0xd1a6…1507

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd1a63a243042d864520512fbdbd2fd20e0ab1507
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.6pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

30% @ 27.3¢

Brier

0.095

Resolved

1977

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	12% (183/1504)	-21%	1504
Sports	17% (141/807)	-10%	807
Politics	22% (119/552)	-89%	552
Tech	18% (23/125)	-44%	125
Science	12% (14/113)	-62%	113
Culture	5% (1/20)	-65%	20
Geopolitics	36% (5/14)	-14%	14
Economy	30% (3/10)	-79%	10
Business	0% (0/7)	-100%	7
Crypto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other1504 bets
Hit rate
12% (183/1504)
ROI
-21%
Sports807 bets
Hit rate
17% (141/807)
ROI
-10%
Politics552 bets
Hit rate
22% (119/552)
ROI
-89%
Tech125 bets
Hit rate
18% (23/125)
ROI
-44%
Science113 bets
Hit rate
12% (14/113)
ROI
-62%
Culture20 bets
Hit rate
5% (1/20)
ROI
-65%
Geopolitics14 bets
Hit rate
36% (5/14)
ROI
-14%
Economy10 bets
Hit rate
30% (3/10)
ROI
-79%
Business7 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/7)
ROI
-100%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

16% hit · 489/3154

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 16?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	$1	3.8¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	$3	3.8¢	Lost
Will Brianne K. Nadeau win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?	Yes	$1	3.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C or below on June 24?	Yes	$9	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 24?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 25?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 25?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on June 24?	Yes	$9	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 25?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 59°F or below on June 23?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 24?	Yes	$5	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 106°F or higher on June 24?	Yes	$4	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 24?	Yes	$15	9.1¢	Lost
Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	$3	7.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on June 24?	Yes	$5	9.1¢	Lost
Will Andoni Iraola be the next manager of AC Milan?	Yes	$0	3.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	$3	9.1¢	Lost
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $370-$375 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?	Yes	$4	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 28?	Yes	$3	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 17?	Yes	$0	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 28?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 27?	Yes	$12	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 25?	Yes	$4	9.1¢	Lost
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	$9	3.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on June 16?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 17?	Yes	$4	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 16?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	$1	3.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on June 23?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 88°F or higher on June 16?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 17?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 25?	Yes	$4	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 27?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 28?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 28?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	$0	3.6¢	Lost
Will voter turnout be <48% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$3	16.7¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?	Yes	$1	14.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 92-93°F on June 22?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 75°F or below on June 23?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 43°C or higher on June 23?	Yes	$3	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on June 23?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 22?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 94°F or higher on June 22?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on June 16?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on June 17?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C or higher on June 17?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 17?	Yes	$24	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 17?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 16?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.8¢
Will Brianne K. Nadeau win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C or below on June 24?Lost
Yes$9 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 24?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 25?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 25?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on June 24?Lost
Yes$9 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 25?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 59°F or below on June 23?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 24?Lost
Yes$5 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 106°F or higher on June 24?Lost
Yes$4 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 24?Lost
Yes$15 @ 9.1¢
Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 7.7¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on June 24?Lost
Yes$5 @ 9.1¢
Will Andoni Iraola be the next manager of AC Milan?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$3 @ 9.1¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $370-$375 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?Lost
Yes$4 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 28?Lost
Yes$3 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 17?Lost
Yes$0 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 28?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 27?Lost
Yes$12 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$4 @ 9.1¢
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$9 @ 3.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on June 16?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 17?Lost
Yes$4 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 16?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on June 23?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 88°F or higher on June 16?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$4 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 27?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 28?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 28?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.6¢
Will voter turnout be <48% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$3 @ 16.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 14.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 92-93°F on June 22?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 75°F or below on June 23?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 43°C or higher on June 23?Lost
Yes$3 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on June 23?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 22?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 94°F or higher on June 22?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on June 16?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on June 17?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C or higher on June 17?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 17?Lost
Yes$24 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 17?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-11-01?	Sports	Yes	$222	60.2¢
Will Glentoran FC win on 2026-10-24?	—	Yes	$199	89.9¢
Will Glentoran FC vs. Ballymena United end in a draw?	—	Yes	$198	82.9¢
Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-08-08?	Sports	Yes	$196	81.5¢
Glentoran FC vs. Ballymena United: O/U 4.5	—	Over	$194	90.0¢
Will Ballymena United win on 2026-10-24?	—	Yes	$191	75.2¢
Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$160	56.9¢
FK Obolon Kyiv vs. FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih: O/U 4.5	—	Over	$128	90.0¢
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score	—	No	$125	86.4¢
Will Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Pogon Szczecin end in a draw?	—	Yes	$92	92.0¢
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$83	30.0¢
Will FK Obolon Kyiv win on 2026-10-10?	Sports	Yes	$69	83.0¢
Will Borussia Dortmund qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	Sports	No	$62	80.7¢
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?	—	Yes	$53	86.8¢
Will FK Kharkiv win on 2026-11-01?	Sports	Yes	$47	49.4¢
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-11-01?	Sports	Yes	$43	43.4¢
FK Kolos Kovalivka vs. FK Polissia: O/U 2.5	Sports	Under	$41	85.5¢
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5	Sports	Over	$39	57.0¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Tech	No	$39	70.0¢
FK Obolon Kyiv vs. FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih: FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih O/U 1.5	—	Over	$37	90.0¢
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$33	31.0¢
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 0 - 0 FK Austria Wien?	Sports	No	$32	59.8¢
Will Kaitlyn Christian reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Sports	No	$31	59.6¢
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 0 Athletic Club?	—	No	$29	68.8¢
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score	—	Yes	$28	66.2¢
Will RB Leipzig qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	Sports	No	$28	64.8¢
Will Pablo Tellez reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Sports	No	$27	66.5¢
Will CD Pamplona win on 2026-10-28?	Sports	Yes	$25	33.7¢
Will Mari Humberg reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Sports	No	$25	78.0¢
Will Chao Yi Wang reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Sports	No	$25	62.2¢

Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-11-01?Sports
Yes$222 @ 60.2¢
Will Glentoran FC win on 2026-10-24?—
Yes$199 @ 89.9¢
Will Glentoran FC vs. Ballymena United end in a draw?—
Yes$198 @ 82.9¢
Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-08-08?Sports
Yes$196 @ 81.5¢
Glentoran FC vs. Ballymena United: O/U 4.5—
Over$194 @ 90.0¢
Will Ballymena United win on 2026-10-24?—
Yes$191 @ 75.2¢
Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$160 @ 56.9¢
FK Obolon Kyiv vs. FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih: O/U 4.5—
Over$128 @ 90.0¢
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score—
No$125 @ 86.4¢
Will Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Pogon Szczecin end in a draw?—
Yes$92 @ 92.0¢
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?Politics
Yes$83 @ 30.0¢
Will FK Obolon Kyiv win on 2026-10-10?Sports
Yes$69 @ 83.0¢
Will Borussia Dortmund qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?Sports
No$62 @ 80.7¢
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?—
Yes$53 @ 86.8¢
Will FK Kharkiv win on 2026-11-01?Sports
Yes$47 @ 49.4¢
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-11-01?Sports
Yes$43 @ 43.4¢
FK Kolos Kovalivka vs. FK Polissia: O/U 2.5Sports
Under$41 @ 85.5¢
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Sports
Over$39 @ 57.0¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech
No$39 @ 70.0¢
FK Obolon Kyiv vs. FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih: FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih O/U 1.5—
Over$37 @ 90.0¢
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?Sports
Yes$33 @ 31.0¢
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 0 - 0 FK Austria Wien?Sports
No$32 @ 59.8¢
Will Kaitlyn Christian reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?Sports
No$31 @ 59.6¢
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 0 Athletic Club?—
No$29 @ 68.8¢
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score—
Yes$28 @ 66.2¢
Will RB Leipzig qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?Sports
No$28 @ 64.8¢
Will Pablo Tellez reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?Sports
No$27 @ 66.5¢
Will CD Pamplona win on 2026-10-28?Sports
Yes$25 @ 33.7¢
Will Mari Humberg reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?Sports
No$25 @ 78.0¢
Will Chao Yi Wang reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?Sports
No$25 @ 62.2¢