0x8190…b247

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other98 bets

  Hit rate

  77% (75/98)

  ROI

  -1%

• Politics89 bets

  Hit rate

  82% (73/89)

  ROI

  +15%

• Geopolitics16 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (12/16)

  ROI

  +4%

• Sports7 bets

  Hit rate

  71% (5/7)

  ROI

  -13%

• Crypto2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +43%

• Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$256 @ 75.9¢
• Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$0 @ 88.0¢
• Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
  Yes$7 @ 67.0¢
• Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$89 @ 89.2¢
• Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Won
  No$254 @ 85.4¢
• Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLost
  Switzerland$25 @ 24.8¢
• Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$3.6k @ 85.8¢
• Will France strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$288 @ 82.4¢
• Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Won
  No$1.4k @ 76.1¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$651 @ 86.6¢
• Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
  No$161 @ 80.5¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Won
  No$4.5k @ 82.6¢
• Will Abelardo de la Espriella win at least 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?Won
  No$274 @ 74.5¢
• Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?Won
  No$76 @ 76.0¢
• Kurds declare independence from Iran?Won
  No$329 @ 82.2¢
• US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$14 @ 87.5¢
• Iran coup attempt by June 30?Won
  No$47 @ 42.9¢
• Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Lost
  Yes$147 @ 72.6¢
• Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionLost
  Yes$151 @ 84.1¢
• 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?Won
  No$152 @ 85.1¢
• Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?Lost
  Yes$9 @ 85.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$8 @ 81.7¢
• Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?Won
  Yes$616 @ 88.0¢
• Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
  Yes$6 @ 64.0¢
• France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Won
  No$3.1k @ 77.1¢
• Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Lost
  Yes$102 @ 2.5¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Won
  Yes$300 @ 81.1¢
• Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Won
  Yes$7 @ 68.0¢
• Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Won
  No$3.1k @ 75.2¢
• Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
• Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?Won
  Yes$172 @ 86.0¢
• Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Won
  Yes$15 @ 72.0¢
• Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Lost
  No$7 @ 37.0¢
• Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 1.4¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$142 @ 74.6¢
• US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Won
  No$108 @ 54.0¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 14?Won
  No$153 @ 76.3¢
• Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?Won
  Yes$7 @ 65.0¢
• Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$65 @ 87.5¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
  No$320 @ 80.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
  Yes$179 @ 59.6¢
• Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Won
  Yes$156 @ 85.6¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Won
  No$4 @ 76.0¢
• Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Lost
  No$700 @ 87.5¢
• Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Won
  Yes$2.3k @ 87.9¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?Won
  No$5 @ 87.2¢
• Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
  No$5 @ 38.0¢
• Will the Democrats (D) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Won
  No$223 @ 88.5¢
• Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Lost
  Yes$143 @ 65.5¢
• Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?Won
  No$6 @ 55.0¢

Current positions

• Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics
  No$42.5k @ 89.9¢
• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$20.2k @ 94.4¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$11.4k @ 86.6¢
• Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
  No$7.6k @ 87.1¢
• Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Politics
  No$7.1k @ 87.5¢
• Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  Yes$6.9k @ 91.3¢
• Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Politics
  Yes$6.3k @ 94.8¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$6.1k @ 87.1¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$4.6k @ 84.0¢
• Yoon out of custody before 2027?Politics
  No$3.8k @ 91.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$2.5k @ 82.5¢
• Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Politics
  No$2.2k @ 91.2¢
• Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$2.1k @ 80.4¢
• Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Politics
  Yes$2.1k @ 94.4¢
• Modi out by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.7k @ 91.0¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$1.7k @ 60.4¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  No$1.7k @ 88.8¢
• Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.2k @ 84.9¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics
  Yes$1.2k @ 96.2¢
• Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Politics
  No$827 @ 91.2¢
• Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics
  No$809 @ 80.9¢
• Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics
  No$770 @ 92.2¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$685 @ 23.9¢
• Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics
  No$522 @ 79.3¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics
  Yes$482 @ 85.4¢
• Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$375 @ 75.0¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$361 @ 6.6¢
• Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$292 @ 86.0¢
• Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$291 @ 97.1¢
• Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? Politics
  No$285 @ 80.4¢