0x60cc…f23f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x60ccc2ea4a54b191b6114fa769c03359bb1af23f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.2pp

ROI

+122%

Win rate

6% @ 2.4¢

Brier

0.050

Resolved

9627

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	12% (25/215)	+180%	215
Politics	28% (9/32)	-47%	32
Sports	50% (1/2)	-33%	2

Other215 bets
Hit rate
12% (25/215)
ROI
+180%
Politics32 bets
Hit rate
28% (9/32)
ROI
-47%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-33%

Track record

14% hit · 35/249

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will SPOLU get more than 26% of the vote in the Czech election?	Yes	$23	1.3¢	Lost
Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?	No	$60	6.0¢	Lost
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be less than 62%?	Yes	$66	0.3¢	Lost
Will the Democrats (D) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	Yes	$27	3.0¢	Lost
Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?	No	$386	74.0¢	Won
Will Nepali Communist Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	Yes	$68	0.3¢	Lost
Will Alfonso López Chau win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	$105	0.7¢	Lost
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?	Yes	$9	0.4¢	Lost
Will António José Seguro win the first round?	Yes	$0	2.5¢	Won
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	$66	21.4¢	Lost
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?	Yes	$275	11.0¢	Lost
Will Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	$20	0.2¢	Lost
Will Quiroga win by 20% or more?	Yes	$23	1.2¢	Lost
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$800	80.0¢	Won
Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	No	$150	0.3¢	Lost
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?	No	$100	76.0¢	Won
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	$108	1.1¢	Lost
Will Johannes Kaiser win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?	Yes	$205	0.6¢	Lost
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?	Yes	$53	6.4¢	Lost
Will Sean Spiller win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?	Yes	$11	0.5¢	Lost
Will Marco Rubio be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	$2	0.8¢	Lost
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the first round by at least 6%?	No	$112	2.8¢	Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	$190	1.9¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$53	5.3¢	Lost
Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?	Yes	$65	1.2¢	Lost
Will Vox (VOX) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?	Yes	$2	0.4¢	Lost
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	$125	0.4¢	Won
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	No	$630	63.0¢	Lost
Will Starostové get more than 16% of the vote in the Czech election?	Yes	$9	1.6¢	Lost
Will Wolfgang Grozo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will Juan Carlos Hidalgo Bogantes win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?	Yes	$41	0.2¢	Lost
Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	$0	3.5¢	Lost
Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?	No	$100	6.7¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani finish third in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	$0	1.1¢	Lost
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?	No	$402	51.5¢	Lost
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?	No	$176	88.0¢	Won
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 64-66%?	Yes	$193	1.5¢	Lost
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?	Yes	$207	15.5¢	Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?	No	$101	26.0¢	Lost
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	$632	4.7¢	Lost
Will Franco Parisi win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?	Yes	$216	0.5¢	Lost
Will Přísaha get between 5% and 7% of the vote in the Czech election?	Yes	$21	1.5¢	Lost
Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	$90	0.4¢	Lost
Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 22% and 24% of votes in the first round?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will valid votes be between 30 million and 32 million in South Korean election?	Yes	$21	1.2¢	Lost
Will António José Seguro win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	$48	0.4¢	Lost
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	$120	6.0¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani get more than 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost

Will SPOLU get more than 26% of the vote in the Czech election?Lost
Yes$23 @ 1.3¢
Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?Lost
No$60 @ 6.0¢
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be less than 62%?Lost
Yes$66 @ 0.3¢
Will the Democrats (D) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$27 @ 3.0¢
Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Won
No$386 @ 74.0¢
Will Nepali Communist Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?Lost
Yes$68 @ 0.3¢
Will Alfonso López Chau win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$105 @ 0.7¢
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?Lost
Yes$9 @ 0.4¢
Will António José Seguro win the first round?Won
Yes$0 @ 2.5¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Lost
Yes$66 @ 21.4¢
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Lost
Yes$275 @ 11.0¢
Will Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election?Lost
Yes$20 @ 0.2¢
Will Quiroga win by 20% or more?Lost
Yes$23 @ 1.2¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
No$800 @ 80.0¢
Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Lost
No$150 @ 0.3¢
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?Won
No$100 @ 76.0¢
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Lost
No$108 @ 1.1¢
Will Johannes Kaiser win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Lost
Yes$205 @ 0.6¢
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?Lost
Yes$53 @ 6.4¢
Will Sean Spiller win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?Lost
Yes$11 @ 0.5¢
Will Marco Rubio be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the first round by at least 6%?Lost
No$112 @ 2.8¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Lost
No$190 @ 1.9¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$53 @ 5.3¢
Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?Lost
Yes$65 @ 1.2¢
Will Vox (VOX) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Won
Yes$125 @ 0.4¢
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Lost
No$630 @ 63.0¢
Will Starostové get more than 16% of the vote in the Czech election?Lost
Yes$9 @ 1.6¢
Will Wolfgang Grozo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will Juan Carlos Hidalgo Bogantes win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?Lost
Yes$41 @ 0.2¢
Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.5¢
Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?Lost
No$100 @ 6.7¢
Will Zohran Mamdani finish third in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?Lost
No$402 @ 51.5¢
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?Won
No$176 @ 88.0¢
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 64-66%?Lost
Yes$193 @ 1.5¢
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?Lost
Yes$207 @ 15.5¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?Lost
No$101 @ 26.0¢
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Lost
Yes$632 @ 4.7¢
Will Franco Parisi win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Lost
Yes$216 @ 0.5¢
Will Přísaha get between 5% and 7% of the vote in the Czech election?Lost
Yes$21 @ 1.5¢
Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Lost
Yes$90 @ 0.4¢
Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 22% and 24% of votes in the first round?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will valid votes be between 30 million and 32 million in South Korean election?Lost
Yes$21 @ 1.2¢
Will António José Seguro win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Lost
Yes$48 @ 0.4¢
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Lost
Yes$120 @ 6.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani get more than 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	Politics	No	$966	96.6¢
Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$930	93.0¢
Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?	Politics	Yes	$700	70.0¢
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$388	86.8¢
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$210	2.1¢
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$169	1.7¢
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$82	0.9¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$81	1.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%?	Politics	Yes	$70	15.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Politics	Yes	$27	0.4¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Politics	Yes	$13	20.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Politics	Yes	$10	1.3¢
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	0.3¢
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2	2.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.2¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.2¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–10%?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.1¢

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Politics
No$966 @ 96.6¢
Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$930 @ 93.0¢
Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?Politics
Yes$700 @ 70.0¢
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$388 @ 86.8¢
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$210 @ 2.1¢
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$169 @ 1.7¢
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$82 @ 0.9¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$81 @ 1.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%?Politics
Yes$70 @ 15.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Politics
Yes$27 @ 0.4¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?Politics
Yes$13 @ 20.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?Politics
Yes$10 @ 1.3¢
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 0.3¢
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–10%?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢