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PoliticsActiveends Oct 26, 2026

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

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Yes

0.2¢

No

99.8¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades
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Smart money here · 21 tracked sharps

Contested
No 54%Yes 46%
21 shown ·
Yes$1.3k @ 15.3¢
Conv
9.1×
ROI
+27%
Win%
32%
No$948 @ 90.3¢
Conv
14×
ROI
+10%
Win%
33%
No$934 @ 82.4¢
Conv
15×
ROI
+35%
Win%
42%
0x9f83…6cd9Profitable
No$836 @ 93.9¢
Conv
7.9×
ROI
+3%
Win%
56%
Yes$460 @ 0.5¢
Conv
1.1×
ROI
+22%
Win%
58%
No$326 @ 96.1¢
Conv
24×
ROI
+22%
Win%
42%
Yes$147 @ 1.4¢
Conv
0.9×
ROI
+30%
Win%
29%
Yes$130 @ 1.3¢
Conv
0.3×
ROI
+35%
Win%
100%
Yes$90 @ 7.7¢
Conv
0.6×
ROI
+15%
Win%
58%
Yes$85 @ 8.5¢
Conv
0.8×
ROI
+47%
Win%
38%
Yes$56 @ 1.9¢
Conv
0.1×
ROI
+46%
Win%
63%
Yes$50 @ 0.5¢
Conv
0.3×
ROI
+9%
Win%
43%
0x0130…fb49Profitable
Yes$40 @ 11.1¢
Conv
0.7×
ROI
+20%
Win%
60%
Yes$36 @ 0.4¢
Conv
0.2×
ROI
+9%
Win%
28%
Yes$27 @ 0.4¢
Conv
6.1×
ROI
+122%
Win%
6%
0xc518…2594Profitable
Yes$21 @ 10.7¢
Conv
1.4×
ROI
+3%
Win%
51%
Yes$17 @ 5.0¢
Conv
0.1×
ROI
+34%
Win%
65%
Yes$14 @ 0.7¢
Conv
0.1×
ROI
+30%
Win%
67%
Yes$11 @ 11.1¢
Conv
0.2×
ROI
+7%
Win%
42%
Yes$11 @ 0.8¢
Conv
0.3×
ROI
+35%
Win%
45%
Yes$10 @ 0.8¢
Conv
0.3×
ROI
+13%
Win%
34%