0.8¢	Lost
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?	Yes	$100	27.3¢	Won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$100	54.0¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$100	22.0¢	Lost
Pistons vs. Thunder	Pistons	$1000	12.7¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$100	26.0¢	Won
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?	Yes	$17	4.0¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?	Yes	$100	5.7¢	Lost
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?	Yes	$100	21.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	Yes	$1.2k	11.2¢	Lost
Celtics vs. Hawks	Celtics	$1000	47.0¢	Lost
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?	No	$100	41.0¢	Lost
Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?	Yes	$100	0.7¢	Lost
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Yan	$3.0k	23.0¢	Won
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	$100	65.0¢	Lost
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$100	8.0¢	Won
Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?	Yes	$100	0.3¢	Lost
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?	Yes	$100	12.8¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	Yes	$2.5k	22.6¢	Won
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$100	3.8¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$102	59.1¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	$1.5k	30.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	Yes	$7.5k	54.4¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$100	22.0¢	Won
Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?	Yes	$10	0.4¢	Lost
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?	Yes	$100	76.3¢	Won
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	$112	12.4¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	Yes	$500	9.9¢	Lost
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance	Japan	$102	27.0¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	$3.0k	20.0¢	Lost
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?	No	$100	57.2¢	Lost
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?	Yes	$233	8.2¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?	No	$1.6k	38.6¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	$1.8k	56.1¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	$6.6k	56.8¢	Won
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	$78	5.3¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	$100	45.0¢	Won
Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?	Yes	$10	0.6¢	Lost
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	No	$100	70.0¢	Won
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?	Yes	$200	24.5¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	No	$2.2k	23.7¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	Yes	$4.1k	72.0¢	Won
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)	Conor McGregor	$103	31.0¢	Lost
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?	No	$100	72.0¢	Won

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$51 @ 1.7¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Lost
No$1.1k @ 9.9¢
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$100 @ 4.7¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Lost
No$100 @ 34.3¢
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?Won
No$100 @ 37.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Lost
Yes$500 @ 14.0¢
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.8¢
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Won
Yes$100 @ 27.3¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
No$100 @ 54.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 22.0¢
Pistons vs. ThunderLost
Pistons$1000 @ 12.7¢
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$100 @ 26.0¢
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?Lost
Yes$17 @ 4.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?Lost
Yes$100 @ 5.7¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Won
Yes$100 @ 21.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 11.2¢
Celtics vs. HawksLost
Celtics$1000 @ 47.0¢
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?Lost
No$100 @ 41.0¢
Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?Lost
Yes$100 @ 0.7¢
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)Won
Yan$3.0k @ 23.0¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Lost
No$100 @ 65.0¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
Yes$100 @ 8.0¢
Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?Lost
Yes$100 @ 0.3¢
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Lost
Yes$100 @ 12.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Won
Yes$2.5k @ 22.6¢
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$100 @ 3.8¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$102 @ 59.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 30.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Lost
Yes$7.5k @ 54.4¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$100 @ 22.0¢
Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.4¢
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?Won
Yes$100 @ 76.3¢
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Lost
No$112 @ 12.4¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Lost
Yes$500 @ 9.9¢
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceLost
Japan$102 @ 27.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Lost
Yes$3.0k @ 20.0¢
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?Lost
No$100 @ 57.2¢
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?Won
Yes$233 @ 8.2¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?Lost
No$1.6k @ 38.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Lost
No$1.8k @ 56.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Won
Yes$6.6k @ 56.8¢
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Lost
No$78 @ 5.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Won
Yes$100 @ 45.0¢
Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.6¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Won
No$100 @ 70.0¢
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?Lost
Yes$200 @ 24.5¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Lost
No$2.2k @ 23.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Won
Yes$4.1k @ 72.0¢
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Lost
Conor McGregor$103 @ 31.0¢
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?Won
No$100 @ 72.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Politics	No	$200	88.9¢
US recession by end of 2026?	Economy	Yes	$101	28.0¢
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Geopolitics	Yes	$100	16.0¢
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$100	58.4¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$100	70.0¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	No	$100	59.0¢
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	No	$100	52.0¢
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$100	45.9¢
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$100	46.0¢

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics
No$200 @ 88.9¢
US recession by end of 2026?Economy
Yes$101 @ 28.0¢
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
Yes$100 @ 16.0¢
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
No$100 @ 58.4¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$100 @ 70.0¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
No$100 @ 59.0¢
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
No$100 @ 52.0¢
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
No$100 @ 45.9¢
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
No$100 @ 46.0¢