← Smart money
0x772d…45bb
SharpEdge
+11.2pp
ROI
+10%
Win rate
33% @ 21.7¢
Brier
0.150
Resolved
2950
Avg size
$68
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 24% (23/97) | +12% | 97 |
| Sports | 21% (3/14) | +20% | 14 |
| Politics | 43% (6/14) | +7% | 14 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (2/2) | +70% | 2 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Other97 bets
- Hit rate
- 24% (23/97)
- ROI
- +12%
- Sports14 bets
- Hit rate
- 21% (3/14)
- ROI
- +20%
- Politics14 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (6/14)
- ROI
- +7%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +70%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
26% hit · 34/129- No$2.8k @ 86.5¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 90.8¢
- Spirit$88 @ 1.3¢
- No$74 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 30.3¢
- No$7.5k @ 58.0¢
- Yes$393 @ 40.1¢
- BC.Game Esports$13 @ 3.2¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 49.0¢
- TheMongolz$26 @ 3.4¢
- Spirit$38 @ 3.0¢
- NRG$1 @ 1.3¢
- PARIVISION$16 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$2.9k @ 2.9¢
- PARIVISION$3 @ 1.0¢
- BetBoom Team$40 @ 9.9¢
- Vitality$95 @ 8.5¢
- France$7.0k @ 33.1¢
- Morocco$92 @ 46.3¢
- FURIA$1.9k @ 12.2¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 0.9¢
- No$17 @ 84.6¢
- Yes$194 @ 9.7¢
- MOUZ$9 @ 8.4¢
- Team Falcons$12 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$602 @ 7.0¢
- England$18 @ 2.1¢
- No$59 @ 5.4¢
- Vitality$34 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$39 @ 0.4¢
- PARIVISION$41 @ 3.1¢
- Paraguay$54 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 58.0¢
- Yes$3.6k @ 72.2¢
- Natus Vincere$17 @ 1.8¢
- England$5 @ 1.2¢
- Belgium$4 @ 1.5¢
- No$389 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 2.2¢
- France$8 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$26 @ 37.2¢
- Mexico$110 @ 7.1¢
- Norway$41 @ 0.5¢
- Argentina$2.6k @ 74.0¢
- Cabo Verde$2.1k @ 6.0¢
- FURIA$48 @ 18.4¢
- No$710 @ 30.9¢
- Yes$173 @ 86.7¢
- Belgium$5 @ 0.2¢
- No$57 @ 3.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | No | $2.8k | 86.5¢ |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $2.0k | 78.3¢ |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $1.4k | 90.8¢ |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | Politics | No | $948 | 90.3¢ |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | No | $365 | 73.0¢ |
| Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | Sports | No | $10 | 5.1¢ |
- No$2.8k @ 86.5¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 78.3¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 90.8¢
- No$948 @ 90.3¢
- No$365 @ 73.0¢
- No$10 @ 5.1¢